0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060
0xfbd8…4027View on Polymarket ↗
Total volume
$79.6K
Open positions
100
Trades (7d, mirrored)
38
Open P&L (est.)
$-49.2K
Volume reflects the trades we have mirrored for this wallet. Open P&L is an estimate of the cash profit-and-loss across this wallet's currently visible open positions only, read live from public data. It is not realised profit and excludes closed positions, fees, and any activity outside the public feed.
Realized profit (Polymarket-reported)
Realized P&L (Polymarket)
$23.8K
Hit rate (resolved)
0%
Resolved positions
467
Longshot exposure
98%
Realized P&L is Polymarket's own reported figure, summed across the positions currently visible for this wallet. It is partial: it excludes fully closed-out and redeemed history and any activity outside the public feed. Hit rate is the share of resolved visible positions that finished in the money. Longshot exposure is the share of this wallet's mirrored trade notional entered at extreme prices, at or below 15 cents or at or above 85 cents, a pattern the favorite-longshot literature links to weaker outcomes. Observation of public data, not advice.
Current open positions
Estimated open profit-and-loss per position, read live from public data. An estimate, not realised profit.
Market
Outcome
Value
Open P&L (est.)
- Will Maria Deery win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes$25$-1.5K
- Will Simon Finkelstein win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes$25$-1.5K
- Will James Thomas Bryer win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes$25$-1.5K
- Will John Skipworth win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?Yes$25$-1.5K
- Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes$24$-946
- Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes$24$-946
- Will Fiorella Molinelli win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes$24$-946
- Will Roberto Chiabra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes$24$-946
- Will Vladimir Cerrón win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes$24$-946
- Will Marisol Pérez Tello win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes$24$-946
- Will Wolfgang Grozo win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes$24$-946
- Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes$24$-946
- Will César Acuña win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes$24$-946
- Will José Luna win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes$24$-946
- Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes$24$-946
- Will George Forsyth win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes$24$-946
- Will Mesías Guevara win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes$24$-946
- Will Mario Vizcarra win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes$24$-946
- Will José Williams win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes$24$-946
- Will Rafael Belaúnde Llosa win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes$24$-946
- Will Fernando Olivera win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes$24$-946
- Will Enrique Valderrama win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes$24$-946
- Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes$24$-946
- Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes$24$-946
- Will Mauricio Cardenas win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes$15$-1.1K
- Will Enrique Peñalosa win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes$15$-1.1K
- Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes$15$-1.1K
- Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes$15$-1.1K
- Will Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes$15$-1.1K
- Will David Luna Sánchez win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes$15$-1.1K
- Will Luis Gilberto Murillo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes$15$-1.1K
- Will Daniel Quintero win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes$15$-1.1K
- Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes$15$-1.1K
- Will Juan Manuel Galán win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes$15$-1.1K
- Will Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes$15$-1.1K
- Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes$15$-1.1K
- Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes$15$-1.1K
- Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$14$-464
- Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$14$-464
- Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$14$-464
- Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$14$-464
- Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$14$-455
- Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$14$-455
- Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$14$-455
- Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$14$-455
- Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$14$-455
- Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$14$-455
- Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$14$-455
- Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$14$-455
- Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes$13$12
- Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes$13$12
- Will 49 senators vote "Yea" for Todd Blanche as Attorney General?Yes$8$6
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 18?No$8$-0
- Will George Pickens play for Detroit Lions in 2026-27?Yes$6$6
- Will Dayne St. Clair win 2026 MLS Goalkeeper of the Year?Yes$6$6
- Will George Pickens play for New York Giants in 2026-27?Yes$6$5
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another Middle East/North Africa country?Yes$4$-211
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?Yes$4$-100
- Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes$3$-346
- Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes$3$-330
- Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes$3$-330
- Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes$3$-326
- Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes$3$-326
- Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes$3$-326
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Kazakhstan?Yes$2$-228
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq?Yes$2$-228
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?Yes$2$-225
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?Yes$2$-225
- Will Netherlands win Junior Eurovision 2026?Yes$2$2
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran?Yes$2$-215
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia?Yes$2$-215
- Will Montenegro win Junior Eurovision 2026?Yes$2$2
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy?Yes$2$-215
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?Yes$2$-213
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?Yes$2$-213
- Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$2$-63
- Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes$2$-63
- Will George Pickens play for Los Angeles Rams in 2026-27?Yes$2$1
- Will George Pickens play for Los Angeles Chargers in 2026-27?Yes$2$1
- Will George Pickens play for Minnesota Vikings in 2026-27?Yes$2$1
- Will George Pickens play for Houston Texans in 2026-27?Yes$2$1
- Will George Pickens play for Pittsburgh Steelers in 2026-27?Yes$2$1
- Will George Pickens play for Chicago Bears in 2026-27?Yes$2$1
- Will George Pickens play for Jacksonville Jaguars in 2026-27?Yes$2$1
- Will Azerbaijan win Junior Eurovision 2026?Yes$2$2
- Will Cyprus win Junior Eurovision 2026?Yes$2$1
- Will Spain win Junior Eurovision 2026?Yes$2$1
- Will Nicki Minaj finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes$1$-64
- Will Leo Zacky finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes$1$-64
- Will Katie Porter finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes$1$-64
- Will Raji Rab finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes$1$-64
- Will Matt Mahan finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes$1$-64
- Will Thunder Parley finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes$1$-64
- Will Ramsey Robinson finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes$1$-64
- Will Elaine Culotti finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes$1$-64
- Will Daniel Mercuri finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes$1$-64
- Will Antonio Villaraigosa finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes$1$-64
- Will Carolina Buhler finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes$1$-64
- Will Betty Yee finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes$1$-64
- Will Derek Grasty finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes$1$-64
Recent trades observed
The most recent trades we have mirrored for this wallet from public on-chain data, newest first.
When
Market
Action
Size · Price
- 14h agoBought No$998@ 99.8¢
- 14h agoBought No$998@ 99.8¢
- 14h agoBought No$998@ 99.8¢
- 14h agoBought No$998@ 99.8¢
- 25h agoBought No$187@ 99.0¢
- 25h agoBought No$155@ 82.0¢
- 25h agoBought No$166@ 88.0¢
- 2d agoBought No$998@ 99.8¢
- 4d agoBought No$125@ 99.9¢
- 4d agoBought No$125@ 99.9¢
- 4d agoBought No$125@ 99.9¢
- 4d agoBought No$118@ 94.2¢
- 4d agoBought No$300@ 99.9¢
- 4d agoBought No$299@ 99.8¢
- 4d agoBought No$299@ 99.7¢
- 4d agoBought No$323@ 97.9¢
- 4d agoBought No$313@ 97.9¢
- 4d agoBought No$251@ 76.0¢
- 4d agoBought No$243@ 76.0¢
- 4d agoBought No$137@ 76.0¢
- 4d agoBought No$176@ 97.9¢
- 5d agoBought No$664@ 99.8¢
- 5d agoBought No$662@ 99.6¢
- 5d agoBought No$664@ 99.8¢
- 6d agoBought No$125@ 99.9¢
Wallet activity is sourced from publicly available on-chain data and may be incomplete or stale. Past trades are not indicative of future outcomes. Nothing on this page is financial advice or a recommendation to take any position.