Cent Signals
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister…YES 0.3¢Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?YES 24.5¢▼2Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presi…YES 0.5¢Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?YES 4.0¢Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic preside…YES 0.4¢Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 20…YES 6.5¢▲1Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presi…YES 0.3¢Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republ…YES 0.5¢Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?YES 8.5¢Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by J…YES 0.1¢Putin out as President of Russia by December 31…YES 8.5¢Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?YES 3.5¢Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic preside…YES 2.9¢Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic pres…YES 1.1¢
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0x3DFb153c197D4C19D3B31c1ecD2c7B6860eeabAf-1722957908185

0x3dfb…abafView on Polymarket ↗
Total volume
$1.20M
Open positions
48
Trades (7d, mirrored)
24
Open P&L (est.)
$-1.98M

Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.

Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)

Realized P&L (Polymarket)
$0
Hit rate (resolved)
0%
Resolved positions
10
Longshot exposure
2%

Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.

Current open positions

Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.

Recent trades observed

The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.

Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.