Car
0x7c3d…5c6bView on Polymarket ↗
Total volume
$137.1K
Open positions
100
Trades (7d, mirrored)
0
Open P&L (est.)
$-775
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L (Polymarket)
$29.2K
Hit rate (resolved)
33%
Resolved positions
9
Longshot exposure
76%
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
Market
Outcome
Value
Open P&L (est.)
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No$222.1K$83.2K
- Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?No$75.9K$148
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No$67.6K$323
- Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?No$58.7K$-708
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$55.7K$-83.2K
- Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?No$17.5K$86
- Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026?No$17.2K$87
- Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?No$13.0K$242
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No$12.4K$2.5K
- Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?No$12.1K$80
- Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No$11.8K$242
- Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?No$11.6K$-79
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No$10.2K$37
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo$10.1K$255
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No$9.8K$74
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No$9.6K$-50
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Yes$8.8K$579
- Iran Nuke before 2027?No$8.0K$369
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No$7.1K$184
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?No$6.2K$177
- Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?No$5.9K$-23
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes$5.8K$64
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No$4.9K$150
- Trump out as President before 2027?No$4.8K$73
- Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?No$4.7K$-16
- Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?Yes$4.4K$46
- Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?No$4.3K$50
- Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No$3.9K$20
- Trump goes to space in 2026?No$3.8K$40
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Yes$3.7K$164
- Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?No$3.6K$12
- Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?No$3.4K$112
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No$3.1K$47
- Russia coup attempt in 2026?No$2.9K$72
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No$2.9K$-1
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?No$2.7K$229
- Trump meets with Putin by November 30?Yes$2.5K$132
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?No$2.3K$16
- Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?No$2.3K$-120
- Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes$2.1K$12
- Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?No$2.0K$132
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No$1.9K$14
- US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No$1.9K$12
- Iran nuclear test before 2027?No$1.9K$-7
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No$1.9K$-10
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$1.9K$-1.1K
- Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No$1.8K$46
- Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026?No$1.8K$-20
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Yes$1.8K$80
- Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes$1.6K$-5.4K
- NATO dissolves before 2027?No$1.6K$92
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes$1.6K$-60
- Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?No$1.5K$34
- Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Yes$1.5K$26
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Yes$1.4K$-286
- Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Yes$1.4K$1
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?Yes$1.3K$-25
- Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026?No$1.3K$281
- Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes$1.3K$-1.2K
- Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2028?No$1.3K$7
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes$1.3K$-51
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$1.3K$84
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$1.3K$201
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes$1.3K$6
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?No$1.2K$104
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Yes$1.1K$212
- GTA VI released by November 30?Yes$1.1K$32
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Yes$1.1K$61
- Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?No$1.1K$21
- Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?No$977$-9
- Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No$966$1
- Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?No$965$65
- Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?No$950$50
- Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2028?No$944$13
- Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No$925$23
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No$925$-5
- Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?Yes$871$-175
- Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No$851$36
- NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Yes$850$60
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes$790$140
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?No$781$-45
- Will Iran legalize gay marriage?No$741$15
- NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?No$729$2
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes$724$40
- Will Elon register any party before 2027?No$685$88
- Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No$682$18
- Tesla Roadster delivered by December 31, 2027?No$673$84
- Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027?No$654$10
- Iran leadership change by December 31?No$627$6
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes$611$-140
- Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No$607$23
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$603$42
- Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?No$602$-0
- Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$554$87
- Will Venezuela become 51st state?No$538$26
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?Yes$525$-135
- Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?No$515$14
- Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes$501$12
- Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No$501$4
- Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Yes$497$2
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
When
Market
Action
Size · Price
- 62d agoBought Yes$980@ 98.0¢
- 62d agoBought Yes$3.9K@ 97.8¢
- 62d agoSold Yes$710@ 71.0¢
- 63d agoSold Yes$277@ 0.7¢
- 63d agoBought Yes$1.9K@ 93.0¢
- 63d agoBought Yes$145@ 8.0¢
- 63d agoBought No$778@ 97.3¢
- 63d agoBought No$424@ 94.7¢
- 63d agoSold No$136@ 41.2¢
- 64d agoBought No$933@ 93.3¢
- 64d agoSold Yes$102@ 5.0¢
- 64d agoBought No$472@ 85.0¢
- 64d agoSold No$2.1K@ 57.2¢
- 64d agoBought Yes$172@ 15.0¢
- 64d agoSold No$383@ 87.0¢
- 64d agoSold No$229@ 76.3¢
- 64d agoBought Yes$201@ 7.0¢
- 64d agoBought No$2.1K@ 96.0¢
- 64d agoBought No$5.2K@ 95.4¢
- 64d agoBought No$212@ 64.7¢
- 64d agoSold No$4.6K@ 83.0¢
- 65d agoBought No$4.7K@ 94.0¢
- 65d agoSold Yes$198@ 11.0¢
- 66d agoSold Yes$254@ 3.6¢
- 68d agoSold Yes$338@ 49.3¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.