norrisfan
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
- Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No$177.5K$42.0K
- Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$93.5K$-42.0K
- Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No$15.8K$83
- Will India win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?No$13.6K$2.8K
- Will Pauline Hanson be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?No$7.8K$557
- Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$5.8K$2.2K
- Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No$5.1K$-1.4K
- Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 World Chess Championship?Yes$3.1K$238
- Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$675$81
- Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes$644$-1.4K
- Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$458$404
- Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$94$40
- Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$41$-13
- Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$24$-30
- Will United States of America win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?Yes$10$-18
- Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$7$-47
- T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka - Team Top Batter DrawYes$6$5
- Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No$5$2
- Will Germany win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?Yes$4$0
- Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$2$-52
- Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$2$-52
- Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$2$-52
- Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$2$-52
- Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$2$-52
- Will Lautaro Martinez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$2$-52
- Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$2$-52
- Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$2$-52
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$1$-3
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
- 34d agoBought Yes$24.1K@ 72.0¢
- 45d agoBought T1$5.5K@ 47.0¢
- 51d agoBought No$432@ 87.0¢
- 61d agoBought Yes$397@ 3.2¢
- 61d agoBought Yes$162@ 3.0¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.