Dafu0715
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No$197.3K$5.4K
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?No$69.6K$306
- Netanyahu out by June 30?No$69.5K$657
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No$69.5K$1.7K
- Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No$68.4K$211
- Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No$67.5K$-784
- Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No$67.0K$-980
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?No$62.8K$1.1K
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes$59.0K$2.0K
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No$48.9K$-125
- Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes$47.1K$746
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?No$46.1K$-873
- Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?No$43.4K$226
- Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?No$38.8K$642
- Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No$36.1K$402
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?No$21.8K$143
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No$17.3K$413
- Saudi Arabia bans US military aircraft by June 30?No$7.8K$118
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No$4.6K$39
- Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?No$3.7K$67
- Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?No$2.0K$9
- Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No$1.3K$9
- Will the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026?No$434$1
- SAVE Act becomes law by June 30, 2026?No$24$0
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
- 3d agoSold No$901@ 46.6¢
- 3d agoSold No$842@ 84.7¢
- 3d agoSold No$66.5K@ 99.9¢
- 4d agoBought No$644@ 99.0¢
- 4d agoBought No$2.7K@ 99.0¢
- 5d agoBought No$534@ 98.6¢
- 5d agoBought Yes$2.9K@ 99.8¢
- 5d agoSold No$745@ 97.2¢
- 5d agoSold Yes$2.0K@ 99.9¢
- 6d agoBought No$1.7K@ 98.5¢
- 7d agoBought No$6.5K@ 96.7¢
- 7d agoBought No$9.8K@ 98.2¢
- 10d agoBought No$8.9K@ 98.0¢
- 10d agoBought No$443@ 99.3¢
- 10d agoBought Yes$516@ 99.3¢
- 10d agoBought No$133@ 99.2¢
- 10d agoBought Yes$398@ 99.5¢
- 10d agoBought No$2.9K@ 99.5¢
- 10d agoBought No$2.9K@ 99.5¢
- 10d agoBought Yes$239@ 99.5¢
- 10d agoBought Yes$4.6K@ 99.5¢
- 10d agoBought No$897@ 99.5¢
- 11d agoBought Yes$5.1K@ 99.3¢
- 11d agoBought Yes$1.2K@ 98.8¢
- 12d agoSold No$162@ 98.4¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.