StasPanda
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
- Will Iceland win on 2026-09-26?No$24.0K$18.8K
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group AXtreme Gaming$7.5K$215
- Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?No$6.9K$700
- Will Slovakia win on 2026-09-26?No$5.5K$2.0K
- Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-26?No$4.4K$-450
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes$2.0K$350
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes$1.4K$-1.3K
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$889$-1.2K
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes$549$-754
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Yes$438$-5.4K
- Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes$334$-143
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes$208$-243
- Jumper listed on Binance within 30 days of TGE?Yes$139$66
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes$96$-236
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Galorys (BO3) - FERJEE In House PlayoffsGalorys$15$-12.7K
- Will Finland win on 2026-09-26?No$12$-1.9K
- Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Infinite (BO3) - Leon.bet Masters PlayoffsGenOne$7$-7.3K
- Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?Yes$1$-0
- Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes$0$-88
- Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier PlayoffsShindeN$0$-4.5K
- Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs 5star (+1.5)5star$0$-11.0K
- Counter-Strike: K27 vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group StageK27$0$-2.0K
- LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Knights RivalsEDward Gaming$0$-701
- Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group Cfnatic$0$-28.1K
- Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19?No$0$-22.2K
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC PlayoffsKarmine Corp$0$-47.5K
- Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)Legacy$0$-4.6K
- Map Handicap: K27 (-1.5) vs largadosypelados (+1.5)largadosypelados$0$-1.4K
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendThunderTalk Gaming$0$-12.9K
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group AscendTop Esports$0$-29.4K
- Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Nemiga (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4: Closed Qualifier PlayoffsFOKUS$0$-585
- Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs K27 (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1: Closed Qualifier Playoffslargadosypelados$0$-1.1K
- Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-12?No$0$-13.8K
- Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group StageG2 Ares$0$-14.7K
- LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsJD Gaming$0$-5.7K
- Valorant: G2 Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 PlayoffsG2 Esports$0$-10.7K
- Counter-Strike: Iberian Soul vs Butterfly (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 PlayoffsButterfly$0$-3.1K
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group AG2$0$-11.0K
- Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17?No$0$-4.1K
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs OG (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Closed Qualifier PlayoffsOG$0$-5.9K
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?No$0$-36.1K
- Valorant: Ushiras vs Arashi GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Brazil Final Stage PlayoffsArashi GC$0$0
- LoL: BIG vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division PlayoffsKaufland Hangry Knights$0$-2.4K
- Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Phantom (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Closed Qualifier PlayoffsPhantom$0$-5.0K
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend GroupT1$0$-54.7K
- US Open WTA: Yulia Putintseva vs Belinda BencicBelinda Bencic$0$-21.0K
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere$0$-38.8K
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerInner Circle Esports$0$-49
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonFnatic$0$-22.0K
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)Legacy$0$-5.0K
- Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)JD Gaming$0$-6.1K
- LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsTeam WE$0$-12.5K
- Will BRION win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?Yes$0$-6
- Will Amanda Anisimova win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Yes$0$-100
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs TYLOO - Map 1 WinnerTYLOO$0$-1.3K
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over$0$-1.5K
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs FaZe (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group BFaZe$0$-37.5K
- LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC PlayoffsKarmine Corp$0$-190
- LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsTop Esports$0$-33.8K
- Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Leo Team (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageGenOne$0$-6.7K
- US Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Elena RybakinaNaomi Osaka$0$-183
- Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Liquid (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group BLiquid$0$-50
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Phantom (BO3) - 1win Private Club #1: Closed Qualifier PlayoffsPhantom$0$-36.7K
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK PlayoffsT1$0$-31
- Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-08-22?No$0$-1.4K
- Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-09-19?No$0$-4.1K
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsInvictus Gaming$0$-32.4K
- LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC PlayoffsGIANTX$0$-3.3K
- Map Handicap: HOTU (-1.5) vs Color (+1.5)HOTU$0$-1.5K
- Map Handicap: G1 (-1.5) vs Leo Team (+1.5)GenOne$0$-4.6K
- LoL: Pyramid IV Esports vs Lodis (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group APyramid IV Esports$0$-21
- US Open ATP: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Arthur FilsArthur Fils$0$-3.7K
- Will Team Liquid Win The International 2026?Yes$0$-818
- Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs ASTRAL (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Closed Qualifier PlayoffsASTRAL$0$-1.3K
- Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20?No$0$-3.8K
- LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend GroupKT Rolster$0$-12.8K
- LoL: White Dragons vs Dominion Goblins (BO5) - LPLOL PlayoffsDominion Goblins$0$-2.4K
- Will BoomBoys Win The International 2026?Yes$0$-771
- Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Imperial (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 PlayoffsGalorys$0$-20.4K
- Will Team Spirit Win The International 2026?No$0$-18.2K
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonGIANTX$0$-29.6K
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming$0$-14.4K
- US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Corentin MoutetCorentin Moutet$0$-28.9K
- LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS PlayoffsSentinels$0$-33.6K
- US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben SheltonBen Shelton$0$-4.2K
- Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-06?No$0$-2.1K
- Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-31?No$0$-15
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs1win$0$-7.5K
- Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13?No$0$-960
- Game Handicap: TH (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)Team Heretics$0$-12.0K
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier PlayoffsSinners$0$-13.7K
- LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-InBNK FearX Youth$0$-17.9K
- Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+1.5)Bilibili Gaming$0$-23.8K
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs TYLOO (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group BTYLOO$0$-12.1K
- LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise GroupKiwoom DRX$0$-25.4K
- US Open ATP: Mariano Navone vs Novak DjokovicNovak Djokovic$0$-1.2K
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #8 PlayoffsJust Players$0$-6.9K
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group StageUNiTY esports$0$-9.2K
- Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group StageHAVU$0$-2.1K
- Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International PlayoffsTeam Falcons$0$-23.9K
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
- 37d agoBought JD Gaming$6.1K@ 43.9¢
- 38d agoBought Team Falcons$12.4K@ 68.0¢
- 39d agoBought Rafael Jodar$209@ 73.0¢
- 39d agoBought Over$468@ 33.4¢
- 39d agoBought Nongshim Esports Academy$752@ 60.0¢
- 39d agoBought Nongshim Esports Academy$16.5K@ 60.0¢
- 39d agoBought Nuno Borges$2.4K@ 39.0¢
- 40d agoBought Adam Walton$2.4K@ 42.0¢
- 40d agoBought Andrey Rublev$3.8K@ 62.0¢
- 40d agoBought Raccoons$19.7K@ 73.0¢
- 40d agoBought No$202@ 52.0¢
- 40d agoBought Over$209@ 44.1¢
- 42d agoBought Vivo Keyd Stars$10.9K@ 27.0¢
- 43d agoBought Vivo Keyd Stars$608@ 28.0¢
- 43d agoBought Dplus KIA$1.5K@ 44.0¢
- 43d agoBought No$33.2K@ 83.0¢
- 43d agoBought No$8.2K@ 83.0¢
- 44d agoBought LGD Gaming$7.1K@ 62.0¢
- 44d agoBought Anyones Legend$6.6K@ 59.0¢
- 44d agoBought Anyones Legend$8.3K@ 59.0¢
- 44d agoBought Anyones Legend$2.6K@ 59.0¢
- 44d agoBought Over$1.7K@ 43.0¢
- 44d agoBought Team Falcons$20.0K@ 70.8¢
- 44d agoBought Fnatic$10.7K@ 44.0¢
- 47d agoSold Yes$123@ 13.0¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.