elmcap2
0xed10…d2e5View on Polymarket ↗
Total volume
$270.5K
Open positions
86
Trades (7d, mirrored)
4
Open P&L (est.)
$77.6K
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L (Polymarket)
$10.0K
Hit rate (resolved)
100%
Resolved positions
54
Longshot exposure
100%
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
Market
Outcome
Value
Open P&L (est.)
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No$1.67M$666.0K
- Trump out as President by June 30?No$742.0K$31.3K
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No$520.8K$1.3K
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$334.0K$-666.0K
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No$298.3K$5.8K
- Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?No$224.6K$5.3K
- Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No$179.4K$11.4K
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No$142.3K$490
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No$124.6K$489
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?No$105.9K$2.8K
- New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?No$81.0K$3.5K
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No$75.6K$804
- Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?No$47.0K$555
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No$45.4K$130
- Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?No$42.5K$425
- Nasdaq round-the-clock trading by June 30?No$39.7K$258
- Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?No$35.1K$337
- Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No$35.0K$1.6K
- Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?No$30.9K$1.6K
- Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes$28.6K$582
- Xi Jinping out by June 30?No$28.5K$207
- Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes$25.0K$447
- New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30?No$24.8K$174
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No$22.6K$1.3K
- Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?No$20.4K$2.3K
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No$20.1K$108
- US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No$19.9K$40
- Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No$18.7K$160
- Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?No$17.9K$1.1K
- New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31?No$17.7K$184
- Will Stripe not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes$16.6K$182
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?No$15.9K$49
- Chirayu Rana divorced?No$13.2K$320
- Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?No$9.7K$162
- Will Trump be impeached by June 30?No$8.8K$296
- Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?No$8.7K$388
- Iran leadership change by June 30?No$6.9K$8
- Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?No$5.6K$11
- Major CEX insolvent in 2026?No$4.8K$156
- Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?No$4.4K$99
- Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?No$4.0K$86
- Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?No$3.6K$132
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?No$3.6K$49
- 100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?No$3.5K$-9
- Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No$3.4K$343
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $750B by June 30?No$3.3K$20
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?No$3.2K$-26
- Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?No$2.5K$5
- Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?No$2.4K$12
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?No$2.4K$63
- Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by June 30?No$2.2K$8
- Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by June 30?No$2.1K$5
- DOJ reopens Powell investigation by June 30?No$2.1K$21
- Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30?No$2.0K$17
- Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?No$2.0K$75
- Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No$2.0K$18
- Trump out as President before 2027?No$1.9K$141
- Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?No$1.8K$-5
- US takes Panama Canal before 2027?No$1.8K$-50
- Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?No$1.7K$26
- Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?No$1.7K$12
- Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by June 30?No$1.6K$7
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $175 in June?No$1.6K$9
- Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?Yes$1.5K$32
- Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?No$1.2K$18
- Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?No$1.2K$3
- Waymo IPO before 2027?No$1.0K$155
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in June?No$998$8
- JD Vance out as VP by June 30?No$997$7
- Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?No$993$3
- Will Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026?No$982$4
- Will Stripe’s market cap be between $120B and $140B at market close on IPO day?No$981$9
- Will Waymo launch in New York City by June 30 2026?No$949$25
- Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by June 30, 2026?No$921$28
- Will Dreamcash launch a token by June 30, 2026?No$698$-49
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No$612$18
- Bill Gates charged by June 30?No$239$1
- Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?No$234$3
- Will Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No$199$1
- Anduril Industries IPO before 2027?No$157$15
- Record crypto liquidation in 2026?No$150$5
- Epstein or Maxwell confirmed Mossad operatives by June 30?No$114$0
- Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by June 30?No$102$1
- Another Canada election called by June 30?No$86$0
- Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by June 30?No$85$0
- Will Nvidia have a #1 AI model by June 30?No$53$0
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
When
Market
Action
Size · Price
- 4h agoBought No$112@ 99.7¢
- 26h agoBought Yes$256.2K@ 99.7¢
- 2d agoBought No$214@ 99.1¢
- 5d agoBought No$899@ 90.0¢
- 11d agoBought No$11.0K@ 98.7¢
- 11d agoBought No$991@ 98.5¢
- 12d agoBought Santiago Luna$975@ 48.0¢
- 12d agoBought No$114@ 99.0¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.