Favorable-Pepper-Brushing
Volume reflects the latest curated snapshot. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes$56.9K$-22.6K
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes$25.5K$2.0K
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No$21.1K$-27.0K
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes$14.6K$239
- Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-09-05?No$11.7K$-5.2K
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes$10.8K$4.1K
- France vs. England: O/U 4.5Over$10.7K$4.9K
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No$10.7K$193
- France vs. England: O/U 6.5Over$10.6K$5.4K
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes$7.5K$635
- Spread: SK Brann (-1.5)Molde FK$6.1K$775
- Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 7-13?No$6.0K$2.3K
- Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes$4.4K$136
- FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: Both Teams to ScoreYes$3.4K$-1.2K
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No$3.2K$-379
- CA Huracán vs. Racing Club: O/U 1.5Over$2.9K$2.1K
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No$2.8K$612
- Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?Yes$2.6K$-233
- Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 September 7-13?No$1.9K$1.2K
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No$1.9K$517
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes$1.8K$-1.9K
- Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes$1.8K$559
- Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No$1.7K$-2.1K
- LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerGen.G$1.7K$606
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No$1.5K$339
- Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?No$1.4K$-1.3K
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes$1.2K$-110
- San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco GiantsSan Diego Padres$1.1K$160
- Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No$1.1K$135
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$1.0K$-624
- FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 4.5Under$1.0K$-338
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?No$890$68
- Club Santos Laguna vs. FC Juárez: O/U 2.5Over$841$-111
- Will Cusco FC win on 2026-07-18?Yes$808$289
- Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Yes$766$5
- Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes$698$-13
- Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-07-18?Yes$683$273
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over$674$384
- Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 September 7-13?No$674$76
- Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes$652$-64
- Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No$634$341
- Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$627$-13
- Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Over$595$309
- LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League PlayoffsKT Rolster Challengers$586$22
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?Yes$576$-218
- Philadelphia Union to score first vs. San Diego FC?Yes$540$254
- Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Yes$481$0
- Exact Score: Chicago Fire FC 1 - 2 Vancouver Whitecaps FC?Yes$460$146
- Will CD Guastatoya win on 2026-09-13?Yes$449$257
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver$447$130
- Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?Yes$436$-63
- Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia?Yes$423$119
- Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes$397$13
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No$385$-607
- Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026?No$382$23
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No$367$-119
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:10PM-8:15PM ETDown$366$108
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes$363$-9
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?No$351$-23
- Israel military action against Lebanon on September 14?Yes$326$24
- Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September?Yes$304$-185
- Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-09-13?No$302$112
- Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?No$294$5
- Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes$283$9
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes$268$-168
- CD Guadalajara leading at halftime?Yes$255$109
- Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $95 in September?No$241$-48
- Exact Score: FC Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia 3 - 3 PFC CSKA Sofia?Yes$238$230
- Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes$237$-119
- Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group DNuclear TigeRES$236$35
- San Diego FC vs. Philadelphia Union: Both Teams to ScoreYes$235$-28
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No$235$74
- Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?Yes$234$-1
- Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs TEC Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Group OmegaDragon Ranger Gaming$226$74
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes$223$75
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes$221$37
- Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$217$46
- Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes$214$16
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in September?No$211$-11
- Will David Raya (Arsenal) record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Premier League season?Yes$205$15
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No$201$9
- Game Handicap: DK.C (-1.5) vs KT Rolster Challengers (+1.5)KT Rolster Challengers$195$4
- Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No$193$20
- Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-14?Yes$191$-3
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in September?No$190$0
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes$188$-47
- CA Huracán vs. Racing Club: Draw at halftime?Yes$181$89
