0xd4aa6f8e91cfea29b66a48ebff52814
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No$176.4K$65.1K
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$46.2K$-65.1K
- Spread: England (-2.5)England$0$-33
- Will the furthest home run at the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby travel 500+ Feet?Yes$0$-52
- Will another team (incl. Lyon) win MSI 2026?Yes$0$-22
- France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes$0$-9.3K
- France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceFrance$0$-680.3K
- UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Conor McGregor$0$-280.6K
- Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Argentina$0$-295
- France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes$0$-3.1K
- Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak DjokovicNovak Djokovic$0$-82.8K
- Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes$0$-365.7K
- Will a team from LCS (North America) win MSI 2026?Yes$0$-49
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Spain$0$-13.8K
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON - Game 1 WinnerLYON$0$-481
- France vs. Spain: Both Teams to ScoreYes$0$-42.7K
- Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceArgentina$0$-492.1K
- Will England win on 2026-07-15?Yes$0$-465.1K
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsLYON$0$-2.9K
- UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)Benoît Saint Denis$0$-1.8K
- Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?No$0$-26.5K
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
- 18d agoBought Yes$18.0K@ 60.0¢
- 20d agoBought Alexander Zverev$166@ 18.0¢
- 22d agoBought Yes$246@ 54.3¢
- 29d agoBought Over$9.6K@ 45.0¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.