norrisfan
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
- Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No$166.6K$26.6K
- Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$113.4K$-26.6K
- Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No$5.3K$-1.0K
- Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$4.1K$455
- Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship?Yes$3.0K$151
- Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes$749$-1.4K
- Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$475$421
- Will Michael Gagliano Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?No$432$0
- Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$408$354
- Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$103$49
- Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?No$70$3
- Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$65$11
- Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$50$-4
- Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$22$-32
- Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$17$-37
- Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$12$-42
- Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$7$-47
- Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$7$-47
- T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka - Team Top Batter DrawYes$6$5
- Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No$5$5
- Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$2$-52
- Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$2$-52
- Will Raphinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$2$-52
- Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$2$-52
- Will Bukayo Saka win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$2$-52
- Will Julian Alvarez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$2$-52
- Will Desire Doue win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$2$-52
- Will Federico Valverde win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$2$-52
- Will Rodrygo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$2$-52
- Will Enzo Fernandez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$2$-52
- Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$2$-52
- Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$2$-52
- Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$2$-52
- Will Dominik Szoboszlai win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$2$-52
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$0$0
- Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-08-02?No$0$-5.6K
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay RaysNo$0$-10
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
- 11h agoBought No$432@ 87.0¢
- 10d agoBought Yes$397@ 3.2¢
- 10d agoBought Yes$162@ 3.0¢
- 14d agoSold No$79.9K@ 99.9¢
- 24d agoBought Hanwha Life Esports$647@ 58.0¢
- 30d agoBought Canada$26.5K@ 30.0¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.