denizz
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No$352.2K$79.5K
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No$304.4K$26.1K
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No$78.5K$14.5K
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No$55.5K$9.1K
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes$54.1K$13.9K
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No$54.1K$1.5K
- Iran leadership change by December 31?No$41.3K$7.7K
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes$39.3K$8.4K
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes$33.1K$2.0K
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes$27.4K$10.2K
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes$26.1K$4.1K
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes$22.0K$1.5K
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes$19.9K$2.8K
- Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?No$14.2K$2.1K
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No$13.0K$812
- Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?No$11.8K$3.0K
- Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Yes$10.2K$457
- US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes$9.9K$1.8K
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes$9.0K$-26
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?No$8.6K$578
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No$7.3K$723
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No$5.9K$8
- Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Yes$5.2K$218
- Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?No$5.0K$156
- US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No$4.9K$1.2K
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?No$4.4K$495
- Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?Yes$4.2K$-50
- Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes$4.1K$820
- Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?No$3.9K$1.6K
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?No$3.5K$564
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes$3.2K$295
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes$3.0K$-376
- Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?No$2.9K$383
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes$2.5K$106
- Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30?Yes$2.3K$-773
- Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?No$2.3K$357
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes$1.8K$25
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Yes$1.7K$780
- Will a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes$1.5K$603
- Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No$1.2K$224
- Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?No$918$121
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes$903$13
- Will a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes$715$119
- Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?No$656$70
- Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Yes$644$44
- Foreign intervention in Gaza by August 31?Yes$316$-504
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Yes$194$79
- Israeli forces enter Choukine by July 31?No$102$8
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?Yes$16$-1
- Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?Yes$0$-145
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Yes$0$-4.5K
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026?Yes$0$-367
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes$0$-25
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?No$0$-1.2K
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
- 4h agoBought Yes$131@ 48.9¢
- 4h agoBought No$6.2K@ 81.0¢
- 4h agoBought Yes$286@ 26.0¢
- 5h agoBought Yes$239@ 79.0¢
- 7h agoBought Yes$315@ 79.0¢
- 7h agoBought Yes$4.9K@ 38.3¢
- 8h agoBought Yes$4.8K@ 55.0¢
- 8h agoBought Yes$2.7K@ 52.0¢
- 8h agoBought Yes$623@ 51.0¢
- 8h agoBought Yes$817@ 78.7¢
- 9h agoBought Yes$103@ 17.9¢
- 9h agoBought Yes$480@ 33.9¢
- 9h agoBought Yes$1.6K@ 34.5¢
- 9h agoBought Yes$188@ 32.9¢
- 9h agoBought Yes$172@ 15.0¢
- 9h agoBought Yes$1.6K@ 49.5¢
- 7d agoBought Yes$108@ 27.0¢
- 8d agoSold No$7.2K@ 70.0¢
- 12d agoBought Yes$1.2K@ 24.0¢
- 12d agoBought Yes$444@ 25.7¢
- 22d agoBought No$284@ 75.9¢
- 22d agoBought No$4.2K@ 80.9¢
- 25d agoBought No$3.9K@ 77.0¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.