MisTKy
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes$36.8K$-696
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?Yes$31.1K$931
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No$13.0K$74
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No$9.4K$558
- Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No$9.0K$180
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No$7.3K$277
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No$7.3K$499
- Özgür Özel arrested by June 30?No$6.1K$683
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?No$5.4K$493
- Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No$5.4K$-78
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Yes$5.2K$136
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No$4.7K$-14
- Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?No$4.2K$425
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No$4.1K$-4.3K
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No$3.1K$42
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No$2.1K$-38
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?No$1.7K$27
- New pandemic in 2026?No$1.3K$22
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes$1.1K$16
- Hurupay FDV above $10M one day after launch?No$1.0K$-187
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes$622$29
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No$524$24
- Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027?No$499$17
- UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?No$468$48
- Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?Yes$300$-404
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No$292$34
- Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch?No$292$-85
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?Yes$187$15
- Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes$127$7
- Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?Yes$91$-356
- Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes$73$48
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Yes$49$-116
- Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes$44$-9
- Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?Yes$39$-89
- Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes$37$23
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?No$17$3
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No$15$0
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?Yes$11$-60
- UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?No$7$1
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States?Yes$4$-352
- Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?No$4$1
- Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?No$2$-0
- Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes$1$-2
- Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?Yes$0$-5
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?No$0$-8
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No$0$-530
- US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?No$0$-6
- Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?Yes$0$-64
- Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?Yes$0$-298
- Iran closes its airspace by June 15?No$0$-32
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?Yes$0$-667
- Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?No$0$-1.3K
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No$0$-4.5K
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes$0$-9.1K
- Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No$0$-15
- Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?Yes$0$-25
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
- 6h agoBought No$7.6K@ 55.5¢
- 12h agoSold No$1.4K@ 44.0¢
- 17h agoBought Yes$780@ 61.0¢
- 3d agoBought Yes$177@ 76.0¢
- 3d agoBought No$21.7K@ 86.8¢
- 3d agoBought Yes$7.0K@ 60.3¢
- 4d agoSold Yes$440@ 56.4¢
- 4d agoSold Yes$538@ 20.1¢
- 4d agoSold Yes$205@ 20.3¢
- 4d agoSold Yes$3.0K@ 61.0¢
- 4d agoBought Yes$3.4K@ 23.0¢
- 4d agoSold No$1.1K@ 66.2¢
- 4d agoBought No$3.5K@ 93.0¢
- 4d agoBought Yes$852@ 22.0¢
- 5d agoSold Yes$357@ 73.0¢
- 5d agoBought Yes$684@ 13.5¢
- 5d agoBought Yes$769@ 15.0¢
- 5d agoBought No$3.8K@ 80.0¢
- 6d agoSold Yes$790@ 79.0¢
- 6d agoSold Yes$1.5K@ 81.0¢
- 6d agoSold Yes$946@ 70.0¢
- 6d agoSold Yes$812@ 80.0¢
- 7d agoBought No$1.4K@ 72.0¢
- 7d agoSold Yes$4.5K@ 59.0¢
- 10d agoBought Yes$665@ 28.0¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.