0x84d4f0a8
Volume reflects the latest curated snapshot. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
- Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No$861$112
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on July 27?No$673$183
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on July 27?No$488$154
- Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?No$448$51
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Yes$443$107
- Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?Yes$438$26
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No$421$-172
- Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Yes$394$207
- Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?No$354$-26
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Yes$344$17
- Iran full airspace closure by August 15?No$328$-8
- Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Chloe PaquetChloe Paquet$322$-42
- Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos TsitsipasStefanos Tsitsipas$318$3
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 27?Yes$317$211
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?No$307$-70
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No$307$-12
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes$271$54
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami MarlinsMiami Marlins$266$-4
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 27?No$261$63
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes$259$3
- Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?No$249$5
- Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?Yes$248$31
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 27?No$247$80
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No$244$-3
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 27?No$240$29
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No$239$-0
- US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes$236$24
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No$233$-25
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 33°C on July 27?No$227$43
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No$221$7
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?No$213$57
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C or higher on July 27?Yes$211$159
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?No$205$-66
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 27?Yes$199$168
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?No$193$-4
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes$192$-5
- Will Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?No$188$-2
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 27?No$185$28
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes$179$-8
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?No$179$-64
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?No$176$-52
- Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?Yes$168$16
- Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No$167$-18
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 27?Yes$159$119
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?No$159$-64
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No$156$9
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Yes$152$34
- Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Yes$151$36
- Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Yes$149$7
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?No$145$20
- Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?No$141$6
- Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?No$124$105
- Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes$122$1
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27?Yes$119$23
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?Yes$118$-2
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on July 27?No$118$28
- Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Yes$117$-0
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 27?No$116$14
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes$115$78
- Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?Yes$114$2
- Will "The Hawk: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?Yes$111$21
- LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend GroupHanwha Life Esports$109$-1
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes$106$-13
- Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?Yes$105$18
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No$105$25
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes$104$-74
- Will Shakira's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by August 31?No$102$19
- Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?Yes$101$0
- Iran leadership change by September 30?No$101$5
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?No$100$11
- Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No$99$-0
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Yes$98$-3
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No$97$-9
- US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?Yes$93$28
- Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Yes$91$-27
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No$89$1
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 27?Yes$87$43
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes$85$-67
- LoL: paiN Gaming Academy vs Ei Nerd Esports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular SeasonpaiN Gaming Academy$84$-3
- Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes$81$-1
- Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary SvajdaAleksandar Vukic$78$-5
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes$76$4
- Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?No$74$2
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?No$74$13
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?No$74$3
- No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the August 2026 meeting?Yes$72$1
- Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?No$69$-3
- Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?No$69$-3
- Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?No$67$-5
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 27?No$67$12
- Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?No$67$-48
- Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes$65$3
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No$65$-2
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?No$63$2
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No$59$5
- Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes$58$5
- Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?Yes$58$55
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No$56$-2
- Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more?No$56$-10
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Yes$55$-0
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
- No mirrored trades for this wallet yet. We accumulate public trade history over time, so this may fill in later.
How to read this page
This page describes the public Polymarket activity for the wallet 0x84d4f0a8. The headline figures are $65 of traded volume, 37 currently visible open positions, and a naive realized profit-and-loss estimate of $420. Each figure is read straight from public on-chain and public-API records that anyone could query.
Traded volume of $65 is light and is simply a measure of how much activity the address has moved through the platform. It does not imply skill or endorsement. The realized figure of $420 is positive and is a naive estimate from the public data, with a 70% win rate across resolved positions. Past activity says nothing about future outcomes.
The open-positions table lists the 37 markets where this wallet currently holds a visible position, with the side, size, and current mark for each. Every row links through to that market's own page, where the same price reads as the market's implied probability. The positions are activity to observe, not a model to follow.
- Read traded volume as activity, not skill. Take the $65 of traded volume as a measure of how much the wallet has moved through Polymarket. A high figure means the address has been active at scale; it does not imply skill, endorsement, or any judgment about future results.
- Treat the profit-and-loss figure as a naive estimate. The realized figure of $420 is a naive estimate derived from public data and is positive. It is described where the public records expose it and carries no guarantee of accuracy.
- Open the positions for context. Use the positions table to see which markets the wallet currently sits in. Each row links to that market's page, where the price reads as the market's implied probability. The positions are public activity to observe.
- Keep it as observation. Read the figures as a description of what a public address has done, and form your own view. Nothing on this page directs an action or follows a wallet.
How these figures are derived
Volume, the open-position count, and the realized profit-and-loss estimate are read from Polymarket's public data API and the public chain. We identify the wallet only by its public address and any display name Polymarket itself has already published, and we do not tie an address to a real-world person.
The realized figure of $420 is a deliberately naive estimate, not an audited result, and the win rate is shown only where the public data exposes it. The page renders from a periodic snapshot, so the 37 visible positions and the $65 of volume are as of the most recent pull and may already differ from the live platform.
For the full detail on sources and limits, see the methodology page.
Frequently asked questions
What does the $65 traded volume for this wallet mean?
It is a measure of how much activity this public Polymarket address has moved through the platform, read from public records. A light figure means the wallet has been active at scale. It does not imply skill, endorsement, or any judgment about future results, and it is shown as an observation rather than guidance.
How is the realized profit-and-loss figure calculated?
The $420 figure is a naive realized estimate derived from the wallet's public trade and position data, currently positive. It is not an audited result and carries no guarantee of accuracy. Past activity says nothing about future outcomes, and the figure is reported only to describe what the public data shows.
How current are the positions shown here?
They are as of the latest snapshot of Polymarket's public data, not the current second. The 37 visible positions and the $65 of traded volume can already differ from the live platform, since activity on Polymarket moves continuously.
Can I follow or copy this wallet from Cent Signals?
No. Cent Signals is editorial and read-only. There is no copy-trade feature, order routing, wallet connection, or fund custody here. The wallet's activity is shown as public on-chain data to observe, and nothing on this page is financial, investment, or betting advice.
Compiled by the Cent Signals editorial desk. Reviewed June 3, 2026.
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.