All-Peasant-Drug
Volume reflects the latest curated snapshot. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes$115.2K$-29.9K
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No$32.6K$-24.1K
- Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$7.5K$1.5K
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes$5.0K$-6.1K
- Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes$4.3K$306
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?No$3.7K$186
- Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-09-05?Yes$3.4K$-1.8K
- Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes$3.0K$86
- Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes$2.6K$198
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No$2.5K$-2.1K
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$2.5K$100
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes$2.3K$567
- Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes$2.3K$272
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes$1.8K$76
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026?Yes$1.6K$-603
- FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 2.5Over$1.6K$126
- LoL: Winthrop University vs Maryville University (BO5) - North American Challengers League PlayoffsMaryville University$1.6K$-513
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5Over$1.4K$-14
- Orsomarso SC vs. Tigres FC: O/U 2.5Under$1.4K$-52
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5Over$1.4K$-9
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes$1.2K$164
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No$1.2K$82
- Phan Thiet 3: Philip Sekulic vs Koki MatsudaPhilip Sekulic$1.1K$-86
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No$1.1K$-177
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$1.0K$79
- Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes$961$-666
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$953$-892
- Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?No$945$-627
- LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsInvictus Gaming$935$37
- Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-09-10?Yes$886$410
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No$846$11
- Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes$835$-523
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$830$-189
- US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica PegulaAryna Sabalenka$827$-7
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?No$776$-159
- FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 3.5Over$762$-171
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No$735$33
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes$729$66
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes$706$-237
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?Yes$705$587
- Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No$694$-258
- LoL: ZYB Esport vs Project Conquerors (BO5) - LFL PromotionProject Conquerors$675$311
- Will Google be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes$623$-5
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No$607$220
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes$581$30
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: Tottenham Hotspur FC O/U 1.5Over$558$-13
- Exact Score: Chicago Fire FC 2 - 1 Vancouver Whitecaps FC?Yes$553$150
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes$539$-208
- LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League PlayoffsKT Rolster Challengers$537$3
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes$526$-58
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No$506$-471
- Aryna Sabalenka vs. Jessica Pegula: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5$490$6
- Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-12?Yes$471$-5
- Texas Rangers vs. Seattle MarinersTexas Rangers$445$27
- Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes$411$-599
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?Yes$404$97
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?Yes$386$-364
- LoL: ZYB Esport vs Project Conquerors - Game 2 WinnerZYB Esport$341$293
- Aurora FC vs. CSD Municipal: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over$340$95
- Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?Yes$320$32
- Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$316$18
- Ethereum Up or Down on September 11?Up$296$66
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?Yes$288$40
- Exact Score: Chicago Fire FC 1 - 1 Vancouver Whitecaps FC?Yes$288$-22
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?Yes$287$49
- Orsomarso SC vs. Tigres FC: O/U 2.5Over$278$-1
- Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes$274$-191
- Vila Nova FC to score first vs. Goiás EC?Yes$271$-14
- Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: Tottenham Hotspur FC O/U 2.5Over$268$-18
- LoL: Bubliki vs Dominion Goblins (BO5) - LPLOL PlayoffsBubliki$265$41
- Exact Score: CD Coquimbo Unido 3 - 0 CD Huachipato?No$261$-216
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Yes$257$-23
- LoL: Meavedron vs BRUTE (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters PlayoffsBRUTE$256$-30
- Will Aurora FC win on 2026-09-10?Yes$245$-708
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of September 7 2026?Yes$243$224
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes$241$-99
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?Yes$236$-4
- Will Gen.G Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?Yes$236$83
- Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes$227$-59
- Will Cusco FC win on 2026-07-18?Yes$227$75
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes$222$29
- Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$214$-148
- Will Solana reach $140 by December 31, 2026?Yes$209$-55
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?No$203$4
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?Yes$202$-22
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No$202$1
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes$196$3
