coali10
0x7bc1…8db4View on Polymarket ↗
Total volume
$50.3K
Open positions
100
Trades (7d, mirrored)
0
Open P&L (est.)
$-558.6K
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L (Polymarket)
$289.8K
Hit rate (resolved)
2%
Resolved positions
119
Longshot exposure
79%
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
Market
Outcome
Value
Open P&L (est.)
- Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes$40.3K$6.0K
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No$35.7K$12.4K
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?No$16.6K$5.9K
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No$10.1K$-40.8K
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No$6.9K$436
- Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes$6.7K$622
- Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No$5.9K$2.6K
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$5.2K$2.2K
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No$2.4K$942
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes$2.0K$-2.5K
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No$1.9K$424
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Yes$1.1K$-1.3K
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes$833$-881
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Yes$740$-733
- Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes$580$466
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes$522$-2.8K
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No$455$55
- Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes$435$-242
- US x China Military clash before 2027?Yes$231$-77
- US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes$97$-3
- Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Yes$93$-2.5K
- Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes$45$0
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes$25$-3.3K
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes$8$-3.3K
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?No$0$-4.5K
- Will Joo Ho-young win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?Yes$0$-1.0K
- Will LeBron James play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27?Yes$0$-1.5K
- Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?No$0$-3.3K
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?Yes$0$-118
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes$0$-182
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?No$0$-151
- Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes$0$-766
- Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International PlayoffsTEAM VISION$0$-17.3K
- Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?No$0$-16.8K
- Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?Yes$0$-66
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes$0$-100
- Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?No$0$-2
- Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ shotsNo$0$-62.5K
- Will LeBron James play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?Yes$0$-1.4K
- Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?Yes$0$-845
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes$0$-762
- Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election?No$0$-1.6K
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit - Map 1 WinnerLegacy$0$-1.7K
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes$0$-22.9K
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?No$0$-55.3K
- Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev$0$-1.1K
- Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?Yes$0$-1.4K
- Iran full airspace closure by July 24?Yes$0$-937
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?Yes$0$-106
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons$0$-100.0K
- Will LeBron James play for the Utah Jazz in 2026-27?Yes$0$-1.5K
- Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?No$0$-16.2K
- Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes$0$-766
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Yes$0$-17.2K
- Will LeBron James play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?Yes$0$-1.5K
- Will Pamela Evette be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes$0$-205
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-211
- US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?Yes$0$-1.7K
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes$0$-337
- UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Conor McGregor$0$-53.0K
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Yes$0$-561
- Will Joe Wilson be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes$0$-205
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?Yes$0$-22
- Will Lee Jae-man win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?Yes$0$-1.0K
- Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?Yes$0$-1.3K
- Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?Yes$0$-1.3K
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Yandex$0$-14
- O/U 4.5 RoundsUnder$0$-22.3K
- Dota 2: RE.Arise vs Spirit Academy - Game 2 WinnerSpirit Academy$0$-7.9K
- Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?No$0$-2.1K
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes$0$-21.8K
- Will Kang Min-gu win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?Yes$0$-1.0K
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?Yes$0$-153
- Over $40M committed to the Credible public sale?Yes$0$-368
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by August 31?Yes$0$-20
- Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ shotsNo$0$-15
- Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes$0$-766
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?No$0$-84
- Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?Yes$0$-1.5K
- Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes$0$-4.4K
- Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-5.3K
- US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?Yes$0$-1.0K
- Over $45M committed to the Credible public sale?Yes$0$-11
- Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No$0$-2.0K
- Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes$0$-2.7K
- Israel closes its airspace by August 31?Yes$0$-1.5K
- Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-8.2K
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?Yes$0$-2.8K
- Will Paul Dans be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes$0$-205
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to AdvanceSenegal$0$-17.0K
- Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?Yes$0$-1.4K
- Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes$0$-766
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons$0$-5.5K
- Dota 2: summer bear vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 Winnersummer bear$0$-17.1K
- Will LeBron James play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27?Yes$0$-1.5K
- Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?Yes$0$-3.0K
- NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Yes$0$-3.7K
- Will LeBron James play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27?Yes$0$-1.5K
- Will Kim Han-koo win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?Yes$0$-1.0K
- Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes$0$-288
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
When
Market
Action
Size · Price
- 27d agoBought No$277@ 25.7¢
- 29d agoBought Yes$3.0K@ 29.5¢
- 32d agoBought Yes$186@ 4.6¢
- 32d agoBought Yes$969@ 34.0¢
- 34d agoBought No$139@ 21.0¢
- 34d agoBought Yes$10.4K@ 35.0¢
- 34d agoBought No$9.9K@ 35.0¢
- 34d agoBought No$312@ 10.0¢
- 34d agoBought Yes$273@ 2.0¢
- 35d agoBought No$1.2K@ 40.0¢
- 35d agoBought No$2.6K@ 37.8¢
- 41d agoBought Yes$2.5K@ 90.0¢
- 43d agoBought LYON$7.7K@ 50.0¢
- 44d agoBought No$252@ 31.0¢
- 52d agoBought Yes$623@ 15.0¢
- 52d agoBought Yes$2.5K@ 99.5¢
- 52d agoBought Yes$597@ 35.0¢
- 53d agoBought Yes$120@ 12.0¢
- 53d agoBought Yes$1.5K@ 44.0¢
- 53d agoBought Yes$1.1K@ 40.4¢
- 54d agoBought Yes$115@ 8.0¢
- 55d agoBought No$3.0K@ 52.9¢
- 55d agoBought No$1.2K@ 10.9¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.