scottilicious
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes$224.9K$8.1K
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No$128.0K$2.6K
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No$51.0K$1.6K
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes$43.8K$-12.6K
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No$35.9K$1.2K
- Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes$35.0K$1.4K
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No$24.3K$-3.6K
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$16.9K$-3.6K
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo$15.8K$-274
- Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes$15.0K$692
- Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes$9.6K$-1.5K
- Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No$8.2K$823
- Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes$6.9K$1.9K
- Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No$6.4K$1.7K
- Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$4.3K$1.9K
- Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Yes$3.6K$-336
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes$3.1K$-2.9K
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$2.3K$-925
- Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes$1.8K$-4.0K
- Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?No$1.8K$45
- Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$1.2K$-295
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$983$-1.5K
- Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No$819$129
- Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$730$94
- Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Yes$588$-3
- Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$551$38
- US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No$477$112
- Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes$476$-42
- Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes$299$-696
- Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$116$-53
- Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$108$-953
- Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?Yes$82$-1.3K
- Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$71$-166
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes$33$-16
- Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$23$-40
- Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes$7$1
- Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes$4$-3.0K
- Will Sinners win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes$0$-43
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes$0$-17.5K
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No$0$-20.4K
- Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?No$0$-4.2K
- Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes$0$-5.0K
- Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July?Yes$0$-167
- Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-177
- ICE shooter charged by March 31?Yes$0$-3.8K
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-97
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?Yes$0$-96
- Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?Yes$0$-348
- Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?Yes$0$-2.6K
- Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes$0$-86.8K
- Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July?Yes$0$-106
- Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?Yes$0$-3.3K
- Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?Yes$0$-306
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yes$0$-2.4K
- Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes$0$-18.8K
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No$0$-1.1K
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
- 23d agoSold Yes$6.1K@ 83.0¢
- 23d agoBought Yes$882@ 15.0¢
- 23d agoSold Yes$6.2K@ 85.0¢
- 30d agoSold No$2.1K@ 99.6¢
- 30d agoBought No$3.0K@ 98.9¢
- 31d agoBought No$5.8K@ 96.5¢
- 31d agoBought No$1.6K@ 79.0¢
- 31d agoBought No$11.7K@ 77.6¢
- 31d agoBought No$16.7K@ 93.0¢
- 32d agoBought No$38.9K@ 87.7¢
- 32d agoBought No$35.5K@ 77.6¢
- 33d agoBought No$4.1K@ 75.4¢
- 33d agoBought No$6.6K@ 95.0¢
- 33d agoBought No$10.5K@ 94.0¢
- 40d agoBought No$1.6K@ 90.0¢
- 40d agoBought Yes$4.4K@ 95.8¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.