yungstalin
0xa022…77f8View on Polymarket ↗
Total volume
$152
Open positions
100
Trades (7d, mirrored)
0
Open P&L (est.)
$-389.5K
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L (Polymarket)
$201.6K
Hit rate (resolved)
0%
Resolved positions
76
Longshot exposure
88%
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
Market
Outcome
Value
Open P&L (est.)
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes$20.9K$815
- Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes$16.2K$4.3K
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes$14.0K$1.5K
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes$9.3K$-1.8K
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No$6.8K$-2.3K
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes$5.9K$935
- Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No$4.0K$-300
- Kash Patel out by December 31?No$3.7K$2.6K
- Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?No$2.1K$605
- Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes$2.0K$595
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?Yes$1.1K$508
- Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes$1.0K$-515
- Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?No$705$411
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes$623$-35
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes$542$-340
- Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No$441$-25
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes$281$-56
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Yes$10$5
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes$5$-4
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes$1$-17
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?No$0$-377
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No$0$-35.5K
- Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?Yes$0$-47
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?No$0$-977
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes$0$-13.0K
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Yes$0$-2.5K
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No$0$-21
- Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsNo$0$-8.8K
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes$0$-1.4K
- US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Yes$0$-318
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?Yes$0$-2.6K
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?Yes$0$-16.2K
- Will Trump dance during WHCA Dinner on April 25?Yes$0$-11
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?No$0$-2.1K
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?Up$0$-29
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Yes$0$-4.7K
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?No$0$-2
- Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026No$0$0
- US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?Yes$0$-136
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?Yes$0$-248
- Will Trump visit China by June 30?No$0$-1.9K
- Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026Yes$0$0
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes$0$-3.2K
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes$0$-1.8K
- Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be below 1%?Yes$0$-1.0K
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?No$0$0
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Yes$0$-45.5K
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?No$0$-1.7K
- Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1.5% and 2%?Yes$0$-80
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?Yes$0$-453
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No$0$-15
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No$0$-26.3K
- Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes$0$-6.2K
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?Yes$0$-11
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?Yes$0$-1.6K
- Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Yes$0$-862
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?Yes$0$-2.7K
- Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q2 2026Yes$0$0
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes$0$-42.4K
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?Yes$0$-101
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Yes$0$-9.5K
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?Yes$0$-44
- Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?Yes$0$-244
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Yes$0$-780
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes$0$-3.4K
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?Yes$0$-2.5K
- Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?Yes$0$-7
- Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes$0$-766
- Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?No$0$-3.6K
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No$0$-2.4K
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?Yes$0$-559
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?Yes$0$-304
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes$0$-2.7K
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No$0$-4.4K
- US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Yes$0$-3.1K
- Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?No$0$-11.6K
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?No$0$-10.3K
- Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?No$0$-350
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?No$0$-1.6K
- Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026Yes$0$0
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes$0$-3.2K
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?Yes$0$-7.0K
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes$0$-46.1K
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?Yes$0$-6.3K
- Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be above 2%?Yes$0$-56
- US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?Yes$0$-756
- Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes$0$-3.3K
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes$0$-178
- Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today?No$0$-13
- Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 21, 2026?No$0$-80
- Will Iran Play in the World Cup?No$0$-140
- Starmer out by May 19, 2026?Yes$0$-185
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No$0$-1.1K
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?Yes$0$-3.6K
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?Yes$0$-124
- Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?Yes$0$-8.1K
- Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBelgium$0$-3.0K
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Yes$0$-11.4K
- Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?Yes$0$-4.2K
- Iran closes its airspace by June 8?No$0$-14.3K
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
When
Market
Action
Size · Price
- 13d agoBought Yes$152@ 5.4¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.