All-Peasant-Drug
Volume reflects the latest curated snapshot. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes$432.0K$155.5K
- Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes$9.5K$3.1K
- Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25?No$9.0K$3.6K
- Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$8.1K$1.4K
- Will Sagan Tosu win on 2026-10-25?Yes$8.0K$3.1K
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?No$7.0K$1.4K
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Yes$6.4K$500
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No$5.6K$326
- Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 30, 2026?Yes$4.5K$685
- LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group StageGen.G$4.4K$8
- Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes$4.1K$90
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?No$3.6K$-225
- Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes$3.1K$743
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Yes$3.0K$-589
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Yes$3.0K$29
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes$2.6K$891
- Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Sayaka Ishii vs Yulia PutintsevaYulia Putintseva$2.5K$629
- LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group StageTop Esports$2.4K$-72
- Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes$2.3K$337
- Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes$2.1K$275
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?Yes$2.0K$-1.5K
- Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?Yes$2.0K$173
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$2.0K$-273
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes$1.9K$-323
- Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes$1.5K$-1.2K
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Liquid - Map 1 WinnerFUT Esports$1.5K$80
- Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes$1.4K$34
- Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes$1.4K$22
- Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$1.3K$-303
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$1.2K$159
- Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes$1.0K$-6
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?Yes$1.0K$386
- Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$1,000$534
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No$988$-203
- Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?No$934$-47
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No$833$-20
- Kawasaki Frontale vs. Fagiano Okayama: O/U 2.5Over$828$240
- Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes$821$-605
- FC Tōkyō vs. FC Mito Holly Hock: Both Teams to ScoreNo$787$133
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No$765$214
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No$744$42
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs TYLOO (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group StageSpirit$739$9
- Melbourne United vs. Sydney KingsMelbourne United$692$339
- Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?Yes$679$167
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$677$-345
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?Yes$676$-12
- Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch?Yes$669$139
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No$644$39
- Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?Yes$623$348
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes$613$41
- Shenzhen Leopards vs. Beijing Royal FightersBeijing Royal Fighters$612$-216
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes$606$-1
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Yes$605$-302
- Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No$589$-81
- Papertrade FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes$565$-478
- Will T1 win Worlds 2026?Yes$560$-49
- Will Washington Capitals advance to the Second Round of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs?No$557$80
- Will FC Tōkyō win on 2026-10-25?Yes$541$123
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes$489$13
- PSV vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 1.5Over$474$-3
- Tokyo Sunrockers vs. Diamond DolphinsTokyo Sunrockers$463$-153
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$461$-1.4K
- Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?Yes$460$32
- Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-10-25?Yes$451$205
- Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes$420$95
- Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes$408$-18
- FC Tōkyō vs. FC Mito Holly Hock: O/U 2.5Under$397$-221
- Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-10-19?Yes$397$-115
- Will Buffalo Sabres advance to the Second Round of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs?Yes$385$99
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes$381$22
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$371$-357
- Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes$353$2
- Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Yes$328$40
- Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes$327$-66
- Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?Yes$326$38
- Spread: Cairns Taipans (-0.5)Cairns Taipans$315$161
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes$304$-338
- Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes$300$78
- Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?No$296$24
- Will FC Mito Holly Hock win on 2026-10-25?No$295$26
- Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes$294$-168
- Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes$288$35
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Yes$287$7
- Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Yes$285$-1
- Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes$283$56
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October?No$272$43
- Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes$271$-161
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No$254$17
