Monstrous-Dew
Volume reflects the latest curated snapshot. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
- Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes$41.7K$-101
- Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$36.3K$10.1K
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$27.1K$83
- Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No$22.5K$-265
- Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?No$15.7K$1.9K
- Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes$12.9K$-446
- NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No$12.1K$2.0K
- Will Real Madrid reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?Yes$10.9K$661
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?No$9.7K$4.9K
- Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No$9.4K$-183
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$8.7K$-6.9K
- Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes$7.9K$2.0K
- Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?No$7.4K$1.3K
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes$5.5K$-147
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No$5.4K$314
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Yes$5.1K$-5.5K
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No$4.6K$800
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No$4.4K$290
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$4.0K$62
- Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?No$3.8K$1.2K
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$3.6K$-144
- Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?Yamal$3.5K$183
- Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes$3.0K$-660
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?No$3.0K$2.0K
- Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?Yes$2.9K$57
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$2.9K$-317
- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$2.9K$1
- Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes$2.7K$630
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes$2.6K$223
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No$2.5K$538
- Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$2.4K$-1.9K
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Yes$2.4K$128
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes$2.4K$-651
- Will Barcelona reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League quarterfinal?Yes$2.3K$-57
- Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes$2.3K$740
- Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Nikoloz BasilashviliDaniil Medvedev$2.1K$78
- Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?Yes$1.9K$-138
- Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes$1.9K$-138
- Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-25?Yes$1.8K$-18
- Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?Yes$1.7K$-176
- Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$1.6K$385
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes$1.6K$-383
- Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$1.6K$123
- Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$1.5K$827
- Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?No$1.5K$42
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$1.5K$-11
- Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes$1.4K$311
- Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$1.3K$581
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No$1.3K$324
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No$1.3K$-3.3K
- Pistons vs. 76ersPistons$1.3K$14
- Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?No$1.2K$121
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes$1.2K$196
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$1.1K$-56
- Will Chang San-cheng win the next Taoyuan Mayor election?Yes$1.1K$33
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo$1.1K$-685
- Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026?No$1.1K$98
- Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No$1.0K$302
- Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?No$1.0K$129
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$988$-796
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes$985$201
- Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes$979$300
- Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Yes$957$-118
- Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?No$928$-22
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$922$-7
- Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageBetBoom Team$913$261
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes$881$-2.6K
- Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$807$-8
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$797$-5.0K
- Will Ritual launch a token by June 30, 2027?Yes$772$54
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No$772$288
- Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?No$767$234
- Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes$758$121
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes$739$-85
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?Yes$733$-459
- Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?No$699$-138
- Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?No$679$221
- Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?Yes$677$-73
- Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?Yes$671$-127
- Will Merck (MRK) beat quarterly earnings?Yes$662$-18
- Will Reddit (RDDT) beat quarterly earnings?Yes$655$-25
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes$655$172
- Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No$651$16
- Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes$648$-50
- Will Hilton (HLT) beat quarterly earnings?Yes$645$-38
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$618$-4.2K
- Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?No$605$113
- Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?Yes$598$14
- Will Solana reach $320 by December 31, 2026?No$584$49
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No$579$297
- Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Yes$571$-29
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No$568$88
- Will eBay (EBAY) beat quarterly earnings?Yes$560$36
- Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?Yes$558$104
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$552$-2.4K
- Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes$535$0
- Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes$525$-197
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)Olympique de Marseille$513$29
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?Yes$503$-74
- Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes$497$0
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
- 66d agoSold BoomBoys$178@ 78.5¢
- 66d agoBought TEAM VISION$281@ 77.0¢
- 66d agoBought Yes$936@ 73.0¢
- 66d agoSold Dplus KIA Challengers$335@ 99.9¢
- 66d agoSold No$937@ 83.6¢
- 66d agoSold No$1.0K@ 93.1¢
- 66d agoSold Team Spirit$429@ 99.9¢
- 66d agoSold Yes$495@ 99.9¢
- 66d agoSold Yes$114@ 99.9¢
- 66d agoBought Over$185@ 49.0¢
- 66d agoBought Zizou Bergs$335@ 80.0¢
- 66d agoSold Up$125@ 75.0¢
- 66d agoSold Toronto Blue Jays$902@ 24.3¢
- 66d agoBought Toronto Blue Jays$181@ 22.9¢
- 67d agoSold No$997@ 99.8¢
- 67d agoSold FURIA$229@ 99.9¢
- 67d agoSold FURIA$164@ 99.9¢
- 67d agoBought FURIA$465@ 58.0¢
- 67d agoBought Tommy Paul$181@ 15.0¢
- 67d agoBought Sorana Cirstea$1.8K@ 47.9¢
- 67d agoSold Up$122@ 77.9¢
- 67d agoBought Mirra Andreeva$186@ 53.0¢
- 67d agoBought Jakub Mensik$280@ 67.9¢
- 67d agoSold G2$136@ 99.9¢
- 67d agoBought Jessica Pegula$234@ 71.0¢
How to read this page
This page describes the public Polymarket activity for the wallet Monstrous-Dew. The headline figures are $340 of traded volume, 26 currently visible open positions, and a naive realized profit-and-loss estimate of $-9.8K. Each figure is read straight from public on-chain and public-API records that anyone could query.
