Full-Variability
Volume reflects the latest curated snapshot. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
- Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?Yes$467$39
- Will "72 Hours" be the top global Netflix movie this week?Yes$446$238
- Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?Yes$417$363
- Will "I Will Find You: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?Yes$398$172
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?No$350$179
- Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No$329$4
- Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes$285$1
- Will "The Ultimatum: Marry or Move On: Season 4" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?No$261$22
- Will "A Toxic Love Story" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?Yes$169$139
- Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No$156$77
- Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No$113$5
- Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes$104$-12
- Will "72 Hours" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?Yes$97$34
- Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?Yes$88$7
- Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes$73$-42
- Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?No$68$-3
- StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?No$65$51
- Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes$65$-29
- Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?Yes$60$-70
- Will "A Toxic Love Story" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?Yes$46$-109
- Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$46$33
- Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?Yes$34$-159
- Will “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?No$33$6
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$32$-68
- Will "72 Hours" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Yes$28$-78
- Will “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?Yes$26$-1
- Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?No$25$-87
- Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?No$20$-22
- Will "Avatar: The Last Airbender: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?No$20$1
- Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?Yes$20$-171
- Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?Yes$19$-148
- Will "72 Hours" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?No$14$-27
- Will "A Toxic Love Story" be the top US Netflix movie this week?Yes$13$4
- Will "A Toxic Love Story" be the top US Netflix movie this week?No$12$-18
- Will "I Will Find You: Limited Series" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?No$12$8
- Will "The Body in the Locker" be the top global Netflix movie this week?No$10$1
- Will "Avatar: The Last Airbender: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?No$10$1
- Will "The Ultimatum: Marry or Move On: Season 4" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?No$10$1
- Will "The Boss Baby" be the top global Netflix movie this week?No$10$1
- Will "Avatar: The Last Airbender: Season 2" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?No$10$1
- Will "Wicked: For Good" be the top global Netflix movie this week?No$10$1
- Will "The Ultimatum: Marry or Move On: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week?No$10$1
- Will "Worst Neighbor Ever: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?No$10$1
- Will "Sesame Street Classics: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?No$10$1
- Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?No$6$-30
- Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?Yes$3$-1
- Will "A Toxic Love Story" be the top global Netflix movie this week?Yes$3$-52
- Will Sterling K. Brown – “Paradise” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a drama series?Yes$2$1
- Will "I Will Find You: Limited Series" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?Yes$2$-10
- Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?Yes$1$0
- Will "Little House on the Prairie: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?Yes$1$1
- Will "72 Hours" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?Yes$1$-9
- Will "I Will Find You: Limited Series" be the top global Netflix show this week?No$1$-25
- Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$1$-6
- Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 200m and 220m?Yes$0$-10
- Will Disclosure Day get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes$0$-8
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
- No mirrored trades for this wallet yet. We accumulate public trade history over time, so this may fill in later.
How to read this page
This page describes the public Polymarket activity for the wallet Full-Variability. The headline figures are $132 of traded volume, 4 currently visible open positions, and a naive realized profit-and-loss estimate of $220. Each figure is read straight from public on-chain and public-API records that anyone could query.
Traded volume of $132 is light and is simply a measure of how much activity the address has moved through the platform. It does not imply skill or endorsement. The realized figure of $220 is positive and is a naive estimate from the public data, with a 75% win rate across resolved positions. Past activity says nothing about future outcomes.
The open-positions table lists the 4 markets where this wallet currently holds a visible position, with the side, size, and current mark for each. Every row links through to that market's own page, where the same price reads as the market's implied probability. The positions are activity to observe, not a model to follow.
- Read traded volume as activity, not skill. Take the $132 of traded volume as a measure of how much the wallet has moved through Polymarket. A high figure means the address has been active at scale; it does not imply skill, endorsement, or any judgment about future results.
- Treat the profit-and-loss figure as a naive estimate. The realized figure of $220 is a naive estimate derived from public data and is positive. It is described where the public records expose it and carries no guarantee of accuracy.
- Open the positions for context. Use the positions table to see which markets the wallet currently sits in. Each row links to that market's page, where the price reads as the market's implied probability. The positions are public activity to observe.
- Keep it as observation. Read the figures as a description of what a public address has done, and form your own view. Nothing on this page directs an action or follows a wallet.
How these figures are derived
Volume, the open-position count, and the realized profit-and-loss estimate are read from Polymarket's public data API and the public chain. We identify the wallet only by its public address and any display name Polymarket itself has already published, and we do not tie an address to a real-world person.
The realized figure of $220 is a deliberately naive estimate, not an audited result, and the win rate is shown only where the public data exposes it. The page renders from a periodic snapshot, so the 4 visible positions and the $132 of volume are as of the most recent pull and may already differ from the live platform.
For the full detail on sources and limits, see the methodology page.
Frequently asked questions
What does the $132 traded volume for this wallet mean?
It is a measure of how much activity this public Polymarket address has moved through the platform, read from public records. A light figure means the wallet has been active at scale. It does not imply skill, endorsement, or any judgment about future results, and it is shown as an observation rather than guidance.
How is the realized profit-and-loss figure calculated?
The $220 figure is a naive realized estimate derived from the wallet's public trade and position data, currently positive. It is not an audited result and carries no guarantee of accuracy. Past activity says nothing about future outcomes, and the figure is reported only to describe what the public data shows.
How current are the positions shown here?
They are as of the latest snapshot of Polymarket's public data, not the current second. The 4 visible positions and the $132 of traded volume can already differ from the live platform, since activity on Polymarket moves continuously.
Can I follow or copy this wallet from Cent Signals?
No. Cent Signals is editorial and read-only. There is no copy-trade feature, order routing, wallet connection, or fund custody here. The wallet's activity is shown as public on-chain data to observe, and nothing on this page is financial, investment, or betting advice.
Compiled by the Cent Signals editorial desk. Reviewed June 3, 2026.
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.