Markets worth a second look
Each entry below is a market our heuristic flagged for further reading. The rationale describes why it caught our eye. None of this is a recommendation to trade. Read carefully and form your own view. New here? How to tell if a market looks mispriced walks through the free checks behind these flags.
Snapshot Aug 21, 2026 · 168 signals
What changed since the last snapshot
Markets whose YES price moved the most since the previous snapshot window. These are observations of how the crowd repriced each question, not a view on where any price should be.
Biggest moves this week
Largest YES-price change over the past week
trades at 80 cents on YES, up from 2 cents a week ago
trades at 3 cents on YES, down from 81 cents a week ago
trades at 60 cents on YES, up from 1 cents a week ago
trades at 46 cents on YES, up from 1 cents a week ago
trades at 73 cents on YES, up from 31 cents a week ago
Biggest moves today
Largest YES-price change over the past day
trades at 96 cents on YES, up from 7 cents a day ago
trades at 90 cents on YES, up from 12 cents a day ago
trades at 67 cents on YES, up from 3 cents a day ago
trades at 60 cents on YES, up from 9 cents a day ago
trades at 14 cents on YES, down from 65 cents a day ago
Markets flagged by our heuristic
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?
YES 10.0¢Market trades 10¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $270.3K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
YES 9.8¢Market trades 10¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $58.3K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
YES 9.5¢Market trades 10¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $2.12M in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 21?
YES 99.5¢Market trades 99¢ on YES (deeply for the outcome) on $128.3K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YES 0.5¢Market trades 1¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $18.73M in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
YES 0.5¢Market trades 1¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $15.44M in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals?
YES 0.5¢Market trades 1¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $769.6K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's US Open?
YES 0.5¢Market trades 1¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $422.3K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 August 17-23?
YES 0.5¢Market trades 1¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $100.3K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
NATO downs another Russian drone by August 31?
YES 99.4¢Market trades 99¢ on YES (deeply for the outcome) on $182.3K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
YES 0.7¢Market trades 1¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $915.8K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 22?
YES 99.3¢Market trades 99¢ on YES (deeply for the outcome) on $30.6K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship?
YES 0.8¢Market trades 1¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $1.22M in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
49ers vs. Chargers
YES 99.2¢Market trades 99¢ on YES (deeply for the outcome) on $714.3K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YES 0.8¢Market trades 1¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $8.43M in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?
YES 0.8¢Market trades 1¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $1.32M in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in August?
YES 0.8¢Market trades 1¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $634.0K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 23?
YES 99.2¢Market trades 99¢ on YES (deeply for the outcome) on $37.0K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
YES 0.9¢Market trades 1¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $2.00M in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals?
YES 0.9¢Market trades 1¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $366.8K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in August?
YES 0.9¢Market trades 1¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $199.3K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
YES 0.9¢Market trades 1¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $4.97M in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
YES 0.9¢Market trades 1¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $301.9K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August?
YES 0.9¢Market trades 1¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $287.6K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?
YES 0.9¢Market trades 1¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $265.1K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's US Open?
YES 0.9¢Market trades 1¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $214.6K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
YES 9.0¢Market trades 9¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $47.7K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?
YES 1.0¢Market trades 1¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $538.2K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?
YES 1.0¢Market trades 1¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $409.2K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
YES 9.0¢Market trades 9¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $5.02M in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?
YES 9.0¢Market trades 9¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $296.1K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?
YES 9.0¢Market trades 9¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $225.4K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by December 31?
YES 9.0¢Market trades 9¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $77.4K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YES 1.1¢Market trades 1¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $8.21M in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
YES 1.1¢Market trades 1¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $1.40M in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship?
YES 1.1¢Market trades 1¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $1.15M in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship?
YES 1.1¢Market trades 1¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $960.5K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Solana reach $130 in August?
YES 1.1¢Market trades 1¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $34.9K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Solana reach $140 in August?
YES 1.1¢Market trades 1¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $29.8K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?
