rdba
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
- Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No$297.8K$6.3K
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No$40.5K$752
- Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes$17.2K$3.5K
- Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No$6.9K$202
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No$6.0K$225
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No$4.6K$-1.1K
- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No$4.5K$-278
- Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?Yes$3.8K$413
- Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No$3.7K$417
- Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No$3.3K$12
- Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No$2.4K$32
- Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No$1.8K$55
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No$1.3K$322
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$1.0K$-1.1K
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$831$362
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No$735$3
- Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No$691$26
- Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No$490$2
- Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$481$-700
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$308$-669
- Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No$198$6
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No$191$6
- Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No$98$2
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$45$-20
- Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$44$17
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$37$16
- Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$26$-12
- Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$6$-8
- Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$4$-6
- Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$0$-0
- Will Jim Walden win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes$0$-14.8K
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?Yes$0$-7.5K
- Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?Yes$0$-1.3K
- Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?Yes$0$-7.5K
- Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes$0$-12.6K
- Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?Yes$0$-7.5K
- Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes$0$-14.8K
- Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?Yes$0$-7.5K
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 6?Yes$0$-773
- Will Matt Goodwin – Reform win the Gorton and Denton by-election?Yes$0$-67
- Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in December?Yes$0$-2.6K
- Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes$0$-14.8K
- Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?Yes$0$-4.2K
- Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?Yes$0$-7.2K
- No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes$0$-837
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes$0$-14.8K
- Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?Yes$0$-7.5K
- Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2025-10-18?Yes$0$-11
- Will France win Eurovision 2026?Yes$0$-7.4K
- Will Team Falcons win The International 2025 Tournament?No$0$-1.7K
- Will Michael Bloomberg win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes$0$-14.8K
- Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?No$0$-1.4K
- Will Scott Stringer win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes$0$-14.8K
- Will Zohran Mamdani get between 40% and 50% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes$0$-330
- Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?Yes$0$-7.5K
- Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?Yes$0$-7.5K
- Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?Yes$0$-840
- Will Rudy Giuliani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes$0$-14.8K
- Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?Yes$0$-7.5K
- Will Zellnor Myrie win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes$0$-14.8K
- Will XRP dip to $1.70 in December?Yes$0$-1.7K
- Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?No$0$-70
- Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?Yes$0$-7.5K
- League of Legends: BNK FEARX vs. DRXDRX$0$-57
- Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?No$0$-17
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes$0$-7.1K
- Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?Yes$0$-7.3K
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?Yes$0$-225
- Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?Yes$0$-5.4K
- Iowa vs. Nebraska CornhuskersNebraska Cornhuskers$0$-36
- Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?Yes$0$-7.0K
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?Yes$0$-7.8K
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?Yes$0$-9.0K
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?No$0$-1.0K
- Will Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes$0$-14.8K
- Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?Yes$0$-4.2K
- Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?No$0$-295
- Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?Yes$0$-7.5K
- Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-19?No$0$-96
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?Yes$0$-7.4K
- Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?Yes$0$-4.0K
- Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes$0$-91
- Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?Yes$0$-1.5K
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
- 12h agoBought Yes$459.5K@ 99.9¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.