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$254$-118
- Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?Yes$240$-7
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes$240$-16
- Exact Score: Cerezo Ōsaka 0 - 1 JEF United Ichihara Chiba?No$238$24
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No$238$-735
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$235$27
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No$231$-13
- Will Cusco FC win on 2026-07-18?Yes$227$75
- UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?Yes$221$-23
- Will Scott Gillingham win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?Yes$221$29
- Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Yes$221$-68
- Will Montreal Canadiens advance to the Second Round of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs?Yes$213$23
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
- 66d agoSold TEAM VISION$4.5K@ 99.9¢
- 66d agoBought TEAM VISION$190@ 51.9¢
- 66d agoBought TEAM VISION$190@ 51.9¢
- 66d agoBought TYLOO$1.1K@ 57.0¢
- 66d agoBought JD Gaming$206@ 72.0¢
- 66d agoSold Yes$704@ 45.5¢
- 66d agoSold HANJIN BRION Challengers$359@ 99.9¢
- 66d agoBought Dplus KIA$190@ 46.0¢
- 66d agoSold Hanwha Life Esports$913@ 99.9¢
- 66d agoSold TEAM VISION$256@ 92.0¢
- 66d agoBought Hanwha Life Esports$124@ 43.0¢
- 66d agoBought Hanwha Life Esports$394@ 47.0¢
- 66d agoSold Kiwoom DRX Challengers$106@ 99.0¢
- 66d agoSold Nigma Galaxy$130@ 32.0¢
- 66d agoBought Dplus KIA$476@ 48.0¢
- 66d agoSold HANJIN BRION Challengers$161@ 99.0¢
- 66d agoBought TEAM VISION$190@ 61.0¢
- 66d agoBought Up$467@ 80.6¢
- 66d agoBought Yes$162@ 84.0¢
- 66d agoBought Iron Wing$190@ 28.0¢
- 66d agoBought Yes$396@ 62.0¢
- 66d agoSold Up$119@ 32.3¢
- 66d agoBought Team Spirit$952@ 88.3¢
- 66d agoBought Team Spirit$1.9K@ 92.8¢
- 66d agoBought Aryna Sabalenka$143@ 60.0¢
How to read this page
This page describes the public Polymarket activity for the wallet All-Peasant-Drug. The headline figures are $76 of traded volume, 29 currently visible open positions, and a naive realized profit-and-loss estimate of $17.5K. Each figure is read straight from public on-chain and public-API records that anyone could query.
Traded volume of $76 is light and is simply a measure of how much activity the address has moved through the platform. It does not imply skill or endorsement. The realized figure of $17.5K is positive and is a naive estimate from the public data, with a 62% win rate across resolved positions. Past activity says nothing about future outcomes.
The open-positions table lists the 29 markets where this wallet currently holds a visible position, with the side, size, and current mark for each. Every row links through to that market's own page, where the same price reads as the market's implied probability. The positions are activity to observe, not a model to follow.
- Read traded volume as activity, not skill. Take the $76 of traded volume as a measure of how much the wallet has moved through Polymarket. A high figure means the address has been active at scale; it does not imply skill, endorsement, or any judgment about future results.
- Treat the profit-and-loss figure as a naive estimate. The realized figure of $17.5K is a naive estimate derived from public data and is positive. It is described where the public records expose it and carries no guarantee of accuracy.
- Open the positions for context. Use the positions table to see which markets the wallet currently sits in. Each row links to that market's page, where the price reads as the market's implied probability. The positions are public activity to observe.
- Keep it as observation. Read the figures as a description of what a public address has done, and form your own view. Nothing on this page directs an action or follows a wallet.
How these figures are derived
Volume, the open-position count, and the realized profit-and-loss estimate are read from Polymarket's public data API and the public chain. We identify the wallet only by its public address and any display name Polymarket itself has already published, and we do not tie an address to a real-world person.
The realized figure of $17.5K is a deliberately naive estimate, not an audited result, and the win rate is shown only where the public data exposes it. The page renders from a periodic snapshot, so the 29 visible positions and the $76 of volume are as of the most recent pull and may already differ from the live platform.
For the full detail on sources and limits, see the methodology page.
Frequently asked questions
What does the $76 traded volume for this wallet mean?
It is a measure of how much activity this public Polymarket address has moved through the platform, read from public records. A light figure means the wallet has been active at scale. It does not imply skill, endorsement, or any judgment about future results, and it is shown as an observation rather than guidance.
How is the realized profit-and-loss figure calculated?
The $17.5K figure is a naive realized estimate derived from the wallet's public trade and position data, currently positive. It is not an audited result and carries no guarantee of accuracy. Past activity says nothing about future outcomes, and the figure is reported only to describe what the public data shows.
How current are the positions shown here?
They are as of the latest snapshot of Polymarket's public data, not the current second. The 29 visible positions and the $76 of traded volume can already differ from the live platform, since activity on Polymarket moves continuously.
Can I follow or copy this wallet from Cent Signals?
No. Cent Signals is editorial and read-only. There is no copy-trade feature, order routing, wallet connection, or fund custody here. The wallet's activity is shown as public on-chain data to observe, and nothing on this page is financial, investment, or betting advice.
Compiled by the Cent Signals editorial desk. Reviewed June 3, 2026.
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.