YES 1.2¢Market trades 1¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $1.05M in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
YES 1.3¢Market trades 1¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $12.11M in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's US Open?
YES 1.3¢Market trades 1¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $717.0K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YES 1.3¢Market trades 1¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $392.0K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Nigma Galaxy Win The International 2026?
YES 8.7¢Market trades 9¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $142.7K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YES 1.5¢Market trades 1¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $12.40M in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?
YES 1.5¢Market trades 1¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $741.0K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
YES 8.5¢Market trades 9¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $1.41M in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?
YES 8.5¢Market trades 9¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $483.2K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's US Open?
YES 1.5¢Market trades 2¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $353.4K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 21?
YES 98.5¢Market trades 98¢ on YES (deeply for the outcome) on $123.7K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YES 8.5¢Market trades 8¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $17.88M in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YES 1.6¢Market trades 2¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $8.26M in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?
YES 1.6¢Market trades 2¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $772.9K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
YES 1.6¢Market trades 2¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $395.2K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's US Open?
YES 1.6¢Market trades 2¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $328.4K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?
YES 1.7¢Market trades 2¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $419.6K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
YES 1.7¢Market trades 2¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $54.0K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Solana reach $110 in August?
YES 8.3¢Market trades 8¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $43.8K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
YES 1.8¢Market trades 2¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $4.07M in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
YES 1.8¢Market trades 2¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $1.67M in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?
YES 1.8¢Market trades 2¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $135.0K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
SF vs. LAC: O/U 37.5
YES 91.8¢Market trades 92¢ on YES (deeply for the outcome) on $56.2K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
YES 1.8¢Market trades 2¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $1.98M in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
YES 1.8¢Market trades 2¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $614.9K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's US Open?
YES 1.8¢Market trades 2¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $311.5K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Solana dip to $60 in August?
YES 1.8¢Market trades 2¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $43.7K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in August?
YES 1.9¢Market trades 2¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $191.3K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 24?
YES 98.0¢Market trades 98¢ on YES (deeply for the outcome) on $83.3K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
YES 1.9¢Market trades 2¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $1.14M in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
YES 2.0¢Market trades 2¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $1.44M in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?
YES 2.1¢Market trades 2¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $241.1K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will BoomBoys Win The International 2026?
YES 2.1¢Market trades 2¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $96.2K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
YES 2.1¢Market trades 2¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $61.9K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
YES 2.1¢Market trades 2¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $323.7K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Amanda Anisimova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?
YES 2.1¢Market trades 2¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $97.5K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Legacy Win the CS2 EWC 2026?
YES 2.2¢Market trades 2¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $151.3K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
YES 2.3¢Market trades 2¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $301.7K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 22?
YES 2.3¢Market trades 2¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $144.6K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
YES 2.3¢Market trades 2¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $311.0K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?
YES 2.4¢Market trades 2¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $378.1K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
ITF W15 Tianjin 3 Women: Eva Marie Desvignes vs Sunam Jeong
YES 7.6¢Market trades 8¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $26.3K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?
YES 2.4¢Market trades 2¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $1.45M in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
YES 2.5¢Market trades 2¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $473.8K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
YES 7.5¢Market trades 8¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $51.8K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in August?
YES 2.5¢Market trades 3¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $557.2K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
YES 7.5¢Market trades 8¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $19.47M in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
YES 7.5¢Market trades 8¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $2.02M in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?
YES 7.5¢Market trades 8¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $1.79M in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in August?
YES 7.5¢Market trades 8¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $51.1K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
YES 2.5¢Market trades 3¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $2.04M in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August?
YES 2.5¢Market trades 3¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $555.0K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?
YES 7.4¢Market trades 7¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $336.9K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
YES 2.6¢Market trades 3¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $49.4K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 Starship?
YES 2.7¢Market trades 3¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $42.6K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
YES 97.3¢Market trades 97¢ on YES (deeply for the outcome) on $557.1K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
YES 2.8¢Market trades 3¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $55.7K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 BMW Championship?
