aenews2
0x44c1…ebc1View on Polymarket ↗
Total volume
$79.3K
Open positions
100
Trades (7d, mirrored)
7
Open P&L (est.)
$18.0K
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L (Polymarket)
$120.6K
Hit rate (resolved)
26%
Resolved positions
39
Longshot exposure
97%
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
Market
Outcome
Value
Open P&L (est.)
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes$134.4K$10.8K
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?No$74.5K$896
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No$73.9K$13.5K
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No$67.6K$3.3K
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No$38.5K$-2.8K
- Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?No$30.7K$1.6K
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No$30.5K$1.3K
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No$20.0K$5.6K
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No$10.5K$16
- Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes$8.2K$319
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes$7.3K$1.0K
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes$6.5K$-343
- Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?Yes$6.4K$-102
- Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No$6.3K$167
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?Yes$5.4K$84
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes$4.7K$746
- Will Julia Letlow be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?Yes$4.0K$98
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Yes$3.2K$2.1K
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes$3.0K$434
- Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Yes$2.7K$-686
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes$2.5K$-843
- Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes$2.3K$64
- Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?Yes$2.3K$7
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes$1.8K$-687
- Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes$1.7K$43
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No$1.7K$-888
- Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?Yes$1.4K$81
- Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?No$1.4K$45
- Kash Patel out by June 30?Yes$1.4K$-5.2K
- Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?Yes$1.4K$196
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes$1.3K$585
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Yes$1.3K$-467
- Ebola case in the US by June 30?Yes$1.1K$-2.1K
- Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes$1.0K$-266
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes$1.0K$-1.3K
- Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?No$971$-19
- Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?Yes$635$-124
- Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Yes$610$-388
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes$532$-147
- Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?Yes$505$-2.5K
- Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?Yes$479$-11
- Will Spencer Pratt concede by June 15?Yes$440$261
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?Yes$413$38
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes$356$-333
- Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?Yes$307$-953
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes$305$-105
- Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026?Yes$256$83
- Weed rescheduled by June 30?No$218$75
- Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027?Yes$199$21
- Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 17, 2026?Yes$190$138
- Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by 5–10%?No$188$27
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?Yes$187$-772
- Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in June 2026?Yes$185$-115
- Will 1 person leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?No$165$-17
- X banned in any European country by December 31?Yes$155$-74
- Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No$152$-85
- Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes$146$-21
- Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?Yes$130$-634
- Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Yes$104$-67
- Trump meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by June 30?Yes$102$2
- Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?No$96$-24
- Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?Yes$91$-23
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Yes$73$3
- Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?Yes$73$-43
- Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Yes$72$-35
- Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?Yes$66$-192
- Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?Yes$63$53
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes$62$10
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$56$-25
- Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?No$54$8
- Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by June 30?Yes$54$-113
- Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?Yes$41$-0
- Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by December 31, 2026?Yes$41$-27
- Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?Yes$40$-6
- Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?Yes$39$3
- Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?Yes$36$-17
- Will Xavier Becerra win the 2026 California Governor Primary Election by less than 5%?Yes$34$5
- Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?No$28$7
- Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?Yes$18$-540
- Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes$17$1
- Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?No$17$4
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?Yes$12$-12
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Yes$11$-167
- Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?No$10$6
- NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?Yes$9$-21
- Sudan civil war ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes$9$-43
- US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?Yes$5$-1
- Will Bahrain send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?Yes$5$2
- LA Mayoral Election: Spencer Pratt receives Over/Under 25%?Under$3$-73
- Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?No$3$2
- Sudan civil war ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes$3$1
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?Yes$2$-8
- Will Bahrain send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No$2$2
- Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?Yes$2$-0
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?No$2$-2.3K
- Will Ed Gallrein win the 2026 KY-04 Republican Primary Election by 9% or more?Yes$1$1
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?Yes$1$-2
- Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?Yes$1$0
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No$0$-1
- Will Toby Doeden and Jon Hansen advance to the South Dakota Republican Primary runoff election?Yes$0$-15
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
When
Market
Action
Size · Price
- 4h agoBought Yes$2.9K@ 57.5¢
- 6h agoSold Yes$284@ 3.6¢
- 25h agoBought Yes$61.3K@ 99.7¢
- 2d agoBought No$10.6K@ 87.9¢
- 4d agoBought Yes$132@ 95.8¢
- 4d agoBought Yes$134@ 87.0¢
- 5d agoBought Yes$514@ 86.0¢
- 11d agoBought Yes$1.3K@ 98.0¢
- 12d agoBought No$164@ 83.9¢
- 12d agoBought Yes$289@ 36.8¢
- 12d agoBought No$1.7K@ 38.5¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.