thoodr
0x3eae…e2edView on Polymarket ↗
Total volume
$224.4K
Open positions
100
Trades (7d, mirrored)
0
Open P&L (est.)
$5.6K
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L (Polymarket)
$2.5K
Hit rate (resolved)
80%
Resolved positions
30
Longshot exposure
99%
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
Market
Outcome
Value
Open P&L (est.)
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No$182.0K$15.0K
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No$94.0K$1.8K
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No$72.3K$814
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No$66.7K$2.9K
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No$62.4K$2.3K
- Iran leadership change by September 30?No$53.4K$856
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?No$51.3K$954
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No$49.7K$-10.5K
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No$48.8K$-37
- Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No$46.4K$-495
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No$41.8K$1.5K
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No$38.9K$3.0K
- Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No$32.6K$162
- Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30?Yes$31.0K$2.2K
- Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes$22.6K$180
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No$19.9K$645
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No$18.8K$1.1K
- Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30?No$18.3K$325
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes$18.1K$146
- Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes$17.5K$-1.8K
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026No$17.5K$631
- Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?Yes$17.4K$16
- Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?No$16.7K$1.4K
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No$15.2K$139
- Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of summit?No$14.3K$-65
- Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?No$13.8K$593
- Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No$13.5K$1.5K
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes$12.8K$811
- Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?Yes$11.8K$-63
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?Yes$11.2K$491
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes$11.0K$197
- Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes$10.9K$224
- NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No$10.8K$-583
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?No$10.4K$115
- Iran full airspace closure by September 30?No$9.9K$473
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes$8.6K$709
- Iran leadership change by December 31?No$8.6K$-110
- Will the Republican Party win the TX-06 House seat?Yes$7.7K$-19
- Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?No$7.5K$1.2K
- Will the Republican Party win the GA-11 House seat?Yes$7.5K$64
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?No$7.5K$40
- NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?No$7.4K$169
- US strike on Mexico by December 31?No$7.0K$254
- Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?No$7.0K$106
- Yoon out of custody before 2027?No$6.7K$191
- Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?No$6.7K$342
- Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?No$5.5K$74
- Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Anthropic$5.2K$71
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No$4.7K$25
- Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?No$4.7K$160
- Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes$4.1K$-493
- Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?No$3.4K$137
- Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?No$3.2K$3
- Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$3.2K$-72
- Will the Republican Party win the RI-02 House seat?No$3.1K$45
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes$3.1K$-167
- Will the Philadelphia Phillies clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?Yes$3.0K$6
- Will Renan Santos qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?No$2.7K$60
- Will the Democratic Party win the ME-01 House seat?Yes$2.5K$23
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Yes$2.4K$112
- Will the Democratic Party win the MA-02 House seat?Yes$2.4K$-36
- Iran invades Kuwait by October 31?No$2.3K$80
- Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?No$2.2K$-5
- Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?Yes$2.1K$17
- MLB: 4-homer game in 2026?Yes$2.0K$-2.3K
- Will Frank Scarpitti win the 2026 Markham mayoral election?Yes$2.0K$12
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026?Yes$2.0K$424
- Ekrem İmamoğlu released from custody in 2026?No$2.0K$93
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?Yes$1.9K$12
- Will the Republican Party win the MS-01 House seat?Yes$1.9K$20
- Will the Republican Party win the MA-02 House seat?No$1.9K$-10
- Will AfD win 29-31 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes$1.9K$-12
- Will the Republican Party win the NY-06 House seat?No$1.8K$0
- Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No$1.6K$6
- Will the Democratic Party win the TX-06 House seat?No$1.6K$-2
- Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$1.5K$-194
- Will the Republican Party win the GA-10 House seat?Yes$1.4K$56
- Will the Democratic Party win the RI-02 House seat?Yes$1.4K$-1
- Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?No$1.2K$-42
- MLB: 4-homer game in 2026?No$1.2K$-527
- Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No$1.2K$20
- Will the Republican Party win the TX-07 House seat?No$1.2K$38
- Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?No$1.1K$-18
- Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?Yes$1.1K$-6.3K
- Will the Senate pass the Clarity Act by October 2?No$1.1K$0
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes$1.0K$-99
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No$998$998
- Will ByteDance have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No$992$62
- Will voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?No$963$2
- Will the Senate pass the Clarity Act by October 31?No$955$45
- Modi out by December 31, 2026?No$938$18
- Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?Yes$936$-16.6K
- Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No$900$0
- Will Trump insult Xi by end of summit?No$805$-2
- Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in September 2026?No$804$8
- Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes$773$42
- Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026?No$732$30
- Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026?Yes$696$-3
- Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31?Yes$681$29
- Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?Yes$675$-1
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
When
Market
Action
Size · Price
- 35d agoBought No$480@ 95.9¢
- 35d agoBought No$110@ 99.8¢
- 35d agoBought Yes$253@ 98.9¢
- 35d agoBought No$614@ 99.9¢
- 35d agoBought No$360@ 99.1¢
- 36d agoBought No$128@ 93.9¢
- 36d agoBought Yes$650@ 92.9¢
- 38d agoBought Yes$3.0K@ 98.8¢
- 38d agoBought Yes$747@ 83.0¢
- 38d agoBought No$4.8K@ 96.0¢
- 38d agoBought No$4.9K@ 98.7¢
- 38d agoBought No$781@ 97.6¢
- 38d agoBought No$795@ 99.4¢
- 38d agoBought No$198@ 99.1¢
- 38d agoBought No$2.5K@ 99.0¢
- 38d agoBought No$886@ 98.4¢
- 38d agoBought No$1.9K@ 93.0¢
- 38d agoBought No$2.8K@ 94.0¢
- 38d agoBought No$1.9K@ 96.0¢
- 38d agoBought No$49.3K@ 98.5¢
- 39d agoBought No$203@ 99.2¢
- 39d agoBought No$650@ 92.8¢
- 39d agoBought No$728@ 91.0¢
- 39d agoBought No$1.5K@ 99.7¢
- 40d agoBought Yes$990@ 98.4¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.