YES 2.8¢Market trades 3¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $28.7K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?
YES 97.2¢Market trades 97¢ on YES (deeply for the outcome) on $169.9K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?
YES 2.9¢Market trades 3¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $507.9K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?
YES 7.0¢Market trades 7¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $27.2K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
YES 3.0¢Market trades 3¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $1.10M in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?
YES 7.0¢Market trades 7¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $185.7K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
YES 3.0¢Market trades 3¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $1.99M in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
YES 3.0¢Market trades 3¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $1.12M in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
YES 3.1¢Market trades 3¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $238.1K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Kai and Speed beat the gauntlet within 10 hours?
YES 3.1¢Market trades 3¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $67.5K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
YES 6.8¢Market trades 7¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $1.63M in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on August 21?
YES 96.7¢Market trades 97¢ on YES (deeply for the outcome) on $76.4K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?
YES 3.4¢Market trades 3¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $832.8K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?
YES 6.7¢Market trades 7¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $249.7K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?
YES 3.4¢Market trades 3¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $352.2K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?
YES 3.5¢Market trades 3¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $583.4K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?
YES 3.5¢Market trades 3¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $212.1K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Solana reach $120 in August?
YES 3.5¢Market trades 3¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $66.0K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Counter-Strike: IMHOWeRGOAT vs 300FPS (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #8 Playoffs
YES 93.5¢Market trades 93¢ on YES (deeply for the outcome) on $215.1K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
YES 6.5¢Market trades 7¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $24.83M in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
YES 6.5¢Market trades 7¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $3.01M in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
YES 6.5¢Market trades 7¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $2.85M in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
YES 6.5¢Market trades 7¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $1.03M in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?
YES 6.5¢Market trades 7¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $57.2K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Israel closes its airspace by August 31?
YES 3.6¢Market trades 4¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $1.27M in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 21?
YES 96.3¢Market trades 96¢ on YES (deeply for the outcome) on $171.3K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
YES 3.7¢Market trades 4¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $37.28M in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?
YES 6.3¢Market trades 6¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $527.5K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
YES 96.0¢Market trades 96¢ on YES (deeply for the outcome) on $725.3K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?
YES 4.0¢Market trades 4¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $364.9K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
YES 6.0¢Market trades 6¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $61.9K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?
YES 94.0¢Market trades 94¢ on YES (deeply for the outcome) on $103.6K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
YES 4.0¢Market trades 4¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $4.90M in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?
YES 4.2¢Market trades 4¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $211.6K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?
YES 4.3¢Market trades 4¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $289.4K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?
YES 4.3¢Market trades 4¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $56.4K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in August?
YES 4.3¢Market trades 4¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $51.5K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?
YES 4.3¢Market trades 4¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $1.24M in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
YES 5.6¢Market trades 6¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $3.29M in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will England win?
YES 95.5¢Market trades 96¢ on YES (deeply for the outcome) on $47.4K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YES 4.5¢Market trades 5¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $10.29M in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
YES 4.5¢Market trades 5¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $2.52M in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
YES 95.5¢Market trades 96¢ on YES (deeply for the outcome) on $2.40M in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-08-21?
YES 4.5¢Market trades 5¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $139.1K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 21?
YES 94.5¢Market trades 95¢ on YES (deeply for the outcome) on $122.2K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Trump out as President before 2027?
YES 5.5¢Market trades 6¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $10.91M in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
YES 5.5¢Market trades 6¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $5.03M in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
YES 5.5¢Market trades 6¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $767.4K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Team Liquid Win The International 2026?
YES 5.5¢Market trades 6¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $103.3K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship?
YES 4.5¢Market trades 5¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $1.25M in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
YES 5.5¢Market trades 5¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $287.1K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?
YES 4.7¢Market trades 5¢ on YES (deeply against the outcome) on $303.6K in lifetime volume. Tail-priced markets with active volume are worth a second look against the underlying question and any new information.
