Arbguy
0x53e5…6177View on Polymarket ↗
Total volume
$52.7K
Open positions
32
Trades (7d, mirrored)
4
Open P&L (est.)
$-49.6K
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
Market
Outcome
Value
Open P&L (est.)
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes$90.6K$17.5K
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes$79.2K$35.7K
- Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes$31.9K$4.2K
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes$19.4K$112
- Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$16.5K$4.6K
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$12.1K$1.4K
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes$10.3K$-1.6K
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes$10.0K$-3.8K
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No$8.2K$-352
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No$7.2K$861
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes$5.1K$1.6K
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 12, 2026?Yes$3.3K$838
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?Yes$3.0K$-14.9K
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes$2.9K$-48.5K
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes$2.7K$-682
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes$1.6K$-2.7K
- Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?Yes$970$-267
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes$723$-356
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes$333$-8.4K
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Yes$324$-15.1K
- Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes$104$1
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes$42$1
- US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?Yes$22$-1
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes$17$-5
- Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?No$14$-2.7K
- Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?No$8$3
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes$0$-13.7K
- Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes$0$-533
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?Yes$0$-69
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?No$0$-1.9K
- Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?No$0$-1.0K
- Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?No$0$-81
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
When
Market
Action
Size · Price
- 28h agoBought Yes$509@ 16.5¢
- 40h agoBought Yes$17.7K@ 22.0¢
- 5d agoBought Yes$5.0K@ 5.0¢
- 5d agoBought Yes$29.5K@ 94.6¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.