coali10
0x7bc1…8db4View on Polymarket ↗
Total volume
$28.8K
Open positions
100
Trades (7d, mirrored)
1
Open P&L (est.)
$-379.3K
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L (Polymarket)
$289.8K
Hit rate (resolved)
2%
Resolved positions
119
Longshot exposure
79%
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
Market
Outcome
Value
Open P&L (est.)
- Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No$84.2K$22.2K
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No$51.1K$16.1K
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No$43.9K$-7.0K
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes$42.7K$7.1K
- Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes$38.6K$4.3K
- Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?No$21.6K$375
- Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?Yes$19.5K$338
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes$13.5K$-1.5K
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?No$12.3K$-11.0K
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes$11.1K$1.6K
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No$9.6K$1.0K
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No$8.4K$-1.3K
- Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes$6.5K$414
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes$6.0K$-5.4K
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes$4.8K$1.3K
- Iran full airspace closure by August 31?Yes$3.2K$635
- Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Yes$2.9K$-954
- Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Yes$1.4K$-419
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes$1.2K$-363
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?Yes$1.2K$-3.7K
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?No$1.1K$-520
- Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes$1.1K$-397
- US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes$989$-255
- Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes$633$519
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No$439$39
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No$340$-11.4K
- US x China Military clash before 2027?Yes$268$-40
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes$215$-353
- Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Yes$122$31
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes$97$-3
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?Yes$72$-123
- Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes$25$-20
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?No$13$-71
- LoL: Cloud9 vs Dignitas - Game 2 WinnerDignitas$10$-4.0K
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?No$5$-332
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes$1$-336
- Will 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes$1$-76
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Yes$0$-20
- Will Joo Ho-young win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?Yes$0$-1.0K
- Will LeBron James play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27?Yes$0$-1.5K
- Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?No$0$-3.3K
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?Yes$0$-118
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes$0$-182
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?No$0$-151
- Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes$0$-766
- Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?No$0$-16.8K
- Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?Yes$0$-66
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes$0$-100
- Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?No$0$-2
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ shotsNo$0$-62.5K
- Will LeBron James play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?Yes$0$-1.4K
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes$0$-762
- Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?No$0$-1.6K
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes$0$-22.9K
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?No$0$-55.3K
- Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev$0$-1.1K
- Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?Yes$0$-1.4K
- Iran full airspace closure by July 24?Yes$0$-937
- Will LeBron James play for the Utah Jazz in 2026-27?Yes$0$-1.5K
- Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes$0$-766
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes$0$-17.2K
- Will LeBron James play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?Yes$0$-1.5K
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-211
- US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?Yes$0$-1.7K
- UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Conor McGregor$0$-53.0K
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Yes$0$-561
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes$0$-22
- Will Lee Jae-man win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?Yes$0$-1.0K
- Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?Yes$0$-1.3K
- Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?Yes$0$-1.3K
- Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?No$0$-2.1K
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes$0$-21.8K
- Will Kang Min-gu win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?Yes$0$-1.0K
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?Yes$0$-153
- Over $40M committed to the Credible public sale?Yes$0$-368
- Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ shotsNo$0$-15
- Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes$0$-766
- Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?Yes$0$-1.5K
- Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes$0$-4.4K
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-5.3K
- US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?Yes$0$-1.0K
- Over $45M committed to the Credible public sale?Yes$0$-11
- Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes$0$-2.7K
- Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-8.2K
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Yes$0$-2.8K
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to AdvanceSenegal$0$-17.0K
- Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?Yes$0$-1.4K
- Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes$0$-766
- Will LeBron James play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27?Yes$0$-1.5K
- Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?Yes$0$-3.0K
- Will LeBron James play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27?Yes$0$-1.5K
- Will Kim Han-koo win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?Yes$0$-1.0K
- Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes$0$-288
- Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?Yes$0$-211
- Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-66
- Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?Yes$0$-1.3K
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes$0$-49.1K
- Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes$0$-766
- Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?Yes$0$-2.1K
- Will LeBron James play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?Yes$0$-1.5K
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
When
Market
Action
Size · Price
- 3h agoBought No$252@ 31.0¢
- 8d agoBought Yes$623@ 15.0¢
- 8d agoBought Yes$2.5K@ 99.5¢
- 8d agoBought Yes$597@ 35.0¢
- 9d agoBought Yes$120@ 12.0¢
- 9d agoBought Yes$1.5K@ 44.0¢
- 9d agoBought Yes$1.1K@ 40.4¢
- 9d agoBought Yes$115@ 8.0¢
- 11d agoBought No$3.0K@ 52.9¢
- 11d agoBought No$1.2K@ 10.9¢
- 12d agoBought Yes$4.2K@ 12.0¢
- 14d agoSold No$1.4K@ 49.5¢
- 18d agoBought Yes$2.2K@ 4.8¢
- 26d agoBought No$4.1K@ 79.0¢
- 28d agoSold No$6.1K@ 59.3¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.