cigarettes
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
- Will Algeria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No$25.5K$2.7K
- Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$21.3K$6.4K
- Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$14.9K$2.7K
- Exact Score: Uzbekistan 3 - 3 Colombia?No$14.9K$158
- Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No$13.8K$1.5K
- Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?No$12.5K$341
- Will Mexico advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$11.7K$-49
- Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No$10.4K$1.2K
- Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No$9.4K$-1.6K
- Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$8.9K$3.2K
- Will Cape Verde win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No$8.5K$-79
- Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?No$8.5K$-67
- Will Algeria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$7.7K$-1.4K
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$7.6K$1.8K
- Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$7.5K$-1.9K
- Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No$7.2K$-147
- Will Canada advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$7.1K$-111
- Will Uzbekistan win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No$6.6K$65
- Will Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No$6.2K$1.2K
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 1.5Over$5.5K$35
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$4.4K$-356
- Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No$4.3K$1.7K
- Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$4.0K$-28
- Will Netherlands advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$4.0K$128
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 2.5Under$3.8K$238
- Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No$3.6K$934
- Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No$3.3K$-261
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No$3.2K$119
- Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No$3.2K$-1.8K
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$3.1K$-669
- Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No$2.8K$575
- Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?Yes$2.7K$8
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$2.5K$2.1K
- Will Uruguay win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No$2.4K$285
- Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$2.4K$135
- Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 0 Colombia?No$2.1K$29
- Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No$2.0K$-273
- Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$2.0K$453
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No$1.9K$-275
- Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No$1.9K$280
- Will Morocco advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$1.8K$133
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Uzbekistan O/U 0.5Under$1.6K$105
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$1.4K$201
- Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No$1.4K$-254
- Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No$1.4K$171
- Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes$1.0K$-13.1K
- Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$1.0K$-115
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$982$23
- Will Tunisia win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No$946$54
- Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No$899$11
- Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$873$77
- Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No$865$58
- Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$827$87
- Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No$820$176
- Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$787$-9
- Will Colombia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$766$4
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder$747$5
- Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes$726$58
- Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$688$6
- Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$657$131
- South Africa vs. Korea Republic: South Africa O/U 1.5Under$645$-20
- Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$644$601
- Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No$625$67
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes$624$94
- Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$605$562
- Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$578$16
- Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$508$68
- Will Uzbekistan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No$478$31
- Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$476$-243
- Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$474$-184
- New York Liberty vs. Chicago SkyChicago Sky$450$-450
- Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No$432$12
- UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Conor McGregor$423$32
- Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?No$423$50
- Roland Garros WTA: Panna Udvardy vs Viktorija GolubicViktorija Golubic$418$17
- Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$413$-47
- Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No$399$1
- Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$390$-269
- Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes$390$-16.8K
- Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes$386$-16.2K
- Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes$384$-15.3K
- Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes$384$-15.3K
- Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes$384$-15.3K
- Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes$384$-15.3K
- Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes$384$-15.3K
- Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes$384$-15.3K
- Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes$384$-15.3K
- Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes$384$-15.3K
- Will Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes$384$-15.3K
- Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes$384$-15.3K
- Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes$384$-15.3K
- Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes$384$-15.3K
- Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes$384$-15.3K
- Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No$384$-38
- Will Fernando Olivera win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes$383$-15.3K
- Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes$383$-15.2K
- Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes$383$-15.2K
- Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes$382$-15.2K
- Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes$380$-15.1K
- Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No$377$33
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
- 53m agoBought No$223@ 89.0¢
- 1h agoBought Over$118@ 59.0¢
- 1h agoBought No$106@ 83.0¢
- 2h agoBought Yes$113@ 96.0¢
- 2h agoBought No$170@ 68.0¢
- 4h agoBought Yes$213@ 55.8¢
- 4h agoBought No$277@ 79.1¢
- 5h agoBought No$218@ 84.0¢
- 5h agoBought Yes$231@ 77.0¢
- 5h agoBought No$168@ 84.0¢
- 5h agoBought Under$106@ 37.0¢
- 6h agoBought No$372@ 93.0¢
- 8h agoBought Yes$195@ 65.0¢
- 21h agoBought Over$148@ 54.0¢
- 22h agoBought Under$115@ 46.0¢
- 22h agoBought Under$2.3K@ 46.0¢
- 23h agoBought Under$131@ 51.0¢
- 23h agoBought Under$426@ 72.0¢
- 23h agoBought Under$282@ 72.0¢
- 24h agoBought Argentina$131@ 50.0¢
- 24h agoBought Argentina$112@ 52.0¢
- 24h agoBought Yes$171@ 46.0¢
- 24h agoBought Yes$180@ 45.0¢
- 24h agoBought Yes$119@ 47.0¢
- 26h agoBought Over$112@ 73.8¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.