GollumGekko
0x0845…6b6fView on Polymarket ↗
Total volume
$74.5K
Open positions
100
Trades (7d, mirrored)
0
Open P&L (est.)
$-7.0K
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
Market
Outcome
Value
Open P&L (est.)
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No$33.3K$507
- Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes$20.8K$-3
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No$16.2K$6.2K
- Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes$13.5K$-1.1K
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes$12.7K$190
- Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?No$10.7K$-64
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No$9.3K$1.5K
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes$7.6K$298
- Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes$6.2K$1.5K
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No$5.6K$635
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No$5.4K$-94
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No$5.3K$95
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$5.2K$-6.4K
- Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes$4.5K$52
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No$4.5K$32
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes$3.8K$-364
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes$3.6K$93
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No$3.4K$59
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No$2.8K$1.0K
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No$2.8K$39
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$2.5K$581
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes$2.5K$228
- Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?No$2.5K$40
- Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes$2.5K$-448
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?No$2.4K$23
- Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?No$2.2K$-375
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No$2.1K$53
- Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No$2.1K$-6
- Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No$2.0K$27
- UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Yes$1.8K$-2.1K
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No$1.8K$481
- Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes$1.8K$434
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No$1.8K$157
- Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No$1.8K$-140
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes$1.7K$-38
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?No$1.6K$82
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?Yes$1.5K$237
- Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes$1.4K$1.1K
- Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes$1.4K$233
- Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes$1.4K$-13
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes$1.3K$13
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes$1.2K$-24
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes$1.2K$-124
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes$1.1K$-1.6K
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Yes$1.0K$-35
- Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes$1.0K$6
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Yes$1.0K$-48
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No$1.0K$-32
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes$984$-1.0K
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$971$-4.1K
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$916$5
- Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?No$835$-141
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No$803$-32
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No$774$54
- Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Yes$758$258
- Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes$734$-489
- Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No$707$43
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No$667$203
- Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government?No$644$-88
- Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?Yes$631$29
- Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?Yes$621$80
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Yes$615$-90
- Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?No$611$188
- Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?No$606$27
- Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes$594$73
- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$593$-1.9K
- Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes$583$-226
- Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?Yes$502$196
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to MP or KD?KD$499$-13
- Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?No$460$22
- Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No$449$13
- Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?No$448$23
- Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$445$-482
- Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Yes$439$49
- Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?Yes$439$-91
- Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No$421$20
- Iran leadership change by December 31?No$412$71
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$411$-546
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes$398$-153
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes$397$-1.3K
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No$378$58
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No$370$20
- Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes$361$81
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: More Votes to V or KD?KD$343$34
- Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes?No$322$-65
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Yes$309$-130
- Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day?No$306$7
- Will King Carl XVI Gustaf attend King Harald V's funeral?Yes$286$5
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes$271$-225
- Will Left Party (V) win at least 9% of all valid votes?No$263$13
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes$254$-11
- Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes$250$2
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?No$249$29
- Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026?Yes$248$-68
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes$246$-301
- Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No$240$3
- Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?No$239$71
- Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?No$216$-106
- Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Yes$201$11
- Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes$200$-32
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
When
Market
Action
Size · Price
- 18d agoBought Yes$128@ 32.0¢
- 21d agoSold No$3.7K@ 98.6¢
- 21d agoBought Yes$210@ 14.0¢
- 21d agoBought No$4.8K@ 99.0¢
- 22d agoSold Yes$249@ 71.0¢
- 22d agoSold Yes$218@ 72.8¢
- 23d agoBought Yes$391@ 37.9¢
- 24d agoBought Yes$200@ 36.0¢
- 26d agoSold No$578@ 52.0¢
- 26d agoSold No$780@ 52.0¢
- 26d agoBought Yes$279@ 35.5¢
- 27d agoSold Yes$2.5K@ 72.2¢
- 27d agoSold No$729@ 91.2¢
- 27d agoSold Yes$453@ 15.1¢
- 31d agoSold Yes$140@ 35.0¢
- 31d agoSold Yes$1.1K@ 71.4¢
- 32d agoBought Yes$397@ 31.7¢
- 32d agoBought Yes$377@ 67.0¢
- 32d agoBought Yes$1.4K@ 93.0¢
- 33d agoBought Yes$894@ 89.0¢
- 34d agoBought Yes$146@ 36.1¢
- 34d agoBought Yes$606@ 43.0¢
- 34d agoSold Yes$128@ 23.0¢
- 35d agoSold No$3.1K@ 77.0¢
- 35d agoBought Yes$765@ 33.0¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.