scottilicious
0x000d…758eView on Polymarket ↗
Total volume
$155.7K
Open positions
75
Trades (7d, mirrored)
0
Open P&L (est.)
$-293.6K
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L (Polymarket)
$127.4K
Hit rate (resolved)
23%
Resolved positions
26
Longshot exposure
63%
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
Market
Outcome
Value
Open P&L (est.)
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes$273.9K$20.9K
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo$84.2K$373
- Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes$70.5K$-1.7K
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No$59.5K$841
- Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes$49.7K$-13.7K
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No$42.7K$2.1K
- Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Yes$34.2K$520
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No$32.0K$1.9K
- Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?Yes$20.5K$2.4K
- Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes$14.9K$577
- Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Yes$12.9K$-73
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?No$12.7K$266
- Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes$12.4K$451
- Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat?Yes$10.0K$714
- Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Yes$9.6K$174
- Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No$8.7K$1.3K
- Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?Yes$8.7K$491
- Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No$7.4K$57
- Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes$7.0K$2.0K
- Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No$6.6K$1.9K
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?No$6.3K$551
- Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes$6.3K$-1.8K
- Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes$5.7K$-610
- Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Yes$4.8K$-248
- Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?No$4.4K$-175
- Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$3.7K$1.3K
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes$3.1K$-2.9K
- Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$3.0K$-3.1K
- Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Yes$2.6K$76
- Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes$2.5K$28
- Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?Yes$2.5K$181
- Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No$2.2K$45
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No$1.9K$-360
- Will the Democratic Party win the CO-08 House seat?Yes$1.6K$6
- Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$1.6K$-1.7K
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes$1.5K$-50
- Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes$1.4K$-4.4K
- Will Democrats sweep the Minnesota Senate and Governor elections?Yes$1.3K$-83
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$1.2K$-1.2K
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$975$-2.2K
- Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No$839$149
- Will the Republican Party win the OH-07 House seat?No$811$39
- Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$697$184
- Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$514$-121
- Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$217$-844
- Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$100$0
- Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?Yes$60$-1.3K
- Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes$55$-27
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes$25$-23
- Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$19$-43
- Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes$4$-3.0K
- Will Sinners win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes$0$-43
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes$0$-17.5K
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No$0$-20.4K
- Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?No$0$-4.2K
- Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$0$-169
- Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?Yes$0$-5.0K
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$0$-32.3K
- Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July?Yes$0$-167
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes$0$-56.4K
- Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$0$-237
- Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-177
- ICE shooter charged by March 31?Yes$0$-3.8K
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No$0$-37.1K
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-97
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?Yes$0$-96
- Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?Yes$0$-348
- Will Sarah Knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 Paris municipal election?Yes$0$-2.6K
- Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes$0$-86.8K
- Will Ethereum reach $2,300 in July?Yes$0$-106
- Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?Yes$0$-3.3K
- Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?Yes$0$-306
- Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?Yes$0$-2.4K
- Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?Yes$0$-18.9K
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No$0$-1.1K
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
When
Market
Action
Size · Price
- 63d agoSold Yes$6.1K@ 83.0¢
- 63d agoBought Yes$882@ 15.0¢
- 63d agoSold Yes$6.2K@ 85.0¢
- 70d agoSold No$2.1K@ 99.6¢
- 71d agoBought No$3.0K@ 98.9¢
- 71d agoBought No$5.8K@ 96.5¢
- 71d agoBought No$1.6K@ 79.0¢
- 71d agoBought No$11.7K@ 77.6¢
- 72d agoBought No$16.7K@ 93.0¢
- 72d agoBought No$38.9K@ 87.7¢
- 73d agoBought No$35.5K@ 77.6¢
- 74d agoBought No$4.1K@ 75.4¢
- 74d agoBought No$6.6K@ 95.0¢
- 74d agoBought No$10.5K@ 94.0¢
- 81d agoBought No$1.6K@ 90.0¢
- 81d agoBought Yes$4.4K@ 95.8¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.