Courageous-Polish
Volume reflects the latest curated snapshot. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No$1.7K$94
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?No$995$2
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?No$992$8
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?No$985$7
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?No$946$4
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?No$860$-69
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?No$795$-7
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?No$771$2
- Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?No$699$3
- Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Yes$528$-1.0K
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?No$518$4
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?No$426$-12
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No$415$215
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?No$375$-20
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?No$293$24
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?No$257$-3
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Yes$239$140
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?No$222$1
- Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Yes$195$-184
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?No$161$-51
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?No$140$0
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No$110$5
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?No$99$0
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Yes$95$-21
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Yes$46$13
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?Yes$41$-23
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Yes$40$18
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Yes$30$-95
- Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Yes$26$-179
- Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Yes$16$-41
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?No$14$0
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Yes$10$-1
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Yes$9$-11
- Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?No$7$-9
- Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$6$0
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Yes$4$-4
- Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No$4$-4
- Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Yes$3$-48
- Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$3$3
- Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Yes$3$-2
- Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?Yes$3$3
- Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026?No$3$0
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?Yes$3$1
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No$3$-1
- Will JD Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?No$3$0
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?No$2$-8
- Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$2$-3
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$2$2
- Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes$2$2
- Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$1$-4
- Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes$1$1
- Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$1$-5
- Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?No$1$-1
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Yes$1$-0
- Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$1$-0
- Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election?Yes$1$-4
- Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$0$-5
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Switzerland before 2027?Yes$0$0
- Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$0$0
- Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$0$-0
- Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$0$-0
- Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$0$-0
- Will Lucie Castets win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$0$-0
- Will Yannick Jadot win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$0$-0
- Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$0$-0
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes$0$0
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027?Yes$0$0
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?Yes$0$-1
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?Yes$0$0
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Turkey before 2027?Yes$0$0
- Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$0$-0
- Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$0$-5
- Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$0$-5
- Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$0$-5
- Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes$0$-0
- Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes$0$-0
- Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes$0$-0
- Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes$0$0
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027?Yes$0$-0
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027?Yes$0$-0
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027?Yes$0$-0
- Will Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$0$-0
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027?Yes$0$-0
- Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes$0$-0
- Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes$0$-0
- Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes$0$-0
- Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$0$-0
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Belarus before 2027?Yes$0$-0
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027?Yes$0$-0
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?Yes$0$-0
- Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$0$-0
- Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$0$-0
- Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$0$-0
- Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes$0$-0
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?Yes$0$-1
- Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary before 2027?Yes$0$-0
- Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$0$-0
- Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$0$-0
- Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$0$-0
- Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$0$-0
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
- No mirrored trades for this wallet yet. We accumulate public trade history over time, so this may fill in later.
How to read this page
This page describes the public Polymarket activity for the wallet Courageous-Polish. The headline figures are $104 of traded volume, 19 currently visible open positions, and a naive realized profit-and-loss estimate of $1.0K. Each figure is read straight from public on-chain and public-API records that anyone could query.
Traded volume of $104 is light and is simply a measure of how much activity the address has moved through the platform. It does not imply skill or endorsement. The realized figure of $1.0K is positive and is a naive estimate from the public data, with a 79% win rate across resolved positions. Past activity says nothing about future outcomes.
The open-positions table lists the 19 markets where this wallet currently holds a visible position, with the side, size, and current mark for each. Every row links through to that market's own page, where the same price reads as the market's implied probability. The positions are activity to observe, not a model to follow.
- Read traded volume as activity, not skill. Take the $104 of traded volume as a measure of how much the wallet has moved through Polymarket. A high figure means the address has been active at scale; it does not imply skill, endorsement, or any judgment about future results.
- Treat the profit-and-loss figure as a naive estimate. The realized figure of $1.0K is a naive estimate derived from public data and is positive. It is described where the public records expose it and carries no guarantee of accuracy.
- Open the positions for context. Use the positions table to see which markets the wallet currently sits in. Each row links to that market's page, where the price reads as the market's implied probability. The positions are public activity to observe.
- Keep it as observation. Read the figures as a description of what a public address has done, and form your own view. Nothing on this page directs an action or follows a wallet.
How these figures are derived
Volume, the open-position count, and the realized profit-and-loss estimate are read from Polymarket's public data API and the public chain. We identify the wallet only by its public address and any display name Polymarket itself has already published, and we do not tie an address to a real-world person.
The realized figure of $1.0K is a deliberately naive estimate, not an audited result, and the win rate is shown only where the public data exposes it. The page renders from a periodic snapshot, so the 19 visible positions and the $104 of volume are as of the most recent pull and may already differ from the live platform.
For the full detail on sources and limits, see the methodology page.
Frequently asked questions
What does the $104 traded volume for this wallet mean?
It is a measure of how much activity this public Polymarket address has moved through the platform, read from public records. A light figure means the wallet has been active at scale. It does not imply skill, endorsement, or any judgment about future results, and it is shown as an observation rather than guidance.
How is the realized profit-and-loss figure calculated?
The $1.0K figure is a naive realized estimate derived from the wallet's public trade and position data, currently positive. It is not an audited result and carries no guarantee of accuracy. Past activity says nothing about future outcomes, and the figure is reported only to describe what the public data shows.
How current are the positions shown here?
They are as of the latest snapshot of Polymarket's public data, not the current second. The 19 visible positions and the $104 of traded volume can already differ from the live platform, since activity on Polymarket moves continuously.
Can I follow or copy this wallet from Cent Signals?
No. Cent Signals is editorial and read-only. There is no copy-trade feature, order routing, wallet connection, or fund custody here. The wallet's activity is shown as public on-chain data to observe, and nothing on this page is financial, investment, or betting advice.
Compiled by the Cent Signals editorial desk. Reviewed June 3, 2026.
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.