stupid22
0x8afa…adb6View on Polymarket ↗
Total volume
$16.1K
Open positions
68
Trades (7d, mirrored)
1
Open P&L (est.)
$6.0K
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L (Polymarket)
$25.9K
Hit rate (resolved)
60%
Resolved positions
10
Longshot exposure
96%
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
Market
Outcome
Value
Open P&L (est.)
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No$182.8K$2.0K
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No$99.3K$2.8K
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?No$77.0K$1.2K
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No$48.0K$1.6K
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No$47.0K$763
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No$35.8K$-1.4K
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 31?No$22.9K$11
- Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No$22.6K$677
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No$20.5K$-196
- Trump out as President before 2027?No$18.7K$100
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?No$14.9K$126
- Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?Yes$12.6K$67
- Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes$9.2K$249
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 31?No$7.6K$4
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 1?Yes$6.9K$1
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in August?No$6.9K$101
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on August 1?No$6.6K$3
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 2?No$6.6K$10
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 1?No$6.1K$3
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes$5.5K$2.2K
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$5.3K$340
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No$4.9K$33
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 31?No$4.8K$220
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 31?Yes$4.5K$2
- Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes$4.3K$47
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 1?No$4.2K$2
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes$4.2K$250
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes$3.8K$-442
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No$3.7K$-450
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 1?No$3.2K$2
- Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?No$3.2K$-36
- Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$2.9K$-67
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on July 31?No$2.7K$2
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 2?No$2.3K$1
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on July 31?Yes$2.2K$1
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes$2.2K$-39
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$2.0K$112
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on July 31?No$1.9K$1
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 31?No$1.2K$1
- Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$1.0K$-30
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 31?No$781$0
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes$750$-2.8K
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 1?Yes$687$0
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 31?No$655$0
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 1?No$630$0
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 1?No$607$0
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on July 31?No$500$2
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on July 31?No$500$1
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 31?No$481$0
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on July 31?No$478$1
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 1?No$262$0
- Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?No$207$31
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on August 1?No$170$1
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$151$-55
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 31?No$126$0
- Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?No$124$14
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 1?No$111$0
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseYes$100$-46
- Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 2?No$54$0
- 5kt meteor strike in 2026?Yes$53$-42
- China coup attempt before 2027?No$5$0
- Russia x Ukraine Peace ParlayNo$5$1
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No$1$0
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-402
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes$0$-39
- Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes$0$-196
- Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?Yes$0$-688
- Will Yang Hyang-ja win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?Yes$0$-1
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
When
Market
Action
Size · Price
- 19h agoBought No$195@ 99.9¢
- 8d agoBought No$225@ 99.0¢
- 8d agoSold No$871@ 95.1¢
- 9d agoBought No$362@ 98.2¢
- 10d agoBought No$762@ 99.9¢
- 11d agoBought Yes$953@ 99.8¢
- 11d agoBought Yes$486@ 99.9¢
- 12d agoBought No$628@ 99.9¢
- 12d agoBought Yes$548@ 99.9¢
- 12d agoBought No$260@ 99.9¢
- 12d agoBought No$137@ 99.9¢
- 13d agoBought No$110@ 99.8¢
- 13d agoBought No$303@ 99.8¢
- 13d agoBought No$3.3K@ 99.8¢
- 15d agoBought Yes$2.2K@ 99.9¢
- 15d agoBought Yes$296@ 59.2¢
- 15d agoBought Yes$201@ 40.2¢
- 16d agoBought No$174@ 99.9¢
- 28d agoBought No$4.2K@ 83.0¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.