alwayslatetotheparty
0xb687…aee5View on Polymarket ↗
Total volume
$61.4K
Open positions
100
Trades (7d, mirrored)
3
Open P&L (est.)
$-27.3K
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L (Polymarket)
$-1.09M
Hit rate (resolved)
0%
Resolved positions
477
Longshot exposure
58%
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
Market
Outcome
Value
Open P&L (est.)
- Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$2.0K$1.8K
- Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes$895$395
- Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$708$-991
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes$610$177
- Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$590$-806
- Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$573$-24
- Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?Yes$454$59
- Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$431$-775
- Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$372$66
- Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$366$-986
- Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$355$-521
- Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$346$-512
- Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$345$-254
- Will Darryn Peterson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?Yes$321$300
- Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$313$-867
- Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$310$143
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes$276$130
- Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$274$-494
- Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$274$-823
- Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$269$149
- Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$260$-145
- Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$213$-263
- Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$198$-348
- Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$197$-40
- Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$187$-557
- Will Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 season?Yes$175$151
- Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$171$-211
- Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?Yes$158$149
- Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$146$-310
- Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$146$-107
- Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$142$-158
- Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$135$-318
- Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$129$-544
- Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$129$-544
- Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$129$-544
- Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$129$-544
- Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$129$-544
- Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$129$-159
- Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$125$-154
- Will Lucie Castets win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$123$-322
- Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$123$-262
- Will Yannick Jadot win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$123$38
- Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$117$-248
- Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$117$-144
- Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes$114$11
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$113$-83
- Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$106$-110
- Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$105$-77
- Will Top Esports win the LPL 2026 season?Yes$98$74
- Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$95$-4
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes$89$-4.5K
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes$85$35
- Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$79$-168
- Will the Edmonton Oilers be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Yes$75$49
- Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$75$-159
- Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$55$-2
- Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$54$-227
- Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$54$-227
- Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$54$-227
- Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$54$-227
- Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$54$-227
- Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$54$-227
- Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$54$-227
- Will the Washington Capitals be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Yes$51$17
- Will JD Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?Yes$48$26
- Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$48$7
- Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$48$-200
- Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$48$-200
- Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$48$-200
- Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$48$-200
- Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes$38$-63
- Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes$38$9
- Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$36$-2.2K
- Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes$35$-81
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes$34$-1.7K
- Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes$34$-77
- Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$34$-220
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes$32$-157
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes$32$-1.6K
- Will the Montreal Canadiens be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Yes$31$5
- Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes$31$0
- Will the Buffalo Sabres be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Yes$30$4
- Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$29$9
- Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$29$-36
- Will the Los Angeles Kings be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Yes$25$-13
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?Yes$25$-51
- Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes$25$-88
- Will the Carolina Hurricanes be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Yes$25$18
- Will Bukayo Saka win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$24$-511
- Will Rodrygo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$24$-511
- Will Enzo Fernandez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$24$-511
- Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$23$-95
- Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$23$-95
- Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes$22$-507
- Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes$22$-507
- Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes$22$-507
- Will the Columbus Blue Jackets be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion?Yes$22$-28
- Will Keaton Wagler win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?Yes$21$-4
- Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$21$-45
- Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes$21$-470
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
When
Market
Action
Size · Price
- 3h agoSold Yes$100@ 88.5¢
- 17h agoSold Yes$245@ 24.5¢
- 35h agoSold Yes$150@ 15.0¢
- 8d agoSold Yes$292@ 52.0¢
- 8d agoSold Yes$110@ 11.0¢
- 8d agoSold Yes$110@ 11.0¢
- 8d agoSold Yes$290@ 29.0¢
- 8d agoSold Yes$350@ 35.0¢
- 8d agoSold Yes$664@ 25.3¢
- 8d agoSold Yes$373@ 73.6¢
- 9d agoSold Yes$260@ 24.9¢
- 9d agoSold Yes$712@ 76.0¢
- 9d agoSold Yes$143@ 23.0¢
- 9d agoSold Yes$194@ 12.2¢
- 9d agoSold Yes$180@ 18.0¢
- 9d agoSold Yes$123@ 18.0¢
- 9d agoSold Yes$164@ 24.0¢
- 9d agoSold Yes$108@ 18.0¢
- 9d agoSold Yes$144@ 24.0¢
- 9d agoSold Yes$338@ 79.0¢
- 9d agoSold Yes$318@ 85.1¢
- 9d agoSold Yes$732@ 24.4¢
- 10d agoSold Yes$600@ 60.0¢
- 10d agoSold Yes$222@ 22.8¢
- 10d agoSold Yes$430@ 43.0¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.