0x8931…a90c
0x8931…a90cView on Polymarket ↗
Total volume
$170.9K
Open positions
100
Trades (7d, mirrored)
1
Open P&L (est.)
$5.4K
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L (Polymarket)
$0
Hit rate (resolved)
100%
Resolved positions
34
Longshot exposure
100%
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
Market
Outcome
Value
Open P&L (est.)
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?No$208.0K$125
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?No$49.8K$56
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No$29.3K$316
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No$27.6K$1.4K
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No$24.2K$1.7K
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No$19.5K$11
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No$19.4K$157
- Will Venezuela become 51st state?No$19.1K$30
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No$19.0K$-49
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No$16.3K$26
- Iran Nuke before 2027?No$13.6K$98
- Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No$12.6K$43
- Will Hong Kong have 600mm or more of precipitation in July?Yes$10.9K$7
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No$8.6K$1
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No$8.5K$78
- Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?No$7.9K$12
- Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No$7.4K$29
- Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 95 mph?Yes$7.1K$25
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?No$5.5K$5
- Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 100 mph?Yes$5.2K$51
- Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?No$5.0K$5
- JD Vance out as VP by December 31?No$4.8K$75
- Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?No$4.6K$-2
- Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?No$4.6K$6
- Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?No$4.3K$49
- Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No$3.6K$-2
- Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?No$3.6K$93
- Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?No$3.6K$20
- Human moon landing in 2026?No$3.5K$40
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of December?No$3.4K$5
- Will Iran legalize gay marriage?No$3.2K$3
- Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?No$3.1K$3
- Will Ventuals launch a token by September 30 2026?No$3.1K$49
- Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?No$3.0K$84
- Ventuals FDV above $100M one day after launch?No$2.5K$67
- Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?No$2.5K$47
- Probable FDV above $100M one day after launch?No$2.4K$109
- AI data center in space by December 31, 2026?No$2.4K$23
- Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?No$2.3K$4
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Austria by September 30, 2026?No$2.3K$-14
- Will Phantom launch a token by September 30, 2026?No$2.2K$-3
- Taylor & Travis divorce in 2026?No$2.2K$32
- Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 90 mph?Yes$2.1K$3
- Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?No$2.1K$37
- Will Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?No$2.1K$24
- Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No$2.0K$16
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia by September 30, 2026?No$2.0K$1
- Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?No$2.0K$15
- Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026?No$1.9K$18
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No$1.9K$50
- Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?No$1.8K$5
- Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?No$1.8K$38
- Ventuals FDV above $1B one day after launch?No$1.7K$27
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?No$1.7K$7
- Ventuals FDV above $300M one day after launch?No$1.6K$30
- Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No$1.4K$3
- Ventuals FDV above $800M one day after launch?No$1.4K$26
- Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?No$1.3K$-8
- Obama federally charged before 2027?No$1.3K$10
- Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden before 2027?No$1.2K$28
- Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes before 2027?No$1.2K$74
- Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?No$1.1K$4
- Will Alberta join the US?No$1.1K$7
- Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?No$1.0K$12
- Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?No$1.0K$12
- Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?No$1.0K$34
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?No$1.0K$4
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran by September 30, 2026?No$1,000$1
- Will Hong Kong have between 425-450mm of precipitation in July?No$978$1
- Will Tulsi Gabbard announce a presidential run before 2027?No$971$37
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?No$952$-10
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December?No$935$4
- Will the highest recorded wind on Mt. Washington in July be at least 85 mph?Yes$924$1
- Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?No$915$-5
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No$915$35
- Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?No$896$0
- Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch?No$832$12
- Will Hong Kong have less than 400mm of precipitation in July?No$828$1
- Will Betmoar launch a token by September 30, 2026?No$815$28
- Will Hong Kong have between 400-425mm of precipitation in July?No$809$1
- Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?No$772$13
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No$751$0
- Ventuals FDV above $500M one day after launch?No$731$11
- Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2027?No$709$4
- SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?No$697$2
- Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?No$687$0
- Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi NakamotoNothing$687$4
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes$677$89
- Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?No$651$1
- Will Betmoar launch a token by December 31, 2026?No$634$20
- Will Trump deport less than 200k people?No$611$10
- Will Tim Walz announce a Presidential run before 2027?No$587$17
- Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?No$581$34
- Will the Bayeux Tapestry be back in France by December 31, 2026?No$574$1
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?No$507$7
- EU dissolves before 2027?No$501$1
- Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026?No$498$11
- Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?No$496$6
- Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?No$492$-172
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?No$478$13
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
When
Market
Action
Size · Price
- 4h agoBought No$29.2K@ 99.9¢
- 8d agoBought No$334@ 99.9¢
- 8d agoBought No$103@ 34.7¢
- 8d agoBought Yes$12.3K@ 99.9¢
- 11d agoBought Yes$12.6K@ 99.9¢
- 12d agoBought No$450@ 90.0¢
- 12d agoBought Yes$488@ 99.0¢
- 12d agoBought Yes$298@ 99.2¢
- 12d agoBought Yes$423@ 99.4¢
- 12d agoBought Yes$192@ 99.9¢
- 13d agoBought Yes$222@ 98.0¢
- 13d agoBought Yes$207@ 99.9¢
- 14d agoBought Yes$3.2K@ 99.0¢
- 14d agoBought No$261@ 99.9¢
- 14d agoBought No$205@ 99.9¢
- 14d agoBought No$101@ 99.7¢
- 14d agoBought Yes$254@ 99.7¢
- 14d agoBought Yes$142@ 94.9¢
- 14d agoBought No$499@ 99.7¢
- 14d agoBought No$360@ 99.8¢
- 15d agoBought No$573@ 95.0¢
- 15d agoBought No$62.8K@ 99.9¢
- 15d agoBought No$163@ 59.0¢
- 15d agoBought No$351@ 96.4¢
- 15d agoBought No$109@ 95.0¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.