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?No$179$32
- Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$178$-9
- Valorant: Team Secret vs VARREL (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group OmegaVARREL$172$41
- CD Malacateco leading at halftime?Yes$169$151
- Will San Diego FC win on 2026-09-13?Yes$166$-289
- Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-09-13?Yes$165$31
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?No$159$112
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes$153$2
- Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes$149$20
- Will Audax CS Italiano win on 2026-09-13?Yes$149$53
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes$145$-1
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No$140$-2
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September?No$139$44
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
- 25d agoBought ThunderTalk Gaming$236@ 38.5¢
- 25d agoBought Hanwha Life Esports$298@ 87.6¢
- 25d agoSold TEAM VISION$379@ 62.0¢
- 25d agoBought BoomBoys$1.4K@ 37.9¢
- 25d agoSold Hanwha Life Esports$431@ 92.0¢
- 25d agoSold Hanwha Life Esports$438@ 92.0¢
- 25d agoBought ThunderTalk Gaming$143@ 29.2¢
- 25d agoSold Hanwha Life Esports$148@ 99.9¢
- 25d agoBought Up$186@ 51.8¢
- 25d agoSold TEAM VISION$314@ 29.3¢
- 25d agoBought Up$187@ 38.2¢
- 25d agoBought Dplus KIA$610@ 64.0¢
- 25d agoBought TEAM VISION$476@ 83.0¢
- 25d agoBought Dplus KIA$2.9K@ 52.0¢
- 25d agoBought Dplus KIA$143@ 48.0¢
- 25d agoBought BoomBoys$268@ 32.0¢
- 25d agoBought Hanwha Life Esports$399@ 53.0¢
- 25d agoSold Dplus KIA Challengers$413@ 99.9¢
- 25d agoBought Dplus KIA$1.9K@ 48.0¢
- 25d agoBought BoomBoys$190@ 32.0¢
- 25d agoSold BoomBoys$294@ 11.0¢
- 25d agoBought Atlanta Dream$143@ 79.0¢
- 25d agoBought Kiwoom DRX Challengers$1.9K@ 32.7¢
- 25d agoSold HANJIN BRION Challengers$166@ 70.3¢
- 25d agoBought Kiwoom DRX Challengers$213@ 67.0¢
How to read this page
This page describes the public Polymarket activity for the wallet Favorable-Pepper-Brushing. The headline figures are $347 of traded volume, 22 currently visible open positions, and a naive realized profit-and-loss estimate of $8.8K. Each figure is read straight from public on-chain and public-API records that anyone could query.
Traded volume of $347 is light and is simply a measure of how much activity the address has moved through the platform. It does not imply skill or endorsement. The realized figure of $8.8K is positive and is a naive estimate from the public data, with a 64% win rate across resolved positions. Past activity says nothing about future outcomes.
The open-positions table lists the 22 markets where this wallet currently holds a visible position, with the side, size, and current mark for each. Every row links through to that market's own page, where the same price reads as the market's implied probability. The positions are activity to observe, not a model to follow.
- Read traded volume as activity, not skill. Take the $347 of traded volume as a measure of how much the wallet has moved through Polymarket. A high figure means the address has been active at scale; it does not imply skill, endorsement, or any judgment about future results.
- Treat the profit-and-loss figure as a naive estimate. The realized figure of $8.8K is a naive estimate derived from public data and is positive. It is described where the public records expose it and carries no guarantee of accuracy.
- Open the positions for context. Use the positions table to see which markets the wallet currently sits in. Each row links to that market's page, where the price reads as the market's implied probability. The positions are public activity to observe.
- Keep it as observation. Read the figures as a description of what a public address has done, and form your own view. Nothing on this page directs an action or follows a wallet.
How these figures are derived
Volume, the open-position count, and the realized profit-and-loss estimate are read from Polymarket's public data API and the public chain. We identify the wallet only by its public address and any display name Polymarket itself has already published, and we do not tie an address to a real-world person.
The realized figure of $8.8K is a deliberately naive estimate, not an audited result, and the win rate is shown only where the public data exposes it. The page renders from a periodic snapshot, so the 22 visible positions and the $347 of volume are as of the most recent pull and may already differ from the live platform.
For the full detail on sources and limits, see the methodology page.
Frequently asked questions
What does the $347 traded volume for this wallet mean?
It is a measure of how much activity this public Polymarket address has moved through the platform, read from public records. A light figure means the wallet has been active at scale. It does not imply skill, endorsement, or any judgment about future results, and it is shown as an observation rather than guidance.
How is the realized profit-and-loss figure calculated?
The $8.8K figure is a naive realized estimate derived from the wallet's public trade and position data, currently positive. It is not an audited result and carries no guarantee of accuracy. Past activity says nothing about future outcomes, and the figure is reported only to describe what the public data shows.
How current are the positions shown here?
They are as of the latest snapshot of Polymarket's public data, not the current second. The 22 visible positions and the $347 of traded volume can already differ from the live platform, since activity on Polymarket moves continuously.
Can I follow or copy this wallet from Cent Signals?
No. Cent Signals is editorial and read-only. There is no copy-trade feature, order routing, wallet connection, or fund custody here. The wallet's activity is shown as public on-chain data to observe, and nothing on this page is financial, investment, or betting advice.
Compiled by the Cent Signals editorial desk. Reviewed June 3, 2026.
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.