ArmageddonRewardsBilly
0xc8ab…6418View on Polymarket ↗
Total volume
$66.0K
Open positions
100
Trades (7d, mirrored)
4
Open P&L (est.)
$-58.9K
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
Market
Outcome
Value
Open P&L (est.)
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No$240.2K$-22.8K
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No$237.9K$97.9K
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?No$147.8K$7
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No$136.9K$1.6K
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes$46.8K$3.1K
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$42.1K$-97.9K
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes$39.8K$65
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No$33.3K$-1.6K
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?No$33.2K$-1.1K
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?No$29.0K$-463
- World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?Yes$27.5K$-2.0K
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No$26.5K$-9.9K
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No$24.0K$3.3K
- Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?No$22.8K$4.4K
- Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Yes$21.9K$3.5K
- Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?No$21.5K$-2.6K
- Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?No$21.2K$109
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes$20.7K$-59
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?No$20.4K$-751
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?No$20.0K$-3.4K
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No$17.5K$-5.8K
- Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No$14.6K$-163
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?No$13.5K$-4.9K
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes$12.6K$-548
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No$12.6K$-1.6K
- Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?No$12.1K$1.7K
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 12?No$11.9K$33
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Yes$10.7K$1.8K
- Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No$10.4K$71
- Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes$9.8K$1.0K
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$9.5K$3.8K
- Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?No$8.2K$806
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No$8.1K$-48
- Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No$7.8K$-330
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?No$7.6K$-5.1K
- Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by June 30?No$7.2K$135
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No$7.2K$-949
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?No$7.1K$160
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No$6.8K$-23
- Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?Yes$6.6K$-1.7K
- Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?No$6.5K$-2.1K
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No$6.5K$228
- Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Yes$5.8K$486
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No$5.4K$57
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?Yes$4.8K$507
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?No$4.7K$95
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?No$4.5K$114
- Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes$4.1K$-1.7K
- Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes$4.0K$649
- Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?No$4.0K$1.3K
- Will Anthropic IPO by September 15, 2026?No$3.9K$-5
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?No$3.9K$-3
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No$3.9K$52
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No$3.9K$52
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No$3.8K$80
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?Yes$3.7K$133
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No$3.7K$-1.7K
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?No$3.5K$145
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?No$3.5K$-21
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes$3.5K$100
- Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?No$3.5K$419
- Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No$3.4K$-553
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No$3.3K$40
- Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes$3.3K$74
- Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No$3.3K$-197
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No$3.0K$-765
- Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch?Yes$3.0K$-923
- Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?No$2.9K$73
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No$2.9K$13
- US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes$2.9K$-140
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31?No$2.9K$15
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?No$2.7K$25
- Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?No$2.7K$-124
- Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?No$2.7K$-75
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?No$2.6K$-382
- Will Iran win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No$2.5K$28
- Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?No$2.5K$-108
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?No$2.4K$-2.0K
- Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in June?No$2.4K$38
- Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?No$2.4K$-220
- Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No$2.4K$-1.1K
- Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes$2.3K$-3.9K
- Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?No$2.3K$40
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?No$2.3K$-740
- Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Yes$2.2K$-361
- Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?No$2.2K$-1.5K
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?No$2.2K$-749
- Will Multipli.fi launch a token by June 30, 2026?No$2.2K$-122
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?No$2.0K$722
- Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?No$2.0K$3
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?No$2.0K$55
- Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?No$2.0K$162
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No$2.0K$-830
- Will City Protocol launch a token by June 30, 2026?No$2.0K$-4
- Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?No$1.9K$237
- Clavicular sentenced to prison?No$1.8K$-80
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in June?No$1.8K$136
- Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?No$1.7K$-606
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Yes$1.7K$-3.4K
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?No$1.7K$-462
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
When
Market
Action
Size · Price
- 5d agoBought No$28.8K@ 96.0¢
- 6d agoSold Yes$243@ 92.7¢
- 6d agoBought No$15.4K@ 99.0¢
- 7d agoBought No$11.5K@ 84.0¢
- 7d agoSold No$10.0K@ 99.1¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.