78979879879879
0xeb49…693eView on Polymarket ↗
Total volume
$373.0K
Open positions
61
Trades (7d, mirrored)
0
Open P&L (est.)
$-146.6K
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L (Polymarket)
$-20.8K
Hit rate (resolved)
6%
Resolved positions
33
Longshot exposure
92%
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
Market
Outcome
Value
Open P&L (est.)
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$153.3K$39.4K
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes$80.4K$11.2K
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?No$41.3K$14.8K
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No$33.8K$6.8K
- Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?Yes$19.3K$-95
- Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?No$18.4K$2.3K
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$14.0K$-1.6K
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No$8.9K$-249
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?No$5.6K$58
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$3.7K$756
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes$3.4K$432
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$2.9K$307
- Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?Yes$2.8K$1.1K
- Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No$2.6K$111
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026Yes$2.5K$41
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?Yes$2.4K$635
- Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?Yes$1.8K$179
- Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District?Yes$1.1K$100
- Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 36% and 39% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No$911$69
- Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?No$882$99
- Will Ronaldo Caiado win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Goiás?No$832$319
- Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio de Janeiro?Yes$678$63
- Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Espírito Santo?Yes$554$30
- Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul?Yes$280$61
- Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?Yes$253$32
- Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30?No$122$13
- Will Lula win between 38% and 41% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No$18$1
- Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?Yes$4$-0
- Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Egypt?Yes$0$-100
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?No$0$-5.1K
- Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Egypt?Yes$0$-300
- Exact Score: Australia 1 - 0 Egypt?Yes$0$-200
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?No$0$-3.7K
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?No$0$-1.7K
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?No$0$-30.3K
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:15PM-11:20PM ETDown$0$-10
- Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 0 Colombia?Yes$0$-10
- Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao FonsecaCasper Ruud$0$-252
- Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Colombia?Yes$0$-10
- Tampa Bay Rays vs. AthleticsAthletics$0$-9.9K
- Spurs vs. KnicksSpurs$0$-10.6K
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ETDown$0$-15
- Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Colombia?Yes$0$-17
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ETUp$0$-35
- Iran closes its airspace by June 15?No$0$-47.5K
- Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Egypt?Yes$0$-180
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?No$0$-13.0K
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ETUp$0$-5
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through July 31?Yes$0$-899
- Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Egypt?Yes$0$-180
- Iran closes its airspace by July 31?No$0$-177
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:40PM-11:45PM ETDown$0$-50
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?No$0$-2.4K
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?No$0$-960
- Exact Score: Australia 0 - 0 Egypt?Yes$0$-320
- Iran closes its airspace by July 15?No$0$-778
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 11:30PM-11:35PM ETDown$0$-5
- Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?No$0$-64
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?Yes$0$-581
- Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No$0$-90.6K
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No$0$-3.7K
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
When
Market
Action
Size · Price
- 37d agoBought No$2.1K@ 94.0¢
- 37d agoBought No$3.3K@ 87.0¢
- 37d agoSold No$5.4K@ 95.8¢
- 38d agoBought Yes$175@ 96.0¢
- 38d agoBought Yes$177@ 86.0¢
- 38d agoBought Yes$954@ 88.7¢
- 38d agoSold No$958@ 95.8¢
- 39d agoBought Yes$110@ 41.9¢
- 39d agoSold No$264@ 88.0¢
- 40d agoBought Yes$113@ 85.3¢
- 40d agoBought No$274@ 95.4¢
- 40d agoBought Yes$300@ 88.9¢
- 40d agoBought Yes$113@ 88.0¢
- 40d agoBought Yes$104@ 86.0¢
- 41d agoBought No$385@ 77.0¢
- 41d agoSold No$389@ 97.3¢
- 41d agoBought No$11.0K@ 80.8¢
- 41d agoBought Yes$5.6K@ 85.8¢
- 41d agoBought No$399@ 91.1¢
- 42d agoBought Yes$173@ 84.0¢
- 42d agoBought Yes$14.7K@ 92.0¢
- 42d agoBought Yes$1.5K@ 91.0¢
- 42d agoBought Yes$224@ 28.4¢
- 42d agoBought Yes$3.0K@ 73.0¢
- 42d agoBought Yes$549@ 83.0¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.