0xf5592765133941c40C77e52Bc56bbe7EC167F462-1755612447740
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
- Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes$27.1K$1.2K
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh PiratesMilwaukee Brewers$22.6K$-2.4K
- Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No$18.7K$2.6K
- Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5Under$10.6K$638
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries PlayoffsNatus Vincere$10.2K$191
- Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No$10.1K$52
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)magic$9.1K$-494
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati RedsLos Angeles Dodgers$9.0K$-11.0K
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes$5.9K$-2.3K
- Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$3.0K$174
- Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?Yes$2.9K$-468
- Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes$2.7K$-411
- Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$2.3K$-178
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$2.3K$508
- Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$1.5K$132
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes$1.3K$-2.8K
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$1.2K$119
- Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$787$-108
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs MIBR (+1.5)MIBR$717$0
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$701$193
- Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$625$26
- Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Yes$613$-156
- Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes$426$-10
- Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes$194$-9
- Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes$37$-0
- Winston-Salem Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Sebastian BaezSebastian Baez$0$-20.0K
- Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?Yes$0$-20.0K
- 76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5Under$0$-10.0K
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)9z$0$-20.0K
- Ethereum Up or Down on December 25?Down$0$-860
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2TYLOO$0$-3.0K
- Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 212.5Under$0$-5.0K
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Spirit - Map 2 WinnerSpirit$0$-10.0K
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group BBetBoom Team$0$-9.4K
- US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos AlcarazCarlos Alcaraz$0$-50.0K
- Counter-Strike: NIP vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierNIP$0$-568
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)FaZe$0$-30.6K
- Spread: Magic (-5.5)Pistons$0$-973
- Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Yes$0$-550
- Rockets vs. LakersRockets$0$-14.2K
- Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Nakashima (+1.5)Nakashima$0$-418
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)PARIVISION$0$-19.3K
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No$0$-870
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3TheMongolz$0$-5.0K
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)M80$0$-20.0K
- Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group AVitality$0$-100
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group BMIBR$0$-3.0K
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+1.5)Inner Circle Esports$0$-20.0K
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)FUT Esports$0$-12.3K
- Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsYes$0$-1,000
- Ethereum Up or Down on December 21?Down$0$-1,000
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago CubsMilwaukee Brewers$0$-10.0K
- Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5Under$0$-5.0K
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Thunder$0$-6.0K
- Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?Yes$0$-1,000
- Hamburg: Mika Petkovic vs Niels McDonaldMika Petkovic$0$-19.8K
- Spurs vs. CelticsCeltics$0$-751
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsSpirit$0$-2.0K
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Legacy (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group BLegacy$0$-15.0K
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3Natus Vincere$0$-2.5K
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Over$0$-12.5K
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group AVitality$0$-2.3K
- Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5Over$0$-2.0K
- Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group StageTheMongolz$0$-3.0K
- England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Under$0$-10.0K
- Pistons vs. MagicPistons$0$-7.6K
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?No$0$-4.9K
- Hawks vs. KnicksKnicks$0$-8.7K
- LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise GroupNongshim Red Force$0$-20.0K
- TikTok sale announced in 2025?No$0$-1,000
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Suns$0$-1.5K
- Game Spread: Shelton (-4.5) vs Tiafoe (+4.5)Tiafoe$0$-24.8K
- Counter-Strike: NRG vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1FlyQuest$0$-2.0K
- Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group ApaiN$0$-540
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Timberwolves$0$-7.0K
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Over$0$-1,000
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta PlayoffsLegacy$0$-2.5K
- Heat vs. PacersHeat$0$-2.0K
- Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifiermagic$0$-15.0K
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)9z$0$-34.9K
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsAurora Gaming$0$-5.0K
- Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Yes$0$-4.9K
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta PlayoffspaiN$0$-1.5K
- Lexington: James McCabe vs Dusan LajovicJames McCabe$0$-9.0K
- Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?Yes$0$-5.0K
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group ANatus Vincere$0$-48.8K
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over$0$-479
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group BFUT Esports$0$-39.4K
- Magic vs. WarriorsMagic$0$-2.7K
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND PlayoffsFURIA$0$-20.0K
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs Astralis (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group AG2$0$-19.6K
- Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5Under$0$-15.0K
- Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TheMongolz (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group ATheMongolz$0$-10.0K
- Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to AdvanceSenegal$0$-5.0K
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group BLegacy$0$-34.3K
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere$0$-1,000
- U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?No$0$-1,000
- Celtics vs. KnicksCeltics$0$-1.2K
- Counter-Strike: DENDELE CS vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierDENDELE CS$0$-5.0K
- Counter-Strike: Legacy vs magic (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group Bmagic$0$-10.0K
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
- 28d agoBought Natus Vincere$41.5K@ 70.0¢
- 28d agoSold Yes$30.4K@ 70.0¢
- 31d agoBought Yes$1.3K@ 1.6¢
- 31d agoBought Yes$1.1K@ 4.9¢
- 31d agoBought Yes$5.0K@ 42.0¢
- 31d agoBought Daniel Merida Aguilar$10.5K@ 54.8¢
- 32d agoBought MIBR$3.0K@ 40.6¢
- 32d agoBought Over$479@ 47.0¢
- 32d agoBought PARIVISION$1.3K@ 61.9¢
- 32d agoBought Over$399@ 45.0¢
- 34d agoBought 100 Thieves$5.0K@ 46.0¢
- 35d agoBought JiJieHao$2.0K@ 64.6¢
- 35d agoBought Over$3.4K@ 49.4¢
- 35d agoBought BIG$5.0K@ 64.3¢
- 35d agoBought JiJieHao$996@ 64.9¢
- 36d agoBought magic$10.0K@ 47.0¢
- 36d agoBought G2$10.0K@ 68.0¢
- 36d agoBought 9z$10.0K@ 62.9¢
- 43d agoBought Over$2.5K@ 46.7¢
- 43d agoBought Over$7.2K@ 57.0¢
- 46d agoBought No$5.0K@ 42.0¢
- 46d agoBought Spirit$1.1K@ 79.0¢
- 46d agoBought Yes$3.1K@ 33.9¢
- 46d agoBought Yes$634@ 41.8¢
- 46d agoBought No$181@ 82.4¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.