0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060
0xfbd8…4027View on Polymarket ↗
Total volume
$69.2K
Open positions
100
Trades (7d, mirrored)
17
Open P&L (est.)
$-1.9K
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L (Polymarket)
$82.4K
Hit rate (resolved)
0%
Resolved positions
482
Longshot exposure
96%
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
Market
Outcome
Value
Open P&L (est.)
- Will Meta have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?No$14$-0
- Will Tencent have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?No$14$-0
- Will Ideogram have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?No$14$-0
- Will Google have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?No$14$-0
- Will Recraft have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?No$14$-0
- Will Luma AI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?No$14$-0
- Will Black Forest Labs have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?No$14$-0
- Will SpaceXAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?No$14$-0
- Will Reve have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?No$14$-0
- Will "Mexico" win Ludwig's Streamer Games 2026?No$13$-1
- Will ByteDance have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?No$13$-1
- Will Microsoft AI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?No$13$-1
- Will Alibaba have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?No$10$0
- Will Donald Trump endorse Robert F. Kennedy Jr. in the 2028 US Presidential election?Yes$7$6
- Will Donald Trump endorse Thomas Massie in the 2028 US Presidential election?Yes$7$6
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 3?No$6$-0
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C or higher on August 3?No$6$-0
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on August 3?No$6$-0
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or below on August 3?No$6$-0
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 3?No$6$-0
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on August 3?No$6$-0
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on August 3?No$6$-0
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on August 3?No$5$0
- Will Mistral have the #3 AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes$5$4
- Will Amazon have the #3 AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes$5$4
- Will StepFun have the #3 AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes$5$4
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on August 3?No$5$-0
- Will Tencent have the #3 AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes$5$4
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on August 3?No$5$-0
- Will MiniMax have the #3 AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes$4$3
- Will Donald Trump endorse Greg Abbott in the 2028 US Presidential election?Yes$4$4
- Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026?No$4$-0
- Will Nvidia have the #3 AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes$4$3
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on August 3?No$4$-0
- Will Bytedance be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?Yes$3$2
- Will Team C win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes$2$-167
- Will Kate Hudson be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?Yes$2$2
- Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes$2$-42
- Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes$2$-42
- Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes$2$-42
- Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes$2$-42
- Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes$2$-42
- Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes$2$-42
- Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $7.00 and $7.50 on August 31, 2026?Yes$2$0
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 4?Yes$1$-1
- Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$1$-82
- Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$1$-82
- Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes$1$-31
- Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes$1$-31
- Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$1$-69
- Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$1$-69
- Will Matt Gaetz be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes$1$-88
- Will Casey DeSantis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes$1$-88
- Will Wilton Simpson be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes$1$-88
- Will Jimmy Patronis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes$1$-88
- Will Rodrygo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$1$-21
- Will Enzo Fernandez win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes$1$-21
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?Yes$1$-62
- Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?Yes$1$-62
- Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes$1$-20
- Will DeepSeek have the #3 AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes$1$1
- Will Frank Lampard be the next head coach of Newcastle United?Yes$1$-1
- Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2026 meeting?Yes$1$-241
- Will Helder Barbalho finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes$1$-37
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on August 4?Yes$1$-2
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on August 4?Yes$0$-2
- Will Nathanael Schultz be the Republican nominee for MO-06?Yes$0$-7
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 37°C on August 4?Yes$0$-1
- Will "Pluribus" win 10 or more awards at the Emmys?Yes$0$-15
- Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes$0$-15
- Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes$0$-15
- Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes$0$-15
- Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes$0$-15
- Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes$0$-15
- Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes$0$-15
- Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes$0$-15
- Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes$0$-15
- Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes$0$-15
- Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes$0$-15
- Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes$0$-15
- Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes$0$-15
- Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes$0$-15
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on August 4?Yes$0$-3
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C or below on August 3?Yes$0$-1
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 4?Yes$0$-3
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C or below on August 4?Yes$0$-2
- Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on August 4?Yes$0$-2
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on August 3?Yes$0$-3
- Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in July?Yes$0$-0
- Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on August 3?Yes$0$-4
- Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes$0$-11
- Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes$0$-11
- Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes$0$-11
- Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes$0$-11
- Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes$0$-11
- Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes$0$-11
- Will FW win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes$0$-21
- Will FDP win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes$0$-21
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on August 3?Yes$0$-2
- Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes$0$-2
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
When
Market
Action
Size · Price
- 19h agoBought No$257@ 98.8¢
- 27h agoBought No$311@ 94.3¢
- 33h agoBought No$105@ 99.9¢
- 33h agoBought No$105@ 99.9¢
- 33h agoBought No$105@ 99.9¢
- 33h agoBought No$105@ 99.9¢
- 33h agoBought No$105@ 99.9¢
- 33h agoBought No$105@ 99.9¢
- 33h agoBought No$105@ 99.9¢
- 33h agoBought No$102@ 97.0¢
- 33h agoBought No$103@ 98.4¢
- 33h agoBought No$105@ 99.9¢
- 33h agoBought No$105@ 99.6¢
- 33h agoBought No$105@ 99.9¢
- 33h agoBought No$105@ 99.8¢
- 33h agoBought No$105@ 99.9¢
- 33h agoBought No$105@ 99.9¢
- 8d agoBought No$305@ 98.4¢
- 8d agoBought No$303@ 97.9¢
- 8d agoBought No$196@ 97.9¢
- 8d agoBought No$294@ 97.9¢
- 11d agoBought No$101@ 99.5¢
- 11d agoBought No$102@ 99.8¢
- 11d agoBought No$102@ 99.6¢
- 11d agoBought No$101@ 98.9¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.