hymolu
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No$84.1K$5.2K
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No$77.0K$1.2K
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No$28.5K$3.6K
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No$26.0K$-418
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No$22.7K$516
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No$20.2K$-140
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No$15.0K$1.4K
- Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?No$4.2K$146
- Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?No$4.0K$51
- Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Yes$3.5K$104
- Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No$3.2K$21
- Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?No$2.5K$60
- Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than 0.5%?No$89$20
- Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?No$39$-1
- Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?Yes$38$-4
- Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?No$37$2
- Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.5% and 1.0%?No$33$2
- Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?No$32$0
- Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?No$31$2
- Will there be between 25 and 27 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?No$16$0
- Will there be between 34 and 36 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?Yes$13$0
- Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?No$13$-0
- Will there be between 28 and 30 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?No$10$0
- Will there be between 37 and 39 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on July 31?Yes$2$-1
- Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?Yes$0$0
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
- 14d agoSold No$10.0K@ 99.9¢
- 16d agoSold No$20.0K@ 99.8¢
- 19d agoBought No$1.7K@ 97.1¢
- 27d agoSold No$65.7K@ 99.9¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.