sbimbg
0xf519…906bView on Polymarket ↗
Total volume
$108.4K
Open positions
100
Trades (7d, mirrored)
0
Open P&L (est.)
$7.5K
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L (Polymarket)
$40.2K
Hit rate (resolved)
0%
Resolved positions
230
Longshot exposure
28%
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
Market
Outcome
Value
Open P&L (est.)
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No$35.7K$5.5K
- NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No$6.8K$1.8K
- Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?No$4.0K$150
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes$3.5K$105
- US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Yes$2.9K$175
- Will the Democratic Party win the FL-25 House seat?Yes$2.6K$0
- Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat?No$2.6K$14
- Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?Yes$2.2K$1.6K
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?No$1.9K$1
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?No$1.9K$-61
- Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.40% before 2027?No$1.6K$-157
- Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?No$1.1K$-338
- Will The Odyssey win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes$1.0K$-117
- Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?No$972$42
- Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?No$940$-137
- AI bubble burst in 2026?No$903$3
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?No$875$190
- Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat?Yes$773$-16
- Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of October 2026?No$735$131
- Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?No$726$11
- Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes$722$200
- Will Mali win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group K?Yes$690$80
- Will the Democratic Party win the FL-07 House seat?No$660$52
- Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Yes$590$-128
- Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat?No$589$-80
- Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.45% before 2027?No$567$-91
- Will the Republican Party win the KS-02 House seat?Yes$544$-11
- Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?No$538$-99
- Will the Democratic Party win the NH-02 House seat?No$507$-288
- Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026?No$492$-1
- Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?Yamal$490$-370
- Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat?Yes$473$48
- Will the Republican Party win the CO-03 House seat?Yes$450$-20
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?No$434$69
- Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes$349$72
- Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Yes$286$-187
- Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?Yes$283$-28
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Over$273$-43
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No$232$88
- Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?Yes$231$-1
- Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $4.00T and $4.50T at the end of October 2026?Yes$220$-81
- Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat?No$211$4
- Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?Yes$205$-95
- Will Confluent (CFLT) beat quarterly earnings?No$183$3
- Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.60% before 2027?No$180$-50
- Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% before 2027?No$173$4
- Will the Democratic Party win the IA-02 House seat?No$171$-62
- Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?Yes$161$84
- Will the Republican Party win the MO-02 House seat?No$159$17
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No$144$-20
- Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?No$143$0
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Yes$136$-1
- Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Yes$135$-2
- McDonald's (MCD) Q3 global comparable sales growth 1% to 2%?No$120$-39
- Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat?No$98$-23
- Will the Republican Party win the MI-04 House seat?Yes$96$-22
- Will the Democrats win the Oregon governor race in 2026?No$93$-13
- Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?No$90$-25
- Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?No$90$39
- Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 46% to 48%?Yes$88$-29
- Will Teladoc (TDOC) beat quarterly earnings?Yes$87$-45
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027?Yes$85$-15
- Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No$82$-32
- Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in October?Yes$81$-1
- Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?No$79$12
- Will Alexia Putellas win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Yes$70$1
- Will Cboe (CBOE) beat quarterly earnings?No$65$-49
- Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?Yes$62$-16
- Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes$62$25
- Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of October 2026?Yes$59$41
- Will the Republicans win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?No$57$6
- Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.10% before 2027?No$57$3
- Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No$55$3
- Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026?Yes$55$-13
- Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?No$51$-16
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?No$45$3
- Will Google (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?Yes$38$-92
- Will the Democratic Party win the WI-01 House seat?No$38$-3
- Yum! Brands (YUM) Q3 worldwide same-restaurant sales growth -0.5% to 0.5%?Yes$35$5
- Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?Yes$34$-8
- Will MGM Resorts (MGM) beat quarterly earnings?Yes$34$-54
- Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Yes$34$18
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027?No$33$-6
- Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes$31$3
- Will the Republican Party win the IA-02 House seat?Yes$30$-8
- Will Monster Beverage (MNST) beat quarterly earnings?No$30$2
- Will the Democratic Party win the NC-11 House seat?No$27$-2
- Will the Republican Party win the CA-22 House seat?Yes$21$2
- Will RB Leipzig reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League final?No$20$0
- Will VfB Stuttgart reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League final?No$20$-0
- Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election in the city of São Paulo?No$19$-38
- Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat?No$18$0
- Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026?No$16$2
- Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 total capital expenditures be above $68B?Yes$16$-24
- Will Monster Beverage (MNST) beat quarterly earnings?Yes$14$-0
- Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes$13$4
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?No$11$0
- Will the Republicans win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?No$10$5
- Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?No$9$0
- Will the Republican Party win the TX-34 House seat?Yes$9$-1
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
When
Market
Action
Size · Price
- 67d agoBought Jakub Mensik$4.3K@ 55.0¢
- 68d agoBought Arthur Fils$4.9K@ 61.0¢
- 70d agoBought No$1.3K@ 91.0¢
- 71d agoBought Terence Atmane$4.5K@ 79.0¢
- 71d agoBought Quentin Halys$6.2K@ 37.0¢
- 73d agoBought J.J. Wolf$617@ 61.0¢
- 74d agoBought No$180@ 90.0¢
- 76d agoBought Over$519@ 15.0¢
- 76d agoBought Brandon Nakashima$10.5K@ 70.0¢
- 81d agoBought Talia Gibson$5.1K@ 34.0¢
- 81d agoBought Talia Gibson$7.2K@ 72.0¢
- 81d agoBought Miomir Kecmanovic$1.8K@ 74.0¢
- 82d agoBought Joao Fonseca$221@ 76.0¢
- 82d agoBought Donna Vekic$274@ 47.0¢
- 83d agoBought Thiago Agustin Tirante$11.3K@ 52.0¢
- 83d agoSold Christopher OConnell$812@ 13.0¢
- 83d agoBought Lois Boisson$4.0K@ 68.0¢
- 84d agoBought Jack Draper$6.5K@ 69.0¢
- 85d agoBought Darja Vidmanova$6.6K@ 82.0¢
- 85d agoBought Darja Vidmanova$1.1K@ 81.0¢
- 86d agoBought No$136@ 68.0¢
- 94d agoBought Mayar Sherif$7.9K@ 65.9¢
- 95d agoBought Sara Bejlek$6.6K@ 84.7¢
- 95d agoBought Alexander Bublik$1.3K@ 83.0¢
- 97d agoBought Lanlana Tararudee$4.7K@ 63.6¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.