Valen9
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No$88.4K$3.6K
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No$64.4K$-3.0K
- Iran full airspace closure by August 31?No$38.5K$6.7K
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes$34.2K$1.5K
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No$31.2K$452
- Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?No$27.8K$696
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No$26.8K$1.4K
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes$20.4K$4.6K
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?Yes$20.0K$145
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No$19.2K$1.2K
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes$18.2K$6.0K
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?No$18.1K$1.5K
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No$16.7K$2.1K
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?Yes$13.6K$2.7K
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No$13.1K$363
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?No$13.0K$3.9K
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No$12.2K$1.2K
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No$12.0K$531
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?No$8.7K$200
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?Yes$8.7K$2.5K
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes$8.3K$-256
- Iran leadership change by December 31?No$8.1K$-350
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes$6.5K$455
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No$6.4K$204
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes$6.2K$1.6K
- Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No$5.8K$65
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No$5.6K$730
- Iran full airspace closure by August 15?No$5.3K$329
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31?No$4.9K$45
- Iran leadership change by September 30?No$4.7K$175
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No$4.7K$25
- Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?No$4.3K$-513
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Yes$3.0K$82
- IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?Yes$2.8K$1.5K
- IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?Yes$2.6K$1.2K
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No$2.6K$472
- Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No$2.4K$46
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes$2.2K$63
- Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?No$2.1K$496
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes$2.1K$700
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes$2.0K$1.1K
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes$2.0K$1.3K
- NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No$1.9K$37
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes$1.7K$38
- Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?No$1.6K$105
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes$1.1K$409
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes$1.1K$-6.2K
- Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?No$1.0K$18
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes$566$68
- Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No$468$42
- IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by August 31?Yes$264$179
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Yes$260$-280
- Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?Yes$195$-75
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Yes$123$33
- Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No$111$3
- UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Yes$103$-21
- Will Laurence Fox get second place in the Clacton by-election?Yes$72$-10
- NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No$54$2
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes$10$-130
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
- 11h agoBought No$7.6K@ 76.0¢
- 11h agoBought Yes$498@ 77.0¢
- 11h agoBought No$780@ 71.0¢
- 9d agoBought Yes$4.4K@ 72.0¢
- 10d agoSold Yes$447@ 0.9¢
- 13d agoSold No$355@ 99.7¢
- 13d agoSold Yes$2.4K@ 30.5¢
- 17d agoBought No$845@ 18.0¢
- 26d agoBought No$9.8K@ 88.0¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.