The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA
0x0c0e…434eView on Polymarket ↗
Total volume
$206.1K
Open positions
100
Trades (7d, mirrored)
0
Open P&L (est.)
$-47.2K
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L (Polymarket)
$-10.15M
Hit rate (resolved)
4%
Resolved positions
106
Longshot exposure
96%
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
Market
Outcome
Value
Open P&L (est.)
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No$451.2K$9.4K
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No$154.0K$5.6K
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No$120.0K$457
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?No$72.5K$-949
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No$60.2K$15.3K
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No$49.8K$0
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No$49.1K$34
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026No$27.9K$1.3K
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?No$24.5K$-629
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No$23.4K$85
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?No$22.0K$196
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No$19.8K$210
- Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?No$18.7K$520
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?No$17.8K$128
- Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in September?No$16.6K$62
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No$16.4K$2.2K
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?No$12.6K$-511
- Fetterman out by September 30, 2026?No$10.4K$129
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No$10.2K$538
- Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$9.5K$5.7K
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?No$8.5K$-357
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?No$7.9K$-79
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?No$7.1K$235
- Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September?No$5.3K$71
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?No$5.2K$51
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?No$4.5K$177
- Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?No$4.0K$61
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?No$4.0K$18
- Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No$3.8K$2
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No$2.4K$532
- Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$2.2K$-1.6K
- Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September?No$2.0K$45
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No$1.9K$5
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?No$1.6K$-48
- Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$1.6K$-2.5K
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No$1.4K$-268
- Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$1.1K$-1.8K
- Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$962$-3.2K
- Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$962$-3.2K
- Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$949$-3.2K
- Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September?No$948$9
- Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$936$-2.9K
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes$788$153
- Fetterman leaves the Democrats before the midterms?No$683$48
- Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$661$-2.3K
- Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$636$-1.9K
- Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in September?No$584$1
- Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes$507$169
- Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027?No$455$-14
- Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$321$-3.8K
- Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$321$-3.8K
- Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$312$-3.5K
- Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$312$-3.5K
- Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$312$-3.5K
- Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$312$-3.5K
- Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$312$-3.5K
- Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$312$-3.5K
- Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$312$-3.5K
- Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$312$-3.5K
- Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$312$-3.5K
- Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$312$-3.5K
- Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$312$-3.5K
- Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$312$-3.5K
- Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$307$-1.0K
- Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$233$18
- Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$220$-2.7K
- Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$220$-2.7K
- Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$220$-2.7K
- Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$220$-2.7K
- Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$97$-330
- Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$96$-1.1K
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?No$88$0
- Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2026?No$87$4
- Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$73$-8
- Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$65$-77
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?No$44$-6
- Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$39$-64
- Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$39$-63
- Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$39$-80
- Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$39$-110
- Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$35$-125
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$30$-336
- Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$26$-35
- Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$25$-249
- Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$25$-226
- Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$22$-13
- Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$13$-92
- Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$13$-134
- Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$13$-91
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$12$-143
- Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$11$-129
- Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$10$-85
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$10$-123
- Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$10$-36
- New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?No$10$0
- Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?No$9$1
- Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No$6$0
- House control favorite on November 2?Democratic Party$6$0
- Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No$6$-0
- Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$5$-63
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
When
Market
Action
Size · Price
- 44d agoBought No$1.6K@ 85.0¢
- 44d agoBought No$4.9K@ 80.0¢
- 44d agoBought No$828@ 92.0¢
- 45d agoBought No$3.5K@ 78.0¢
- 48d agoBought No$17.1K@ 93.0¢
- 48d agoBought No$3.5K@ 99.7¢
- 48d agoSold No$116.0K@ 99.7¢
- 52d agoBought No$11.8K@ 98.5¢
- 52d agoBought No$123@ 98.4¢
- 52d agoBought No$973@ 97.3¢
- 52d agoSold No$29.3K@ 97.5¢
- 64d agoSold No$16.3K@ 99.3¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.