Cent Signals
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic pre…YES 0.7¢Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?YES 30.5¢▲1Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister…YES 0.2¢Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic pres…YES 0.4¢Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?YES 3.9¢Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 20…YES 5.5¢Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic pr…YES 0.7¢Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister…YES 0.3¢Will there be no change in Fed interest rates a…YES 74.2¢▼1Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Ele…YES 0.7¢Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presid…YES 0.7¢Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?YES 10.0¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by J…YES 0.8¢Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps…YES 24.8¢▲1

About Cent Signals

Cent Signals is a small editorial project that summarises publicly available data from Polymarket, a prediction-market platform. It exists so curious readers can see at a glance who is putting on the biggest positions and which markets look unusual against simple sanity heuristics.

What we cover

  • Smart-money tracker. A leaderboard of Polymarket wallets ordered by traded volume, with their currently visible positions. One page per wallet.
  • Mispriced-looking markets. A running list of Polymarket markets where current pricing diverges from a simple heuristic, with an editorial rationale per entry. One page per market.

Where the data comes from

Markets metadata is pulled from Polymarket's public Gamma API. Position and trade data is pulled from Polymarket's public data API. We snapshot the data periodically and render the site from that snapshot. There is no real-time order routing here.

What our flags mean, and do not mean

When we flag a market as worth a second look, we are saying our heuristic notices something, for example a near-resolution price deep in either tail while volume remains active. We are not saying the market is wrong, nor that you should take any position. Prediction markets price information we may not see. Read the rationale, read the market, form your own view, and consult a qualified professional before any financial decision.

What this site is not

Cent Signals is not a trading platform. We do not accept orders, custody funds, route trades, or connect wallets. Outbound links go to Polymarket for reference. Nothing here is financial advice, a tip, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any asset.

Who runs Cent Signals

Cent Signals is built and maintained by the Cent Signals editorial desk, a small independent team that also builds and runs the network of free tools listed below. The desk writes the explainers, tunes the sanity heuristic, and keeps the public-data snapshot honest. You can reach it at hello@centsignals.com with corrections or questions.

Cent Signals is part of a small network of free, no-signup tools alongside Tools Nimbus (free browser dev tools), Calc Garden (free online calculators), QuizVault (free quizzes and personality tests), and PlayBrain (free browser games).

Privacy

We do not collect user accounts or identify visitors. Wallet addresses shown on the site are already public on-chain data. We do not link them to real-world identities. For how cookies, advertising through Google AdSense, and analytics work here, see the privacy page.