Car
0x7c3d…5c6bView on Polymarket ↗
Total volume
$76.9K
Open positions
100
Trades (7d, mirrored)
25
Open P&L (est.)
$7.4K
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L (Polymarket)
$80.2K
Hit rate (resolved)
48%
Resolved positions
29
Longshot exposure
74%
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
Market
Outcome
Value
Open P&L (est.)
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes$109.2K$73
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Yes$16.2K$139
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No$13.8K$3.7K
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?No$10.8K$48
- Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?Yes$10.5K$6
- Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No$9.1K$316
- Netanyahu out by June 30?No$8.4K$648
- Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No$8.4K$123
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No$5.5K$193
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?No$5.3K$48
- Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No$5.0K$469
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes$4.6K$403
- Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?No$4.4K$25
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?No$3.8K$139
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes$3.6K$378
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes$3.1K$-245
- Iran Nuke before 2027?No$3.0K$141
- World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?No$2.9K$-16
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No$2.7K$88
- Iran coup attempt by June 30?No$2.5K$791
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$2.4K$-542
- Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Yes$2.2K$187
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No$2.2K$35
- Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30?No$2.1K$100
- Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes$2.0K$6
- Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?No$1.9K$124
- Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026?Yes$1.9K$31
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes$1.7K$-435
- Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No$1.7K$94
- Trump goes to space in 2026?No$1.6K$30
- NATO dissolves before 2027?No$1.5K$46
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?No$1.3K$435
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes$1.3K$-49
- Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?No$1.1K$14
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?No$990$370
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?No$945$476
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No$934$11
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No$920$25
- Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?No$869$360
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No$800$216
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes$759$-106
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes$744$56
- Will Iran legalize gay marriage?No$738$12
- Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No$703$2
- Will Elon register any party before 2027?No$684$87
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes$673$166
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$603$42
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$565$5
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$555$-245
- Will Venezuela become 51st state?No$531$18
- Will Neymar play in the World Cup?Yes$530$-3
- Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026?Yes$524$-284
- Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31?Yes$505$39
- Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?No$497$-4
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$453$194
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?No$426$-19
- Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?No$360$103
- US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes$342$39
- Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$342$15
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No$340$-229
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes$339$-21
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No$314$-107
- Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes$310$-130
- Will Jared Kushner enter Iran by June 30?No$298$28
- Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?No$294$30
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes$285$-35
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?Yes$269$-20
- Kurds declare independence from Iran?No$267$61
- Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No$256$3
- US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?Yes$249$-15
- Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?No$242$11
- Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?Yes$197$-72
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes$193$-167
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes$191$-244
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes$190$-147
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$185$1
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Yes$183$18
- Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?Yes$163$-21
- Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Yes$156$53
- Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes$152$-79
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$149$54
- U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?Yes$148$33
- Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?Yes$131$-96
- Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?Yes$124$-195
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$122$-38
- Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?Yes$120$-211
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$116$6
- Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?Yes$95$-95
- Will Trump pardon Derek Chauvin before 2027?Yes$89$-29
- Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?Yes$88$1
- Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026?Yes$85$-33
- Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?Yes$75$-4
- Mike Johnson out as Speaker by December 31?No$66$17
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Yes$66$60
- Will Juanma Moreno be the next President of Andalusia following the regional election?Yes$63$1
- Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No$58$50
- Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by July 31?Yes$37$-8
- Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?Yes$36$-71
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?Yes$33$-93
- Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?No$30$10
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
When
Market
Action
Size · Price
- 3h agoBought No$511@ 23.0¢
- 4h agoBought No$111@ 49.9¢
- 4h agoBought No$157@ 47.0¢
- 7h agoBought Yes$169@ 68.0¢
- 7h agoBought Yes$143@ 68.0¢
- 8h agoBought Yes$1.4K@ 68.5¢
- 8h agoBought No$2.5K@ 85.0¢
- 28h agoBought No$2.5K@ 83.1¢
- 29h agoBought Yes$2.8K@ 97.0¢
- 29h agoBought Yes$1.9K@ 93.0¢
- 31h agoBought Yes$330@ 66.0¢
- 3d agoBought Yes$2.6K@ 78.3¢
- 3d agoBought Yes$2.2K@ 98.0¢
- 4d agoBought Yes$578@ 26.0¢
- 4d agoBought Yes$603@ 21.0¢
- 4d agoSold Yes$432@ 35.0¢
- 4d agoBought Yes$1.1K@ 96.0¢
- 4d agoBought No$816@ 15.0¢
- 5d agoBought No$1.4K@ 80.0¢
- 5d agoBought No$3.0K@ 59.6¢
- 6d agoBought Yes$1.3K@ 26.0¢
- 6d agoSold No$177@ 88.3¢
- 6d agoSold No$1.3K@ 26.0¢
- 6d agoBought No$2.9K@ 88.4¢
- 6d agoBought No$4.5K@ 89.7¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.