Exemplary-Toga
Volume reflects the latest curated snapshot. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
- Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$310$1
- Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$169$3
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No$141$-1
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No$85$-8
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes$66$-2
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No$36$2
- Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No$27$0
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No$25$-0
- Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Yes$11$0
- Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$9$-0
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes$6$0
- Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$4$-0
- Another crypto hack over $100m by December 31?Yes$3$-0
- Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$0$-0
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETUp$0$-1
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETUp$0$-2
- Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETUp$0$-6
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ETUp$0$-3
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ETUp$0$-14
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETUp$0$-4
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETDown$0$-4
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETDown$0$-22
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETUp$0$-136
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETDown$0$-1
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ETDown$0$-7
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETUp$0$-1
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETDown$0$-7
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETDown$0$-15
- Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?Yes$0$-5
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Yes$0$-135
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETUp$0$-8
- Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?Yes$0$-152
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETDown$0$-19
- Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETUp$0$-31
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETUp$0$-10
- Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?Yes$0$-29
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETDown$0$-6
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:30AM-12:35AM ETUp$0$-184
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETDown$0$-4
- Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?Yes$0$-93
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:15AM-6:20AM ETUp$0$-178
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETDown$0$-1
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ETUp$0$-5
- Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?Yes$0$-1
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETUp$0$-25
- Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?Yes$0$-176
- Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?Yes$0$-1
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETDown$0$-1
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETUp$0$-2
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ETUp$0$-3
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ETUp$0$-7
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETUp$0$-11
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETUp$0$-2
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETUp$0$-43
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ETDown$0$-4
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETDown$0$-1
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETUp$0$-6
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETUp$0$-4
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETDown$0$-21
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETUp$0$-13
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETDown$0$-86
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETDown$0$-1
- Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETUp$0$-3
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETDown$0$-10
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETUp$0$-76
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ETUp$0$-10
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETDown$0$-96
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ETUp$0$-31
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?Yes$0$-154
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETDown$0$-4
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETDown$0$-2
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETDown$0$-20
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ETUp$0$-2
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETDown$0$-2
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETUp$0$-16
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETDown$0$-1
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes$0$-1
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ETDown$0$-2
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETDown$0$-11
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETUp$0$-9
- Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?Yes$0$-14
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETUp$0$-3
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ETUp$0$-2
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETUp$0$-4
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ETUp$0$-2
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ETUp$0$-7
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETUp$0$-8
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETUp$0$-11
- Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?Yes$0$-97
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETUp$0$-16
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETUp$0$-7
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETDown$0$-1
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETDown$0$-5
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETDown$0$-5
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:05PM ETDown$0$-24
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ETDown$0$-1
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETDown$0$-2
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ETUp$0$-109
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETUp$0$-58
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETDown$0$-4
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
- 10d agoBought Up$154@ 95.0¢
- 10d agoSold Up$123@ 94.0¢
- 12d agoBought Up$198@ 37.0¢
- 17d agoSold Yes$235@ 41.5¢
- 21d agoBought No$166@ 81.0¢
- 22d agoBought Yes$324@ 57.8¢
- 25d agoBought Yes$202@ 94.1¢
- 28d agoBought No$142@ 87.5¢
- 28d agoBought Yes$101@ 98.6¢
- 29d agoSold Yes$128@ 85.0¢
- 29d agoBought Yes$150@ 86.0¢
How to read this page
This page describes the public Polymarket activity for the wallet Exemplary-Toga. The headline figures are $115 of traded volume, 9 currently visible open positions, and a naive realized profit-and-loss estimate of $-2. Each figure is read straight from public on-chain and public-API records that anyone could query.
Traded volume of $115 is light and is simply a measure of how much activity the address has moved through the platform. It does not imply skill or endorsement. The realized figure of $-2 is negative and is a naive estimate from the public data, with a 33% win rate across resolved positions. Past activity says nothing about future outcomes.
The open-positions table lists the 9 markets where this wallet currently holds a visible position, with the side, size, and current mark for each. Every row links through to that market's own page, where the same price reads as the market's implied probability. The positions are activity to observe, not a model to follow.
- Read traded volume as activity, not skill. Take the $115 of traded volume as a measure of how much the wallet has moved through Polymarket. A high figure means the address has been active at scale; it does not imply skill, endorsement, or any judgment about future results.
- Treat the profit-and-loss figure as a naive estimate. The realized figure of $-2 is a naive estimate derived from public data and is negative. It is described where the public records expose it and carries no guarantee of accuracy.
- Open the positions for context. Use the positions table to see which markets the wallet currently sits in. Each row links to that market's page, where the price reads as the market's implied probability. The positions are public activity to observe.
- Keep it as observation. Read the figures as a description of what a public address has done, and form your own view. Nothing on this page directs an action or follows a wallet.
How these figures are derived
Volume, the open-position count, and the realized profit-and-loss estimate are read from Polymarket's public data API and the public chain. We identify the wallet only by its public address and any display name Polymarket itself has already published, and we do not tie an address to a real-world person.
The realized figure of $-2 is a deliberately naive estimate, not an audited result, and the win rate is shown only where the public data exposes it. The page renders from a periodic snapshot, so the 9 visible positions and the $115 of volume are as of the most recent pull and may already differ from the live platform.
For the full detail on sources and limits, see the methodology page.
Frequently asked questions
What does the $115 traded volume for this wallet mean?
It is a measure of how much activity this public Polymarket address has moved through the platform, read from public records. A light figure means the wallet has been active at scale. It does not imply skill, endorsement, or any judgment about future results, and it is shown as an observation rather than guidance.
How is the realized profit-and-loss figure calculated?
The $-2 figure is a naive realized estimate derived from the wallet's public trade and position data, currently negative. It is not an audited result and carries no guarantee of accuracy. Past activity says nothing about future outcomes, and the figure is reported only to describe what the public data shows.
How current are the positions shown here?
They are as of the latest snapshot of Polymarket's public data, not the current second. The 9 visible positions and the $115 of traded volume can already differ from the live platform, since activity on Polymarket moves continuously.
Can I follow or copy this wallet from Cent Signals?
No. Cent Signals is editorial and read-only. There is no copy-trade feature, order routing, wallet connection, or fund custody here. The wallet's activity is shown as public on-chain data to observe, and nothing on this page is financial, investment, or betting advice.
Compiled by the Cent Signals editorial desk. Reviewed June 3, 2026.
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.