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
YES 16.5¢Multiple wallets we track hold visible positions in this market (2× no, 1× yes). Concentrated tracked-wallet interest can be worth examining when forming a view, though it is not predictive.
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
YES 71.5¢Multiple wallets we track hold visible positions in this market (3× yes). Concentrated tracked-wallet interest can be worth examining when forming a view, though it is not predictive.
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
YES 27.5¢Multiple wallets we track hold visible positions in this market (3× no, 2× yes). Concentrated tracked-wallet interest can be worth examining when forming a view, though it is not predictive.
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YES 63.5¢Multiple wallets we track hold visible positions in this market (3× yes, 1× no). Concentrated tracked-wallet interest can be worth examining when forming a view, though it is not predictive.
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YES 32.9¢Multiple wallets we track hold visible positions in this market (2× yes, 1× no). Concentrated tracked-wallet interest can be worth examining when forming a view, though it is not predictive.
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
YES 27.5¢Multiple wallets we track hold visible positions in this market (3× yes, 1× no). Concentrated tracked-wallet interest can be worth examining when forming a view, though it is not predictive.
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
YES 82.8¢Multiple wallets we track hold visible positions in this market (2× yes, 1× no). Concentrated tracked-wallet interest can be worth examining when forming a view, though it is not predictive.
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffs
YES 43.5¢Multiple wallets we track hold visible positions in this market (8× iron wing, 3× boomboys). Concentrated tracked-wallet interest can be worth examining when forming a view, though it is not predictive.
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
YES 61.2¢Multiple wallets we track hold visible positions in this market (2× yes, 1× no). Concentrated tracked-wallet interest can be worth examining when forming a view, though it is not predictive.
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
YES 19.5¢Multiple wallets we track hold visible positions in this market (2× yes, 1× no). Concentrated tracked-wallet interest can be worth examining when forming a view, though it is not predictive.
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winner
YES 0.1¢Multiple wallets we track hold visible positions in this market (3× iron wing, 2× boomboys). Concentrated tracked-wallet interest can be worth examining when forming a view, though it is not predictive.
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?
YES 60.0¢Multiple wallets we track hold visible positions in this market (2× no, 1× yes). Concentrated tracked-wallet interest can be worth examining when forming a view, though it is not predictive.
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?
YES 30.9¢Multiple wallets we track hold visible positions in this market (2× yes, 2× no). Concentrated tracked-wallet interest can be worth examining when forming a view, though it is not predictive.
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?
YES 15.8¢Multiple wallets we track hold visible positions in this market (3× yes, 2× no). Concentrated tracked-wallet interest can be worth examining when forming a view, though it is not predictive.
Cancun: Alan Magadan vs Coleman Wong
YES 0.1¢Multiple wallets we track hold visible positions in this market (3× coleman wong, 1× alan magadan). Concentrated tracked-wallet interest can be worth examining when forming a view, though it is not predictive.
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in August?
YES 80.2¢Multiple wallets we track hold visible positions in this market (2× yes, 1× no). Concentrated tracked-wallet interest can be worth examining when forming a view, though it is not predictive.
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in August?
YES 16.0¢Multiple wallets we track hold visible positions in this market (2× no, 1× yes). Concentrated tracked-wallet interest can be worth examining when forming a view, though it is not predictive.
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-21?
YES 82.5¢Multiple wallets we track hold visible positions in this market (2× yes, 1× no). Concentrated tracked-wallet interest can be worth examining when forming a view, though it is not predictive.
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 21?
YES 100.0¢Multiple wallets we track hold visible positions in this market (2× yes, 1× no). Concentrated tracked-wallet interest can be worth examining when forming a view, though it is not predictive.
ITF M15 Maanshan 7 Men: Isaac Becroft vs M Rifqi Fitriadi
YES 0.1¢Multiple wallets we track hold visible positions in this market (2× m rifqi fitriadi, 1× isaac becroft). Concentrated tracked-wallet interest can be worth examining when forming a view, though it is not predictive.