stupid22
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No$153.9K$297
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No$140.0K$6.5K
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No$74.8K$1.1K
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No$37.8K$1.8K
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No$36.0K$491
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?No$23.6K$57
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No$22.9K$-1.4K
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No$20.1K$74
- Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?No$19.4K$318
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No$16.9K$1.0K
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?No$15.5K$287
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?No$14.9K$340
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June?No$5.0K$368
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No$4.9K$119
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes$3.7K$-552
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes$3.4K$987
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?No$3.2K$42
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes$3.0K$-195
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes$2.0K$28
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes$1.6K$-2.5K
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?No$1.2K$105
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in June?No$993$25
- MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026?No$708$40
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No$635$5
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?No$299$64
- Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?No$216$34
- Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?No$124$14
- Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?No$101$4
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseYes$82$-25
- 5kt meteor strike in 2026?Yes$52$-43
- Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No$43$1
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?No$29$2
- Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes$12$-26
- China coup attempt before 2027?No$5$0
- Russia x Ukraine Peace ParlayNo$4$0
- Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes$1$-195
- Will Yang Hyang-ja win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?Yes$0$-1
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
- 18h agoBought No$688@ 93.4¢
- 18h agoBought No$117.9K@ 93.3¢
- 10d agoBought No$201@ 87.0¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.