euro-catcher
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$15.1K$2.9K
- Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$13.1K$-6.7K
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes$7.5K$758
- Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes$3.7K$93
- Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes$3.5K$49
- Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?Yes$3.3K$105
- Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No$2.9K$-2.8K
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No$2.2K$203
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo$1.1K$105
- Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?Yes$1.0K$-352
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$960$299
- Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes$837$199
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?Yes$802$-1.1K
- Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?Yes$680$308
- Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes$445$-181
- Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?No$431$14
- Will Atlanta Dream win the 2026 WNBA Finals?No$336$-229
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes$204$-12
- Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October?Yes$145$-341
- Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?No$114$-58
- Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?No$16$-1
- Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?Yes$14$-0
- Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?No$9$-3
- LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 WinnerBNK FearX Youth$0$-657
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerTeam Falcons$0$-102
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 2 WinnerPARIVISION$0$-332
- LoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 WinnerJD Gaming$0$-818
- Seattle Storm vs. PortlandFireSeattle Storm$0$-1.9K
- Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2Gen.G Esports$0$-51
- LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group StageKiwoom DRX$0$-127
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4PM ETDown$0$-8
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 WinnerMonte$0$-3
- Maple Leafs vs. Golden KnightsMaple Leafs$0$-260
- LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group StageShopify Rebellion$0$-128
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETUp$0$-26
- LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League PlayoffsNongshim Esports Academy$0$-684
- LoL: T1 vs GAM Esports (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group CGAM Esports$0$-39
- LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 WinnerKiwoom DRX$0$-107
- Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports - Map 3 WinnerEDward Gaming$0$-116
- Kings vs. SharksKings$0$-3
- LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp$0$-562
- LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 WinnerT1$0$-2.1K
- Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?Yes$0$-2.4K
- Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs Fisher College - Map 1 WinnerFisher College$0$-52
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne - Map 1 WinnerKOLESIE$0$-449
- LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group AscendThunderTalk Gaming$0$-88
- Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Astralis - Map 2 WinnerAstralis$0$-733
- New York Liberty vs. Chicago SkyChicago Sky$0$-325
- Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes$0$-603
- Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-20?No$0$-11.0K
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs 1WIN - Map 1 WinnerG2$0$-3
- LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 WinnerKiwoom DRX$0$-98
- Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality - Map 2 WinnerVitality$0$-380
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 4 WinnerBilibili Gaming$0$-169
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 WinnerAstralis$0$-81
- LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid$0$-139
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 1win - Game 2 WinnerGamerLegion$0$-119
- LoL: Natus Vincere vs GIANTX - Game 2 WinnerNatus Vincere$0$-832
- Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ$0$-228
- Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons$0$-661
- LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 WinnerTeam Secret Whales$0$-386
- Indiana Fever vs. Chicago SkyChicago Sky$0$-624
- Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 WinnerXtreme Gaming$0$-39
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerBIG$0$-636
- LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 WinnerTeam Secret$0$-24
- LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 4 WinnerNongshim Esports Academy$0$-1.0K
- LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsBilibili Gaming$0$-3.6K
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Passion UA - Map 2 WinnerPassion UA$0$-55
- Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes$0$-245
- LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 WinnerThunderTalk Gaming$0$-2.2K
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 WinnerSpirit$0$-147
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 WinnerBIG$0$-4
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 WinnerNongshim Red Force$0$-33
- Dallas Wings vs. Washington MysticsDallas Wings$0$-2.5K
- LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendTeam WE$0$0
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs JiJieHao (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group ASpirit$0$-192
- Jaguars vs. BroncosJaguars$0$-720
- Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$0$-51
- LoL: Team Secret vs Sentinels (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group BTeam Secret$0$-128
- LoL: T1 Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 WinnerHanwha Life Esports Challengers$0$-5
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs FURIA - Map 2 WinnerM80$0$-640
- Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 WinnerLGD Gaming$0$-8
- LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group AscendTeam WE$0$-320
- Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Seed DecidersWolves Esports$0$-27
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG - Map 2 WinnerBIG$0$-283
- Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5Over$0$-119
- LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 WinnerKT Rolster$0$-187
- Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix MercurySeattle Storm$0$-1.2K
- LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group AscendTeam WE$0$-3
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports - Map 2 WinnerpaiN$0$-58
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerAnyone's Legend$0$-333
- LoL: MIBR.LOS vs LYON - Game 2 WinnerLYON$0$-9
- LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 WinnerCloud9$0$-340
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 WinnerNongshim Red Force$0$-333
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 WinnerFUT Esports$0$-91
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION - Game 2 WinnerBetBoom Team$0$-10
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague PlayoffsTeam Liquid$0$-472
- LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 1 WinnerShopify Rebellion$0$-51
- Will John Larson be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?Yes$0$-260
- Wuhan Tennis Open: Mia Pohankova vs Xiyu WangXiyu Wang$0$-6
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
- 61d agoBought TEAM VISION$177@ 59.0¢
- 61d agoBought TEAM VISION$177@ 59.0¢
- 61d agoBought TEAM VISION$177@ 59.0¢
- 61d agoBought TEAM VISION$177@ 59.0¢
- 61d agoBought TEAM VISION$177@ 59.0¢
- 61d agoBought TEAM VISION$177@ 59.0¢
- 61d agoBought TEAM VISION$177@ 59.0¢
- 61d agoBought Kiwoom DRX Challengers$335@ 67.0¢
- 61d agoBought Kiwoom DRX Challengers$219@ 62.0¢
- 61d agoBought BoomBoys$111@ 37.0¢
- 61d agoBought Team Spirit$227@ 75.7¢
- 61d agoBought Team Spirit$220@ 73.2¢
- 61d agoBought Team Spirit$219@ 73.0¢
- 62d agoBought Aurora Gaming$413@ 82.6¢
- 62d agoBought Aurora Gaming$176@ 83.0¢
- 62d agoBought G2$410@ 82.0¢
- 62d agoBought magic$190@ 37.9¢
- 62d agoBought magic$170@ 38.0¢
- 62d agoBought magic$156@ 33.0¢
- 62d agoBought EDward Gaming$175@ 35.1¢
- 62d agoBought EDward Gaming$166@ 33.2¢
- 62d agoBought EDward Gaming$120@ 24.0¢
- 62d agoBought Team WE$141@ 66.0¢
- 62d agoBought Team WE$285@ 57.0¢
- 62d agoBought HANJIN BRION$406@ 86.0¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.