0xd8dA6BF26964aF9D7eEd9e03E53415D37aA9604
0x8a98…1b92View on Polymarket ↗
Total volume
$116.4K
Open positions
100
Trades (7d, mirrored)
237
Open P&L (est.)
$1.2K
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
Market
Outcome
Value
Open P&L (est.)
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No$2.7K$15
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes$2.1K$93
- Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?No$2.0K$11
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?No$1.8K$130
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes$1.7K$-0
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Yes$1.7K$13
- Trump out as President before 2027?No$1.7K$-13
- Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No$1.6K$56
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No$1.5K$762
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?Yes$1.5K$-15
- Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?No$1.3K$-204
- Starmer out by July 31, 2026?Yes$1.2K$133
- Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No$1.1K$485
- Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?Yes$993$24
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes$949$11
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?Yes$887$172
- Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?No$784$-1
- Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?No$698$-9
- Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?Yes$691$-26
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?Yes$642$132
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?Yes$582$155
- Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes$468$51
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes$465$15
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No$465$22
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes$458$-70
- Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?No$454$4
- Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?No$409$92
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No$382$-8
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No$364$-8
- Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?Yes$357$212
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No$354$49
- Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?No$344$51
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No$302$-5
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Yes$279$29
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?No$275$-27
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes$275$15
- Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?No$267$37
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Yes$265$59
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes$263$-26
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Yes$250$-50
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No$239$2
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes$212$6
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes$210$-50
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes$186$-104
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12?No$180$-0
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No$178$-3
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?No$173$24
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?No$172$7
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No$167$3
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes$167$20
- Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?Yes$166$-558
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes$165$-31
- Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?No$151$3
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?Yes$151$19
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 12?No$149$6
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No$147$-46
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes$143$5
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?No$138$-12
- Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Yes$118$-37
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?Yes$116$12
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes$102$9
- Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?No$97$6
- EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?No$95$2
- Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's US Open?No$90$-1
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Yes$89$-14
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?Yes$83$1
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?No$81$0
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No$81$-7
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes$80$-14
- Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?Yes$76$45
- NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?Yes$75$-61
- Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 National League Championship Series?No$73$1
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?No$62$0
- Will KeyBank fail by June 30, 2026?No$56$-0
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes$53$1
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes$49$-33
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes$47$3
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes$44$0
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?Yes$42$1
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No$38$2
- Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No$37$-1
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No$37$-2
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes$35$-1
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12?No$35$-309
- US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes$33$-1
- Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Yes$31$8
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026?Yes$30$-1
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 12?No$30$6
- Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?Yes$30$-9
- Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?No$29$10
- Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?Yes$28$9
- JD Vance out as VP by June 30?Yes$27$-27
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No$26$0
- Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?Yes$21$-25
- Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?Yes$20$-2
- Israel closes its airspace by June 14?No$19$0
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No$17$-0
- Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes$17$-8
- Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?No$15$1
- Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?Yes$15$-5
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
When
Market
Action
Size · Price
- 12m agoSold Yes$300@ 75.0¢
- 19m agoSold Yes$1.0K@ 38.0¢
- 20m agoSold Yes$125@ 13.9¢
- 1h agoBought Yes$239@ 12.0¢
- 1h agoSold No$427@ 84.0¢
- 3h agoBought Yes$213@ 15.2¢
- 4h agoBought Yes$753@ 30.0¢
- 5h agoBought No$2.5K@ 83.8¢
- 6h agoBought Yes$298@ 16.0¢
- 6h agoBought No$324@ 98.5¢
- 6h agoBought No$508@ 98.0¢
- 6h agoBought No$782@ 97.8¢
- 6h agoBought No$283@ 73.0¢
- 6h agoSold Yes$121@ 44.0¢
- 6h agoBought No$242@ 62.0¢
- 6h agoBought No$679@ 96.0¢
- 6h agoBought No$293@ 97.7¢
- 6h agoBought No$2.6K@ 96.0¢
- 6h agoSold Yes$126@ 5.0¢
- 7h agoSold Yes$157@ 54.0¢
- 9h agoBought Yes$216@ 10.9¢
- 10h agoSold No$122@ 38.0¢
- 11h agoSold Yes$392@ 15.0¢
- 11h agoSold Yes$1.2K@ 83.0¢
- 12h agoSold Yes$336@ 70.0¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.