Gaditima
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
- Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat?Yes$13.6K$-241
- Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?No$13.1K$-101
- Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat?Yes$10.1K$-41
- Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$9.8K$-192
- Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?No$7.7K$-891
- Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No$7.1K$-610
- Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Yes$7.1K$1.2K
- Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No$6.7K$256
- Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes$6.1K$169
- Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?No$6.0K$-2.0K
- Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?No$5.7K$25
- Will Oliver Marmol win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?No$5.1K$10
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$5.0K$291
- Will the Democratic Party win the TX-34 House seat?Yes$4.9K$237
- Will Connor Wood win Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?No$4.8K$352
- Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes$4.7K$67
- Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes$4.6K$-107
- Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes$4.5K$85
- Will Kentucky Wildcats Win the 2026 SEC Championship?No$4.0K$-453
- Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat?No$3.9K$-430
- Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat?Yes$3.6K$-486
- Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?Yes$3.5K$-140
- Blue Origin New Glenn launch in 2026?No$3.5K$154
- Will the Republican Party win the AR-02 House seat?Yes$3.5K$34
- Will Dplus KIA win Worlds 2026?No$3.5K$-8
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No$3.5K$441
- Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Yes$3.4K$-546
- Will the Democratic Party win the TX-35 House seat?Yes$3.0K$53
- Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No$2.7K$504
- Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes$2.6K$226
- Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat?Yes$2.5K$26
- Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?Yes$2.5K$73
- Will the Republican Party win the IN-05 House seat?Yes$2.3K$33
- Clippers vs. ThunderThunder$2.3K$185
- Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat?Yes$2.3K$-314
- Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat?No$2.2K$41
- Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes$2.1K$-839
- Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat?No$2.1K$127
- Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes$2.1K$-7
- Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?Yes$2.1K$-3
- Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?No$2.1K$179
- Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?No$2.0K$265
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No$2.0K$74
- Will the Democratic Party win the NC-07 House seat?No$2.0K$-19
- Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026?No$1.9K$107
- Will the Republican Party win the VA-01 House seat?Yes$1.9K$-274
- Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?No$1.9K$389
- Will the Democrats win the Louisiana Senate race in 2026?No$1.8K$-20
- Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?No$1.8K$-566
- Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?No$1.8K$218
- Will the Democratic Party win the OH-15 House seat?Yes$1.8K$256
- Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$1.8K$-204
- Will "Wildwood" score at least 98 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes$1.7K$681
- Will the Republican Party win the PA-01 House seat?Yes$1.7K$-185
- Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes$1.7K$256
- Spread: Ravens (-7.5)Bengals$1.6K$140
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes$1.6K$70
- Will Invictus Gaming win Worlds 2026?No$1.5K$73
- Will the Republican Party win the FL-07 House seat?Yes$1.5K$19
- Will the Democratic Party win the NC-01 House seat?No$1.5K$-909
- Will the Republican Party win the FL-14 House seat?Yes$1.5K$41
- Will Bryce Underwood win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?No$1.4K$2
- Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?Yes$1.4K$436
- Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Yes$1.3K$144
- Will the Democratic Party win the IN-05 House seat?No$1.3K$-22
- Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?No$1.3K$380
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?Yes$1.3K$181
- Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?No$1.2K$-170
- Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?Yes$1.2K$679
- Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?No$1.2K$90
- Will the Republican Party win the IA-02 House seat?Yes$1.1K$-338
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Yes$994$-709
- Will Inter Milan be relegated from the 2026-27 Serie A?No$994$434
- Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?No$966$186
- Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?No$952$39
- Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No$944$19
- Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-31?Yes$935$-0
- Spread: Rams (-3.5)Rams$930$-30
- Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Yes$922$-33
- Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes$905$-39
- Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat?Yes$895$13
- Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No$888$23
- Will Drake be the second most streamed artist for 2026?Yes$855$281
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in October?No$855$80
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01?Yes$855$5
- Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat?No$835$-121
- Will the Democratic Party win the MD-01 House seat?Yes$805$360
- Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?Yes$795$15
- No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?Yes$789$12
- Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat?Yes$770$43
- Spread: Ravens (-1.5)Ravens$770$-150
- Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes$740$-24
- Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?Yes$730$50
- Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes$730$10
- Spread: Colts (-14.5)Vikings$728$21
- Yokohama BayStars vs. Fukuoka SoftBank HawksFukuoka SoftBank Hawks$726$250
- Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October?No$721$25
- Will Will Venable win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?Yes$710$-20
- Will Taylor Swift release an album in 2026?Yes$678$-1.1K
- Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Yes$672$42
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
- 66d agoBought Yes$370@ 21.6¢
- 67d agoBought Yes$172@ 33.0¢
- 67d agoBought G2 Esports$910@ 75.0¢
- 67d agoBought No$187@ 18.7¢
- 67d agoBought No$372@ 18.6¢
- 67d agoBought Max Hans Rehberg$176@ 57.5¢
- 67d agoBought No$279@ 71.9¢
- 67d agoBought No$367@ 20.7¢
- 68d agoBought No$215@ 78.8¢
- 68d agoBought Yes$187@ 84.5¢
- 68d agoBought BRUTE$355@ 71.0¢
- 68d agoBought Yes$245@ 82.4¢
- 68d agoBought Yes$425@ 85.0¢
- 68d agoBought Yes$301@ 74.0¢
- 68d agoBought Dallas Wings$253@ 31.0¢
- 68d agoBought Dallas Wings$270@ 27.0¢
- 68d agoBought Yes$1.8K@ 96.9¢
- 68d agoBought Yes$972@ 97.2¢
- 68d agoBought Yes$975@ 97.5¢
- 68d agoBought Yes$387@ 19.3¢
- 68d agoBought Minnesota Twins$465@ 93.0¢
- 68d agoBought Minnesota Twins$465@ 93.0¢
- 68d agoBought Minnesota Twins$930@ 93.0¢
- 68d agoBought Yes$146@ 87.0¢
- 68d agoBought Minnesota Twins$1.9K@ 93.0¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.