Traded volume of $340 is light and is simply a measure of how much activity the address has moved through the platform. It does not imply skill or endorsement. The realized figure of $-9.8K is negative and is a naive estimate from the public data, with a 62% win rate across resolved positions. Past activity says nothing about future outcomes.
The open-positions table lists the 26 markets where this wallet currently holds a visible position, with the side, size, and current mark for each. Every row links through to that market's own page, where the same price reads as the market's implied probability. The positions are activity to observe, not a model to follow.
- Read traded volume as activity, not skill. Take the $340 of traded volume as a measure of how much the wallet has moved through Polymarket. A high figure means the address has been active at scale; it does not imply skill, endorsement, or any judgment about future results.
- Treat the profit-and-loss figure as a naive estimate. The realized figure of $-9.8K is a naive estimate derived from public data and is negative. It is described where the public records expose it and carries no guarantee of accuracy.
- Open the positions for context. Use the positions table to see which markets the wallet currently sits in. Each row links to that market's page, where the price reads as the market's implied probability. The positions are public activity to observe.
- Keep it as observation. Read the figures as a description of what a public address has done, and form your own view. Nothing on this page directs an action or follows a wallet.
How these figures are derived
Volume, the open-position count, and the realized profit-and-loss estimate are read from Polymarket's public data API and the public chain. We identify the wallet only by its public address and any display name Polymarket itself has already published, and we do not tie an address to a real-world person.
The realized figure of $-9.8K is a deliberately naive estimate, not an audited result, and the win rate is shown only where the public data exposes it. The page renders from a periodic snapshot, so the 26 visible positions and the $340 of volume are as of the most recent pull and may already differ from the live platform.
For the full detail on sources and limits, see the methodology page.
Frequently asked questions
What does the $340 traded volume for this wallet mean?
It is a measure of how much activity this public Polymarket address has moved through the platform, read from public records. A light figure means the wallet has been active at scale. It does not imply skill, endorsement, or any judgment about future results, and it is shown as an observation rather than guidance.
How is the realized profit-and-loss figure calculated?
The $-9.8K figure is a naive realized estimate derived from the wallet's public trade and position data, currently negative. It is not an audited result and carries no guarantee of accuracy. Past activity says nothing about future outcomes, and the figure is reported only to describe what the public data shows.
How current are the positions shown here?
They are as of the latest snapshot of Polymarket's public data, not the current second. The 26 visible positions and the $340 of traded volume can already differ from the live platform, since activity on Polymarket moves continuously.
Can I follow or copy this wallet from Cent Signals?
No. Cent Signals is editorial and read-only. There is no copy-trade feature, order routing, wallet connection, or fund custody here. The wallet's activity is shown as public on-chain data to observe, and nothing on this page is financial, investment, or betting advice.
Compiled by the Cent Signals editorial desk. Reviewed June 3, 2026.
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.