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Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
- LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No$9.4K$-337
- Fetterman out by September 30, 2026?No$7.3K$74
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes$4.8K$-167
- Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 11, 2026?No$1.8K$235
- Will Kanye West meet with Vladimir Putin by October 31?No$1.5K$-8
- Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No$1.4K$-60
- Weed rescheduled by December 31?No$1.4K$126
- Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?No$905$51
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?No$785$-248
- Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No$710$-18
- Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?No$670$204
- LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?No$537$-14
- Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?No$518$145
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?Yes$178$52
- LAPTOP airdrop by September 30?No$173$-72
- LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?No$64$-12
- LAPTOP airdrop by September 9?No$46$-53
- Weed rescheduled by September 30?No$36$-1
- Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?Yes$25$11
- Clavicular sentenced to prison?No$21$4
- Will Hunter Biden launch a coin by September 30?No$1$-0
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Yes$0$-44
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 2 WinnerVitality$0$-11.8K
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 WinnerNongshim Red Force$0$-5.6K
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerHanwha Life Esports$0$-31.2K
- Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETDown$0$-551
- LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK PlayoffsBNK FEARX$0$-12.3K
- Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?No$0$-1.7K
- LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 WinnerKT Rolster$0$-22.1K
- US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo MusettiLorenzo Musetti$0$-4.4K
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 4 WinnerMOUZ$0$-8.4K
- LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsNinjas in Pyjamas$0$-13.3K
- Will Linke win less than 9% of all valid second votes?No$0$-1.7K
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 WinnerG2 Esports$0$-227
- Will Lille OSC win on 2026-08-28?Yes$0$-7.9K
- Will SPD win between 7% and 9% of all valid second votes?Yes$0$-1.7K
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerFUT Esports$0$-15.2K
- Will SPD win at least 9% of all valid second votes?No$0$-103
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 2 WinnerFnatic$0$-2.8K
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 WinnerBilibili Gaming$0$-19.7K
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 WinnerInvictus Gaming$0$-4.2K
- Monterrey Open: Clara Tauson vs Diane ParryClara Tauson$0$-6.3K
- Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-05?Yes$0$-11.1K
- LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsTop Esports$0$-36.6K
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 1 WinnerDplus KIA$0$-30.7K
- LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 WinnerDplus KIA$0$-21.1K
- Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 10 and 15 million views on day 1?Yes$0$-2.0K
- LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 WinnerT1$0$-29.3K
- UFC Fight Night: Yan Xiaonan vs. Denise Gomes (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)Yan Xiaonan$0$-42.5K
- 49ers vs. RaidersRaiders$0$-29.9K
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp$0$-30.3K
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - IEM Beijing: Global Open Qualifier Playoffs100 Thieves$0$0
- LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports - Game 3 WinnerTeam Vitality$0$-11.4K
- Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. SV 07 Elversberg end in a draw?Yes$0$-3.9K
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 WinnerNongshim Red Force$0$-1.7K
- US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Arthur GeaJuan Manuel Cerundolo$0$-30.5K
- LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonG2 Esports$0$-7.6K
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK PlayoffsBNK FEARX$0$-27.0K
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 1 WinnerFnatic$0$-4.2K
- Will Darline Graham Nordone win the SC Republican Senate special primary runoff by 5–10%?Yes$0$-42
- Will the AfD win the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary election by 20-25%?Yes$0$-489
- Porto: Pedro Vives Marcos vs Alejandro Moro CanasAlejandro Moro Canas$0$-26.3K
- US Open ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Francisco CerundoloTaylor Fritz$0$-9.5K
- LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 3 WinnerT1$0$-47.6K
- Miami Marlins vs. Kansas City RoyalsMiami Marlins$0$-48.7K
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 2 WinnerDplus KIA$0$-54.1K
- Manacor: Felix Balshaw vs Alexandre MullerAlexandre Muller$0$-37.5K
- US Open ATP: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Alex de MinaurAlex de Minaur$0$-11.4K
- Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?Yes$0$-621
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
- 19d agoBought Hanwha Life Esports$2.8K@ 62.6¢
- 19d agoBought Hanwha Life Esports$5.6K@ 56.0¢
- 24d agoBought Hanwha Life Esports$7.6K@ 58.9¢
- 24d agoBought KT Rolster$1.8K@ 58.0¢
- 24d agoBought KT Rolster$2.1K@ 38.0¢
- 24d agoBought KT Rolster$2.2K@ 37.0¢
- 25d agoBought Yes$1.3K@ 52.6¢
- 26d agoBought Hanwha Life Esports$1.1K@ 79.0¢
- 26d agoBought Gen.G$3.3K@ 51.0¢
- 27d agoSold Milwaukee Brewers$3.0K@ 47.0¢
- 28d agoBought DN SOOPers$124@ 69.0¢
- 29d agoBought SK Gaming$3.5K@ 53.6¢
- 29d agoBought Gen.G$848@ 70.0¢
- 34d agoBought Gen.G$1.3K@ 77.0¢
- 46d agoBought Daria Snigur$6.4K@ 77.0¢
- 46d agoBought JD Gaming$5.9K@ 73.0¢
- 47d agoBought Detroit Tigers$4.4K@ 74.0¢
- 47d agoBought Detroit Tigers$504@ 74.0¢
- 47d agoBought 100 Thieves$1.3K@ 67.6¢
- 47d agoBought JD Gaming$310@ 62.0¢
- 47d agoBought JD Gaming$2.8K@ 60.0¢
- 47d agoBought JD Gaming$371@ 49.9¢
- 48d agoBought San Francisco Giants$5.0K@ 55.0¢
- 48d agoBought GamerLegion$466@ 19.9¢
- 48d agoSold LGD Gaming$1.0K@ 36.3¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.