donthackme
0x0380…073dView on Polymarket ↗
Total volume
$270.8K
Open positions
100
Trades (7d, mirrored)
83
Open P&L (est.)
$30.1K
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L (Polymarket)
$141.4K
Hit rate (resolved)
53%
Resolved positions
51
Longshot exposure
93%
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
Market
Outcome
Value
Open P&L (est.)
- Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes$2.5K$2.4K
- Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Yes$1.9K$1.9K
- Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?No$1.9K$89
- Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes$1.7K$1.6K
- Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes$1.5K$1.4K
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes$1.4K$959
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes$1.4K$1.3K
- Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes$1.3K$1.3K
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes$1.2K$1.0K
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes$1.2K$1.2K
- Will Perry Johnson win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?No$1.2K$18
- Will Abdul El-Sayed win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?No$1.1K$-168
- Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No$958$-67
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No$842$24
- Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes$836$736
- Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes$833$795
- No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027Yes$819$656
- Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?No$777$-50
- Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes$775$749
- Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?No$724$77
- Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Yes$722$699
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$675$590
- Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes$671$464
- Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?No$665$15
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes$658$507
- Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?No$655$25
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes$623$594
- Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes$594$535
- Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Yes$531$531
- Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?No$513$513
- Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes$483$300
- Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No$476$23
- Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?No$470$11
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes$470$441
- Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Yes$448$448
- Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the September Meeting?No$419$3
- Will James Martin be the FL-21 Democratic nominee?No$407$-459
- Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the September decision?No$406$-8
- Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes$393$378
- Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes$385$359
- Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?No$383$383
- Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes$382$105
- Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?No$367$21
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes$366$346
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes$363$351
- Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?Yes$357$342
- Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?Yes$352$352
- Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes$347$152
- Will Kyle Blomquist be the MI-01 Democratic nominee?No$342$10
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes$336$336
- Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?No$333$21
- Will the Democratic Party win the FL-04 House seat?No$326$27
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No$321$19
- Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes$320$-418
- Will the Democratic Party win the NC-08 House seat?No$309$309
- Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes$304$217
- Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes$302$288
- Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes$291$277
- Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No$286$286
- Will Lois Frankel be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?Yes$284$274
- Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No$284$1
- Exact Score: FC Carl Zeiss Jena 3 - 0 Bayer Leverkusen?Yes$283$242
- Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?No$279$13
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 3?Yes$276$208
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on August 1?No$272$75
- Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Yes$262$262
- Will Bill Gates Jr. win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?No$259$1
- Will the Democratic Party win the LA-05 House seat?No$257$10
- Will "The Odyssey" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 52m and 57m?No$256$80
- Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes$240$232
- Will the Democratic Party win the NE-01 House seat?No$239$239
- Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes$238$66
- Will the Republican Party win the CA-17 House seat?No$237$237
- Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?No$232$11
- Will Amy Klobuchar win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?Yes$231$223
- Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$231$200
- Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes$230$222
- Will Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?No$228$228
- Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?No$228$-79
- Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?No$227$22
- Will Marcelo Brigadeiro win the Governor of Santa Catarina election?No$223$13
- Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?Yes$221$215
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?No$220$14
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes$220$190
- Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?No$216$216
- Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?No$216$17
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?No$215$11
- Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No$214$-6
- Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?Yes$205$193
- Will Andy Ogles be the TN-05 Republican nominee?No$205$24
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on August 1?Yes$203$185
- Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes$202$182
- Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes$198$127
- Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December?No$197$9
- Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$197$186
- Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No$192$0
- Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Yes$181$181
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes$180$163
- Will Houston Astros win the 2026 AL West title?Yes$179$102
- Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?No$178$-13
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
When
Market
Action
Size · Price
- 1h agoBought No$392@ 99.9¢
- 1h agoBought No$391@ 99.7¢
- 1h agoBought No$377@ 96.0¢
- 1h agoBought No$330@ 97.5¢
- 2h agoBought No$449@ 96.0¢
- 2h agoBought No$456@ 97.5¢
- 2h agoBought No$467@ 99.7¢
- 2h agoBought No$468@ 99.9¢
- 4h agoBought No$271@ 94.7¢
- 10h agoBought No$336@ 76.0¢
- 10h agoBought No$348@ 75.0¢
- 10h agoBought No$340@ 77.0¢
- 10h agoBought No$385@ 77.0¢
- 11h agoBought No$161@ 57.0¢
- 11h agoBought No$245@ 87.0¢
- 13h agoBought No$148@ 97.7¢
- 14h agoBought No$107@ 71.0¢
- 14h agoBought No$496@ 99.1¢
- 14h agoBought No$205@ 41.0¢
- 14h agoBought No$493@ 98.5¢
- 14h agoBought No$492@ 98.3¢
- 15h agoBought No$156@ 99.6¢
- 17h agoBought No$192@ 99.1¢
- 17h agoBought No$366@ 99.9¢
- 6d agoBought No$500@ 99.9¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.