0xa0f2…1848
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$21.9K$2.7K
- Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes$11.9K$612
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes$11.8K$-4.0K
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$8.1K$-573
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$6.6K$-2.0K
- Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No$4.5K$-139
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$4.3K$-1.4K
- Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes$3.6K$-20
- LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend GroupHanwha Life Esports$3.2K$-211
- Will Indiana Fever win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Yes$2.9K$615
- Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes$2.8K$29
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No$2.0K$9
- Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes$1.7K$61
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No$1.6K$8
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$1.1K$448
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes$1.0K$85
- Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?Yes$1.0K$-170
- Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes$1.0K$49
- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No$996$-6
- Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes$986$-115
- Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Yes$969$53
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$947$134
- Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?No$844$-5
- Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes$835$-34
- Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes$823$59
- Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?Yes$788$-0
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$741$82
- Will Dallas Wings win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Yes$708$-724
- Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes$611$-282
- Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?Yes$608$-76
- Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026?Yes$589$-44
- Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No$504$-19
- US recession by end of 2026?Yes$472$-141
- Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Yes$462$-89
- LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise GroupDN SOOPers$457$37
- Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-08-02?Yes$449$-17
- Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No$410$-6
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$388$24
- Will Los Angeles Lakers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes$383$-18
- Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026?Yes$372$69
- Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes$330$-26
- Connecticut Sun vs. Dallas WingsDallas Wings$313$-2
- Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$303$55
- Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes$294$-15
- Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?No$290$5
- Will Joe Burrow win the 2026 NFL MVP?No$273$-11
- Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?Yes$264$-56
- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No$248$5
- Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?No$228$8
- Will Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Yes$224$-24
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$218$9
- Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No$210$-6
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No$207$-2
- Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?Yes$197$-22
- Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes$193$-51
- Will New York Liberty win the 2026 WNBA Finals?Yes$179$-78
- Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?Yes$158$-19
- Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes$155$11
- Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$154$-34
- Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No$154$-1
- Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes$135$-78
- Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No$131$-19
- Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Yes$126$-76
- Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes$120$-15
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Resilience (BO3) - Games of the Future PlayoffsYellow Submarine$110$-92
- Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No$108$1
- Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes$98$3
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$89$17
- Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes$87$1
- Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$79$-62
- Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No$76$2
- Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes$76$0
- Will Justin Herbert win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes$72$-5
- Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?No$67$-52
- Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?No$64$-6
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$61$1
- Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes$60$-5
- Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes$59$-1
- Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes$57$-13
- Will Brock Purdy win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes$56$11
- Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes$51$-2
- Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes$51$1
- Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$47$19
- Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?No$46$-35
- Will Dak Prescott win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes$44$-6
- Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?Yes$43$20
- Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes$39$12
- Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes$34$-3
- National Bank Open: Lois Boisson vs Antonia RuzicLois Boisson$30$1
- Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$24$-2
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes$21$-6
- Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes$20$-0
- Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes$17$13
- Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes$16$-0
- Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes$16$-18
- Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes$16$-5
- Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes$15$1
- Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$15$-27
- Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes$13$-2
- Will Jordan Love win the 2026 NFL MVP?Yes$13$-7
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
- 2h agoBought Hanwha Life Esports$285@ 76.0¢
- 3h agoBought DN SOOPers$136@ 91.0¢
- 6h agoBought PlayTime$119@ 51.0¢
- 7h agoBought PlayTime$186@ 87.0¢
- 9h agoBought Yes$278@ 90.0¢
- 9h agoSold Yes$258@ 83.0¢
- 9h agoBought Yes$133@ 48.0¢
- 9h agoBought Over$342@ 63.0¢
- 9h agoBought Denis Shapovalov$126@ 20.0¢
- 9h agoBought Yes$175@ 28.0¢
- 9h agoSold Milwaukee Brewers$329@ 94.0¢
- 9h agoBought Yes$172@ 28.0¢
- 9h agoBought Yes$119@ 28.0¢
- 9h agoBought Denis Shapovalov$625@ 34.0¢
- 10h agoBought Denis Shapovalov$207@ 65.0¢
- 10h agoBought Denis Shapovalov$548@ 64.0¢
- 10h agoBought Denis Shapovalov$716@ 65.0¢
- 10h agoSold San Diego Padres$261@ 67.0¢
- 10h agoBought San Diego Padres$670@ 67.0¢
- 10h agoBought San Diego Padres$543@ 67.0¢
- 10h agoBought San Diego Padres$332@ 66.0¢
- 10h agoBought Arthur Gea$355@ 37.0¢
- 10h agoSold Denis Shapovalov$287@ 63.0¢
- 10h agoBought San Diego Padres$962@ 82.0¢
- 10h agoBought Milwaukee Brewers$149@ 53.0¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.