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes$195$-22
- Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?No$194$3
- Will Venezuela become 51st state?No$190$3
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Over$188$-2
- Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?No$186$18
- Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes$186$38
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes$186$-23
- Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 7-13?No$180$-7
- Will Anthropic’s valuation be between $750B and $1.00T at the end of October 2026?No$179$-0
- Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026?Yes$178$4
- Will CDPJuniorFC win on 2026-08-10?Yes$176$-77
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No$176$-0
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes$174$-2
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
- 22d agoSold TEAM VISION$4.5K@ 99.9¢
- 22d agoBought TEAM VISION$190@ 51.9¢
- 22d agoBought TEAM VISION$190@ 51.9¢
- 22d agoBought TYLOO$1.1K@ 57.0¢
- 22d agoBought JD Gaming$206@ 72.0¢
- 22d agoSold Yes$704@ 45.5¢
- 22d agoSold HANJIN BRION Challengers$359@ 99.9¢
- 22d agoBought Dplus KIA$190@ 46.0¢
- 22d agoSold Hanwha Life Esports$913@ 99.9¢
- 22d agoSold TEAM VISION$256@ 92.0¢
- 22d agoBought Hanwha Life Esports$124@ 43.0¢
- 22d agoBought Hanwha Life Esports$394@ 47.0¢
- 22d agoSold Kiwoom DRX Challengers$106@ 99.0¢
- 22d agoSold Nigma Galaxy$130@ 32.0¢
- 22d agoBought Dplus KIA$476@ 48.0¢
- 22d agoSold HANJIN BRION Challengers$161@ 99.0¢
- 22d agoBought TEAM VISION$190@ 61.0¢
- 22d agoBought Up$467@ 80.6¢
- 22d agoBought Yes$162@ 84.0¢
- 22d agoBought Iron Wing$190@ 28.0¢
- 22d agoBought Yes$396@ 62.0¢
- 22d agoSold Up$119@ 32.3¢
- 22d agoBought Team Spirit$952@ 88.3¢
- 22d agoBought Team Spirit$1.9K@ 92.8¢
- 22d agoBought Aryna Sabalenka$143@ 60.0¢
How to read this page
This page describes the public Polymarket activity for the wallet All-Peasant-Drug. The headline figures are $76 of traded volume, 29 currently visible open positions, and a naive realized profit-and-loss estimate of $17.5K. Each figure is read straight from public on-chain and public-API records that anyone could query.
Traded volume of $76 is light and is simply a measure of how much activity the address has moved through the platform. It does not imply skill or endorsement. The realized figure of $17.5K is positive and is a naive estimate from the public data, with a 62% win rate across resolved positions. Past activity says nothing about future outcomes.
The open-positions table lists the 29 markets where this wallet currently holds a visible position, with the side, size, and current mark for each. Every row links through to that market's own page, where the same price reads as the market's implied probability. The positions are activity to observe, not a model to follow.
- Read traded volume as activity, not skill. Take the $76 of traded volume as a measure of how much the wallet has moved through Polymarket. A high figure means the address has been active at scale; it does not imply skill, endorsement, or any judgment about future results.
- Treat the profit-and-loss figure as a naive estimate. The realized figure of $17.5K is a naive estimate derived from public data and is positive. It is described where the public records expose it and carries no guarantee of accuracy.
- Open the positions for context. Use the positions table to see which markets the wallet currently sits in. Each row links to that market's page, where the price reads as the market's implied probability. The positions are public activity to observe.
- Keep it as observation. Read the figures as a description of what a public address has done, and form your own view. Nothing on this page directs an action or follows a wallet.
How these figures are derived
Volume, the open-position count, and the realized profit-and-loss estimate are read from Polymarket's public data API and the public chain. We identify the wallet only by its public address and any display name Polymarket itself has already published, and we do not tie an address to a real-world person.
The realized figure of $17.5K is a deliberately naive estimate, not an audited result, and the win rate is shown only where the public data exposes it. The page renders from a periodic snapshot, so the 29 visible positions and the $76 of volume are as of the most recent pull and may already differ from the live platform.
For the full detail on sources and limits, see the methodology page.
Frequently asked questions
What does the $76 traded volume for this wallet mean?
It is a measure of how much activity this public Polymarket address has moved through the platform, read from public records. A light figure means the wallet has been active at scale. It does not imply skill, endorsement, or any judgment about future results, and it is shown as an observation rather than guidance.
How is the realized profit-and-loss figure calculated?
The $17.5K figure is a naive realized estimate derived from the wallet's public trade and position data, currently positive. It is not an audited result and carries no guarantee of accuracy. Past activity says nothing about future outcomes, and the figure is reported only to describe what the public data shows.
How current are the positions shown here?
They are as of the latest snapshot of Polymarket's public data, not the current second. The 29 visible positions and the $76 of traded volume can already differ from the live platform, since activity on Polymarket moves continuously.
Can I follow or copy this wallet from Cent Signals?
No. Cent Signals is editorial and read-only. There is no copy-trade feature, order routing, wallet connection, or fund custody here. The wallet's activity is shown as public on-chain data to observe, and nothing on this page is financial, investment, or betting advice.
Compiled by the Cent Signals editorial desk. Reviewed June 3, 2026.
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.